News

Tesla Shows Improvement in Q1 Safety Report

With the release of Tesla’s Q1 2021 Vehicle Safety Report, Chief Executive Elon Musk says that Autopilot is nearly 10-times safer than the “average vehicle.”

According to the report:

In the 1st quarter, we registered one accident for every 4.19 million miles driven in which drivers had Autopilot engaged. For those driving without Autopilot but with our active safety features, we registered one accident for every 2.05 million miles driven. For those driving without Autopilot and without our active safety features, we registered one accident for every 978 thousand miles driven. By comparison, NHTSA’s most recent data shows that in the United States there is an automobile crash every 484,000 miles.

The numbers improved over Q4 2020, which represented one accident for every 3.45 million miles driven.

“Tesla with Autopilot engaged now approaching 10 times lower chance of accident than average vehicle,” Musk tweeted.

In October 2018, Tesla began voluntarily releasing quarterly safety data in order to provide critical safety information to the public. Tesla notes that accident rates among all vehicles on the road can vary from quarter to quarter and can be affected by seasonality, like reduced daylight and inclement weather conditions.

GeorgeSymonds

Member
Mar 16, 2018
992
594
UK
Tesla like to be economical - if you compare like for like and Q1 2020 with Q1 2021 which rules out seasonsal variations due to time of year etc, the figures have gone down from 1:4.68M to 1:4.19M or 11% worse

It just illustrates the figures are influenced by a lot of factors including driver demographics, road types etc so meaningful comparisons are nigh on impossible with the data they present. When we get there its going to be a massive benefit in reducing accidents, but we're still a long way from being there.
 
  • Like
Reactions: AlanSubie4Life

Irata

Member
Oct 16, 2020
329
200
UK
Also, given that autopilot is restricted to arguably the safest types of roads anyway - it's a warped statistic. Most "accidents" happen at lower speeds in urban areas, including car parks for example.
 
  • Like
Reactions: daktari

Barklikeadog

Active Member
Jul 13, 2016
1,789
1,280
PA
Tesla like to be economical - if you compare like for like and Q1 2020 with Q1 2021 which rules out seasonsal variations due to time of year etc, the figures have gone down from 1:4.68M to 1:4.19M or 11% worse

It just illustrates the figures are influenced by a lot of factors including driver demographics, road types etc so meaningful comparisons are nigh on impossible with the data they present. When we get there its going to be a massive benefit in reducing accidents, but we're still a long way from being there.

This isn't mentioned enough. The 30-60yr old who makes on average 250k is the safest driving demo there is. They are also the same people
who buy a Tesla, and also will spend extra $$ on safety features no matter what car they buy.

vs. the 'average car' which is 12 years old driven by demos which are all considerably less safe, make avg income, teenagers, poor, living in areas with other less safe drivers....

If 500k of the 13 million teenage drivers had a Tesla, those safety stats would hit a tree and burn up.
 

Dan D.

Member
Dec 7, 2020
360
304
Vancouver, BC
This isn't mentioned enough. The 30-60yr old who makes on average 250k is the safest driving demo there is. They are also the same people
who buy a Tesla, and also will spend extra $$ on safety features no matter what car they buy.

vs. the 'average car' which is 12 years old driven by demos which are all considerably less safe, make avg income, teenagers, poor, living in areas with other less safe drivers....

If 500k of the 13 million teenage drivers had a Tesla, those safety stats would hit a tree and burn up.
What's the demographic on a Tesla driver who is tech-savvy and over-reliant on the technology? Those ones seem to crash too.
 

Brando

Active Member
Sep 27, 2016
2,874
2,000
Bainbridge Island, WA
Tesla car Insurance -- no matter HOW/WHY Tesla is safer --- seems they can make money on their insurance program. And Elon/Tesla history shows Tesla will go for reasonable margins and pass along savings to buyers/customers. (vs price gouging and max. profits)
 

GeorgeSymonds

Member
Mar 16, 2018
992
594
UK
There's an interesting analysis here although it doesn't include the latest quarter.


It makes the point about depmgraphics with links to various articles which show how different age groups have different acident rates (which most people know anyway)

It also talks about different classes of roads and the relative safety of those - both points raised above

Looking at the data it also shows as the early Teslas get older (pre passive safety), the safety record gets worse. Is that the car aging and older cars are generally less safe because they are more prone to mechanical issues for instance? Is it because as the cars get cheaper the typical buyer is in a different segment with a naturally higher risk profile? There are far too many variables.

What would be interesting is if we had similar stats for the competitive systems (level 2 driver assist including speed and lane keeping of which there are now many). I doubt those companies stream back the stats in the same way to be able to produce them, but I think the majority of new cars on the road will have a marked impriovement in safety over the average 8 year old car.

I think Volvo claimed no fatal accidents in the UK in 16 years,, ok only 50k were sold but over 16 years thats still a lot of driving and aging of the car. I've no idea what I make of that, maybe the average Volvo driver is ultra safe