I was watching the NTSB hearing today about the final report on the Tesla crash in 2018.
The chairman was talking about how he feels that government regulations have lagged behind the technology when it comes to advanced driver assist assist systems. Systems like Autopilot are becoming more and more advanced to the point where drivers might confuse them for self-driving when they are not, and regulations have not caught yet. He said L2 systems are prone to causing drivers to become overconfident in the system.
A few points related to AP were discussed that I thought were noteworthy:
1) Many auto makers not just Tesla don't really do a good job of restricting their driver assist system to only operate inside it's specified ODD. For example, AP can be activated on roads that technically are outside it's ODD as specified in the Tesla's owner manual.
2) L2 systems require driver attention but making sure that happens is left to the auto maker and different auto makers use different methods. Tesla's steering wheel torque method is found to be particularly problematic. It's not just possible to fool the system., it's also possible to satisfy the torque without really paying attention.
3) Tesla's camera vision can fail for several reasons with not a lot of redundancy. Poor visibility, camera obstruction, confusing lane markings, sun blinding the cameras etc can all potentially cause an accident if the driver is not paying attention.
I could see the government passing regulations to address those 3 points. They might force auto makers to limit use of an ADAS to only within the ODD. That seems very likely to me. And that would be easy for Tesla to comply with. They could require driver facing cameras for driver monitoring. That also seems very likely. It would require Tesla put additional hardware in future cars. They might also require certain sensors like extra radar or even lidar potentially to add redundancy. This is an open question but it is possible. Obviously, this would require extra hardware as well.
If anything, the crashes with Tesla are probably helping to raise awareness of the problem. I think the NTSB is realizing that as more and more auto makers start releasing advanced driver assist (Cadillac's Supercruise, Lexus's Highway Teammate etc), drivers will get overconfident and that is going to be a bigger and bigger safety issue if the systems don't have good driver attention systems and don't have the proper regulations.
The chairman was talking about how he feels that government regulations have lagged behind the technology when it comes to advanced driver assist assist systems. Systems like Autopilot are becoming more and more advanced to the point where drivers might confuse them for self-driving when they are not, and regulations have not caught yet. He said L2 systems are prone to causing drivers to become overconfident in the system.
A few points related to AP were discussed that I thought were noteworthy:
1) Many auto makers not just Tesla don't really do a good job of restricting their driver assist system to only operate inside it's specified ODD. For example, AP can be activated on roads that technically are outside it's ODD as specified in the Tesla's owner manual.
2) L2 systems require driver attention but making sure that happens is left to the auto maker and different auto makers use different methods. Tesla's steering wheel torque method is found to be particularly problematic. It's not just possible to fool the system., it's also possible to satisfy the torque without really paying attention.
3) Tesla's camera vision can fail for several reasons with not a lot of redundancy. Poor visibility, camera obstruction, confusing lane markings, sun blinding the cameras etc can all potentially cause an accident if the driver is not paying attention.
I could see the government passing regulations to address those 3 points. They might force auto makers to limit use of an ADAS to only within the ODD. That seems very likely to me. And that would be easy for Tesla to comply with. They could require driver facing cameras for driver monitoring. That also seems very likely. It would require Tesla put additional hardware in future cars. They might also require certain sensors like extra radar or even lidar potentially to add redundancy. This is an open question but it is possible. Obviously, this would require extra hardware as well.
If anything, the crashes with Tesla are probably helping to raise awareness of the problem. I think the NTSB is realizing that as more and more auto makers start releasing advanced driver assist (Cadillac's Supercruise, Lexus's Highway Teammate etc), drivers will get overconfident and that is going to be a bigger and bigger safety issue if the systems don't have good driver attention systems and don't have the proper regulations.