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  1. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    If that biblical history is largely correct, that was markedly earlier in their history. But they advanced far beyond stone age/tribal stage by the time colonial powers finally forced their most recent exile. All people alive today are descendants of one or more tribes. Many historical tribes...
  2. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Mosquito abatement was a side note, of minor consequence to the argument - was trying to add a supplemental historical fact. Certainly innumerable tragedies throughout history not confined exclusively to one group. One of the many main points, however was that Jews were not tribes, but rather...
  3. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    This is an essential foundational counterfactual scenario to consider. Here is a more detailed version of the story to examine: What other people were indigenous to a land, advanced beyond the iron age into the classical period where they maintained a State/Kingdom, and despite repeated...
  4. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Agree, complicated and that there are many documented instances in history where Jews were treated relatively less poorly in Muslim ruled lands. We happen to know the most about what happened to Ashkenazi Jews in Europe followed a bit by Sephardi Jews (Iberian, Mediterranean region including...
  5. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    When it don’t look good, because it go boom, hide it: Russian energy ministry halts disclosure of gasoline output data MOSCOW, May 29 (Reuters) - Russian energy ministry said on Wednesday it was stopping the disclosure of gasoline output statistics in order to safeguard "informational safety"...
  6. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Was hoping for an “amen” but will take an “ahem”. 😁
  7. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Anyone want to bet Russia "tests" a tactical nuke on Russian territory as a bluff to scare the West?
  8. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Anti-Semitism here and elsewhere getting dumped in large quantities, working towards renormalizing it. Antisemites may very well succeed. That dark historical precedent is certainly on their side. They will continue to criticize the Israeli government (again quite legitimate by itself) but...
  9. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Sadly this is woefully incorrect. Appreciate your knowledge of many historical topics, such as WW2, but this is a dangerous gap in knowledge, particularly with those who have stronger opinions on this thread topic. Beyond the two you mentioned, there are several other really big ones that were...
  10. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Waiting to see if confirmed by reputable sources. This posted about a day or two ago but so far doesn’t look like confirmation. Can’t be far away either way.
  11. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Egypt’s deep complicity in all of this continues to go ignored:
  12. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    U.S. continues to ramp up 155 mm artillery shell production. Hopefully other western countries are on a similar trajectory. A plant still under construction in Mesquite, Texas, will soon turn out 30,000 artillery shells each month, roughly doubling current U.S. output… …To keep Ukraine’s...
  13. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Not sure where Sushko gets Russia preparing to send 200-300k more troops, but Putin looking more scared here in this short video clip as he realizes he gets further and further away from his original winning goals:
  14. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    The list grows:
  15. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Here are a few of my ideas for a better strategic approach from Israel in navigating their Kobiashi Maru scenario: Learn from your enemies and outsmart them in geopolitics and counter-religiofascism in the battle of hearts and minds: -Counter Arabic islamofascist/State run media such a Al...
  16. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Have followed Stephens for a while. He is pro-Israel, but certainly not rabid, very much for incessant work towards a 2-state solution. He is also pro-Ukraine in Russia's war against them, relevant to another active thread in this forum. Stephens is moderate/right leaning, but part of an...
  17. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Where were these same folks for Bashar al-Assad’s enduring regime? Where were all the campus protests? Where is his arrest warrant with the ICC? >300,000 Syrian civilians died as a result of him against their 2011 Arab spring pro-democracy uprising. Nearly half of their ~14 million population...
  18. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Certainly all the righteous selectively anti-Israelis here, anti-semitic campus protesters, and those similar otherwise on social media were out in equal or greater force with the Yemeni war on civilians and many other comparable modern topics. Oh right, no they were not. As of the end of 2021...
  19. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    The main weapons having problems are GLSDBs, apparently. The biggest culprit may be Boeing. Once world class, these days corner cutting is the rule such that civilian and military products are having serious operational problems. Just a little more thought and expense prevents many problems...
  20. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Double standards are often defined as affording one group more leniency while judging another more harshly for the same behavior. Would argue in the case of Jews/Israel, however, that it is often worse such as in matters related to this thread. Herein Israel is held to a higher standard, thus...
  21. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Sweden appears to be first out of the gate:
  22. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    It is completely legitimate for one to be critical of Israel's current government and that alone does not make one antisemitic. But if the same adamant persons or protestors (far right typically and increasingly far left) spend a lessor amount of time critical of Hamas, the Houthis, Hezbollah...
  23. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    As a part of the Jewish and Israeli world in my circles, can safely say it is not like that. There are many Jews and Israelis deeply critical of their current government. But they are also rightly alarmed to see the antisemitic highly disproportional geopolitical/religiofascist focus upon...
  24. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    For perspective on Hajo Meyer, here is a good summary from another Dutch Jew - De Winter, whose parents survived the Holocaust in hiding. He is an author and critic of antisemitism in the Netherlands and similar extremist supporters like Meyer: When asked about the motives of Meyer and the...
  25. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Community notes spot on:
  26. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Absurd is too generous a word for the UN. Praises one of the kingpins of a genocidal government, mass murderer of the best of his own people, and the real force behind Hamas and their war with Israel. UN and their ICC dishonestly going after some of the wrong players:
  27. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Raisi played a decisive role in the mass execution of political prisoners in the 1980s.
  28. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Agree that a primary goal is to maximize avoidance of such harm/damage on Ukrainian people and other assets. But it is important HOW one takes down a particular weapon. I mentioned those Russian glide bombs as cheap and numerous to show the costs Russia is bearing, but that is relevant if we...
  29. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Immediately, perhaps not much, but long-term this does change some things. The Ayatollah is 85 years old and most analysts had pegged Raisi to be his hand picked replacement. Whether the geopolitical trajectory of their radical religious dictatorship changes as a result is unknown.
  30. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Glide bombs were supposed to be a "game changer" for Ukraine with reports of them getting Ukraine spun up with lots of these much earlier in the war, instead: Russia is increasingly using "glide bombs" - cheap but highly destructive ordnance - to advance its offensive in Ukraine. More than 200...
  31. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    No formal thread on this, but most relevant to this thread and the "Russia/Ukraine Conflict" thread. Many Israelis will not miss any Iranian leadership as they remain one of the primary benefactors to their hands: Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis, and most recently launched a bunch of...
  32. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    If this is confirmed and these figures are even half correct, awesome defensive withdrawal maneuver for Ukraine:
  33. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    All these little things add up:
  34. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    At the current rate of oil refinery strikes, and if they continue to keep those out of commission, Ukraine will have inflicted tens of billions USD capital loses from the Russian economy this year alone: ...The investment cost of a completely new refinery depends on its size, complexity, and...
  35. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    In WW2 the allies (U.S. and British) bombed Nazi Germany industrial complexes, petroleum/coal infrastructure, airfields, dams, railways, etc. It is estimated that greater than 1/2 million German civilians died as a result. At the time this was largely considered ethical (minus the Dresden...
  36. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    It's imperative that Ukraine makes this as costly as possible for Russia within ethical reason. There is excess refining AND oil production capacity in the world, so striking Russian refineries and other petroleum infrastructure is just the ticket. Putin is spending enormous amounts on his war...
  37. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Love the smell of burning refinery in the morning:
  38. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    From the ATACMS strike on the Belbek airfield last night:
  39. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Sad that Hamas controls the narrative with the UN and media agencies regurgitating and propagating their falsified data and other disinformation. Hamas kills their own civilians and those agencies count them among purported Israeli aggressions. Hamas walks and hides among other agencies...
  40. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    We will probably never know the actual figures. The only relatively ascertainable thing at this point is that the Hamas reported figures are contrived and almost certainly heavily inflated:
  41. I

