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  1. OxBrew

    Service Center Nightmares

    Actually the reverse is true. If you assume you're going to spend 2 years finding and fixing issues, better to do that before release, since the cost to repair is 100x or more than just fixing in the first place. I work in product development, in an industry that demands compressed schedules...
  2. OxBrew

    Elon Musk Discussion - Tesla Brand Damage

    I know a former senior engineer from Tesla (who designed many significant systems we all rely on every day) who refuses to buy a new Tesla in large part due to lack of stalks. (also buried wiper controls, lack of stalks exacerbates that). He's keeping his older model with stalks.
  3. OxBrew

    I am frankly shocked by how stunningly ugly the Cybertruck is

    lol, got the head in the sand covered. what's next, a paper bag with holes for the eyes?
  4. OxBrew

    Koni - Special Active (Red - Formerly FSD) and Sports (Yellow) - Coming Soon for Model 3 and Y

    The alignment of the top cap on the fronts can be marked before removing the old one. As long as the spring is settled in the lower mount in the right spot, marking the top of where the spring ends on the cap gets you close enough. I didn't mark my first side, and just eyeballed it by looking...
  5. OxBrew

    I am frankly shocked by how stunningly ugly the Cybertruck is

    Outside the Tesla bubble, the CT is universally derided as a sad joke. Even inside the Tesla bubble, a ton of otherwise pro Tesla folks are saying no thanks. I think the most agreed on sentiment is it looks like it came from the set of Dr Who (1970's) or Lost in Space.
  6. OxBrew

    I am frankly shocked by how stunningly ugly the Cybertruck is

    I'm all for bold designs that are not afraid to break new ground, or just be practical first. Giving a bold look to a truly ground breaking vehicle provides a strong anchor in people's memory that they can mentally tether all the awesomeness to (or if it fails, they tether all the failures to...
  7. OxBrew

    Cybertruck is a scam.

    He deserves to have his full remarks quoted here. TL;DR if you think Elon has some brilliant master plan, you need to get out more. This sentiment is exactly equal to the 4 other Senior engineers I know personally who spent anywhere from 10 months to 12 years at Tesla. Ethan Heald, public post...
  8. OxBrew

    Supercharger network is critical infrastructure

    Not take it over, Not take it over, but set minimum performance standards ( up time, density, usage data sharing, and similar )with a clear pathway toward enforcement and brokerage of maintenance contracts if minimum standards are not met. It's a public utility, and should be regulated like one.
  9. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    lol, 2024.3.25 is downloading, been all day. Up to 75% after at least6 hours (giga fiber, very fast connection). After installing, if it happens today, the gummie will have fully kicked in, so no testing FSD for me. Tomorrow I will be kicked to the curb with all the rest. If I cared at all, I...
  10. OxBrew

    Additional layoffs

    Just fired the entire Supercharger development and support team. What the hell is wrong with Elon? Why the hell does he still have a job? https://finance.yahoo.com/news/elon-musk-guts-teslas-charging-163054060.html
  11. OxBrew

    Done giving Tesla the benefit of the doubt on Autopilot and adaptive cruise control- it's JUNK.

    Emergency Lane Departure is now off in my car. Over the weekend it tried to steer me into an oncoming lane head on into another vehicle, both of us doing about 40-45. 2 lane country road with no painted lines. No AP or TACC on, it does not allow it, wisely. Just driving along, the standard road...
  12. OxBrew

    Full FSD Free Trial: Why I'd never buy it . . . ever.

    Yet still an abject failure, 1/25th as good as it needs to be.
  13. OxBrew

    Full FSD Free Trial: Why I'd never buy it . . . ever.

    I know the long term solution for bad intersections and unsolvable problems: don't even try. FSD research is a waste of billions of $$$ we should be plowing into solutions to our life support on this planet, not iterative improvements to problems that don't threaten our survival. Fiddling...
  14. OxBrew

    Full FSD Free Trial: Why I'd never buy it . . . ever.

    FSD is no longer Beta. I'm not down with helping fix a dead end product that should never be released. Tesla had one chance to convince me, they went all in, and failed. I've also had no accidents in over 600k lifetime miles. I keep FSD from actually crashing almost every time I use it. One...
  15. OxBrew

    Full FSD Free Trial: Why I'd never buy it . . . ever.

    I think the late braking and scary closing distance is a fatal flaw that cant be fixed with current hardware. It just cant see far enough down the road. My friend is a pilot, engineer, built his own Otter, has 2 Teslas (3 and S) that he bought the day afyer he drove my Y, and thinks FSD should...
  16. OxBrew

    Make your robotaxi predictions for the 8/8 reveal

    Wow, just totally divorced from reality. I'm sorry we can't have a reasonable discussion. Global auto production capacity literally, factually, cannot come close to the fantasies you're spouting. On top of that, people don't have the actual economic capacity to buy all those magic new cars...
  17. OxBrew

    Make your robotaxi predictions for the 8/8 reveal

    Humans driving in the MAJORITY will exist for decades past any fantasy self driving cars. Do the math on turnover in new car sales. It will take 40 years to get there, minimum, if you're really optimistic about increasing turnover in the future. Earth just does not have the capacity to make a...
  18. OxBrew

    Model Y Suspension Advice

    Thanks! First I've heard of threads crushing nuts. I've heard of one time use torque to yield bolts. I'll investigate and replace properly.
  19. OxBrew

    Buying a used Tesla and I have concerns.

    Also pass on the smell from the vents. If a kid spilled milk down the dash that may never come out. The rest of it can probably be cleaned. If it's rotten milk smells, they can persist for years, I know this first hand.
  20. OxBrew

    FSD now $8,000. Who's buying?

    No. Free was not enough. Disabled it after 2 weeks. I might pay 500 for EAP. I'm a bit curious about how broken TACC is actually, can't trust it anymore. Slows too much too often. Feels like it has no confidence.
  21. OxBrew

    Make your robotaxi predictions for the 8/8 reveal

    Well they shut down their entire new mobility effort 4 years ago, including their self driving effort. Apparently the had a profit of over $1B in 2023 for the first time ever.
  22. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Totally off topic, should get a new thread: Major UI update says "Ryzen MCU" so Atom gets a pass? I'm ok with that. I'm really totally and completely over UI updates. Please just stop, or let me freeze my UI. Very bad idea, unless its a recall for a safety update.
  23. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I have this happen all the time at one particular spot. Can't decide which lane to be in at a UPL, just gives up, no warning, car coasting slow.
  24. OxBrew

    Koni - Special Active (Red - Formerly FSD) and Sports (Yellow) - Coming Soon for Model 3 and Y

    mine are nice and quiet. Someone had a clunk up on this thread I think? Ended up not being the strut, something on the car side? That was the rear though I think.
  25. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    That makes a lot of sense, if it can be done. Almost like labeling, "this batch of human reactions to situations all fit in this set of outputs" but with curation? So basically funneling human training data through filters that better control the outputs? So the inputs are still valid, varied...
  26. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    It varies with age, 250ms is the fastest a young male can percieve the need to brake. Then add 500-750ms to move their foot to brake. Overall, different situations use an average of 3/4 to 1.5 seconds from event to action for total reaction time. This assumes the driver is able to see the...
  27. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    One of those last minute lane changes where the car in front of you reveals a stopped line of cars, you have may e 2 seconds to avoid it? Burning one second just because humans do is a really bad strategy, if you ask me. Maybe you want FSD to just wait a second to react for the hell of it, be my...
  28. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Everything sub one second to avoid a crash, that human reaction times (about 1 second on average) causes a crash? Its a computer, it just feels like it should respond instantly, and delete any delay from training that's only due to human reaction times.
  29. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    That's a scary thought. 1-OK/cool if it's a normal move (like slowly changing lanes when no one is around), 2- very not cool if its reacting to an emergency. How would they define "emergency" without any "coding"? Lane wobble is really bad in several spots for me, to the point where it just...
  30. OxBrew

    12.3.4 Intervention within first 3 minutes

    Do not pay $12k for it. You can subscribe for $99/month and see for yourself. 10 years is a long time to keep a car, probably never worth the full price. If for some reason you really want it, you can always upgrade later for the same price.
  31. OxBrew

    Those that have gone from a Model X to Cybertruck, are you happy with the switch?

    Stainless, mild steel and aluminum all block RF the same. Not the reason.
  32. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    March of 1s has started. 1 in 10 times it has made the weird UPL I take almost every day. 9 out of 10 times it either disengaged (half the time) or pulled out in front if a car coming from the left and would have crashed. Even the 1 time, I don't give it a pass, there was no one coming. Does...
  33. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    You have no idea the complexities involved in this wishful thinking. Due to budget cuts, lane striping in Spokane county was being managed by ONE driver of the striping truck. He didn't have any idea how to choose which roads to stripe first, so just went a did whatever he could find. The...
  34. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    because they are just average people not trained professionals hired by Tesla, told that this is out of Beta, and wondering what it would do?
  35. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I had it wiggle a lane change with a car in my blind spot. Disengaged and had to fight it a bit to keep it in the left turn lane. Previously wiggled exactly the same in this same turn, without traffic, and gave up, handed it back to me with no warning, and rolling slow into the median. Abject...
  36. OxBrew

    Model Y Suspension Advice

    See my post below. Best I can describe it.
  37. OxBrew

    Model Y Suspension Advice

    I just jnstalled Koni Reds on my pre suspension upgrade (2021). Can't really tell the difference between the 2024 I drove for a couple hours. Installation was on the easier side compared to the 15 others I've done. Took my time, 1.5 hours each for the front. Tesla manual says no alignment...
  38. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Be careful with that. I was doing the same, at a T intersection I signaled left, the preview showed going left, and then it just suddenly turned right for no reason, and with no signal. No traffic around, luckily.
  39. OxBrew

    Koni - Special Active (Red - Formerly FSD) and Sports (Yellow) - Coming Soon for Model 3 and Y

    I can't say you'll see a big improvement over the stock set up in a 2024. How many miles? The one I drove had 300 miles on it. You might see some improvement, but I bet it's subtle. If you find your 2024 harsh, you might look for one of the true comfort options from any of the several vendors...
  40. OxBrew

    Koni - Special Active (Red - Formerly FSD) and Sports (Yellow) - Coming Soon for Model 3 and Y

    Just installed the Koni Reds today, 9/2021 build Y LR. Stock springs. Cut the front bump stops down 10mm, rears not cut (looked pristine, no evidence they ever got hit). We use the Y like a minivan, just a way to haul or stuff, so I'm not making any comments about performance handling, not my...
  41. OxBrew

    Make your robotaxi predictions for the 8/8 reveal

    Prototype will drive onstage, Elon will get out, close up shows no steering wheel or pedals, cheers, yay! Then only a few minutes later the car will suddenly crank the wheels hard left, lurch forward, and stop, half the car teetering off the stage. Rumors (unfounded) quickly spread that a guy...
  42. OxBrew

    Tesla new steer-by-wire, that'll be a HELL NO for me....

    Apples and oranges. Planes have decades of experience with it. I'm sure it can be made safe, but I'm not betting Tesla did all their homework, given what I've seen so far.
  43. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I am not a volunteer tester. I'm a potential customer on a free trial. I found some show stoppers, so I won't use it, much less buy it. I've disabled almost all ADAS, AP, anything that can give me a false positive (like applying corrective steering when it erroneously sees the center of the...
  44. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Done, several times. But, should not be a factor. Needs to work in the real world, not the lab.
  45. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    It's on Tesla to test in every situation before release. Standard engineering practice: research and understand the entire set of environmental conditions your design is subject to, and relentlessly test against that. Then check again, and have unbiased peers double check your work, your...
  46. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    It took 6 risks in a 1 mile drive that I may not have been able to respond to fast enough to avoid a crash (I could not always see that it was clear before the car aggressively crossed a lane with ROW). Luckily, no one was coming in most of the situations, and the one with a car coming I was...
  47. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    What on earth makes you think that? I've been hearing some version of "it's going to be awesome in 3-6 months" for several years now, and then it's not, and then its all about the next big release or platform change (HW3! DOJO!!! Nothing but nets!!!) Meanwhile 12.3.3 can't distinguish between a...
  48. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    1984 Toyota Tercel mode. 0-60 in 18 seconds, simulated shift points, runs rough when cold. (actually, should be under Chill/Standard/Sport settings, along with every old car from the 60's through mid 90's?) OT, sorry. Had this idea years ago.
  49. OxBrew

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    First drive on v12.3.3. I'm still a hard no, not ready, but I'll admit it's better than V11.?.? on a 2024 demo last month (which tried to crash several times per block). 2021 Y (USS) never paid or subscribed to anything. OK, it does reasonably well with the normal stuff from a purely car...
  50. OxBrew

    FSD beta v12.3 pulls the ultimate April Fools joke

    Totally false. Happens all over the place in CA. So does wheel curbing by FSD, from what I read. No excuses for this. I would ask Tesla to fix the wheel rash, just to log the complaint (not expecting them to actually fix it). They need to feel/share the pain.