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Shocking, genocidal Hamas and their puppet master genocidal benefactors lie systemically. The sad parts are the extensive major media outlets and the UN that put those lies out in front page stories but are now hardly anywhere to be seen for retractions: UN Halves Its Estimate of Women and...
  42. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Much of this is due to the long U.S. delay in resupplying Ukraine and Europe's (and elsewhere in the West) slow response to build up and deliver supplies from long neglected defense spending/infrastructure. But also the calculus has been shifting more towards it being cheaper to attack in this...
  43. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    @AlekseiNovikov, considering Russia has long been using foreign weapons for deep strikes into Ukraine (such as from Iran and North Korea), do you agree it would then be appropriate for Ukraine to use foreign weapons to strike deeply into Russia?
  44. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    @AlekseiNovikov, what are your thoughts on the growing losses of Russian oil refineries?
  45. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    New record for daily Russian casualties?
  46. I

    Prediction: Coal has fallen. Nuclear is next then Oil.

    Under the most optimistic scenarios, they are many years away from being able to go 100% renewable and handle intermittency emergency issues, seasonality issues, once in 10-100 year weather pattern systems, etc. Would rather see them not build extra coal generation capacity but more optimistic...
  47. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Looking at the details of Putin's firing of his minister of defense Shoigu today is telling. He replaced Shoigu with an economist (Belousov), not someone with military experience and with someone of nearly no executive experience whatsoever. Shoigu was given a large part of the fall for...
  48. I

    Prediction: Coal has fallen. Nuclear is next then Oil.

    One concern that comes up on these threads frequently is that China continues to build coal generation capacity even if it as a percent of its energy inputs is not growing. Not being here to defend China, but to suggest one of their reasons is likely them having large reserves of the stuff...
  49. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    The first question to ask here or on any topic if any news outlet gets funding from its government, is if it is critical of the highest person in power of that government. If the answer is never or nearly such, that outlet is a pure government propaganda disinformation mouthpiece.
  50. I

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Recap of senior Russian leadership under Putin in their war against Ukraine: