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  1. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I guess I am not as sold that FSD would lead to a 10x reduction of cars. People still need to be at school at 7 am and done at 2:30. Most work starts at 8 and ends at 5. The weekend ball game begins at 2. So the need, the majority of need is not evenly spread out through the day.
  2. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Possibly but if that is the vision it has not been articulated very well. For me a clear vision would be of help.
  3. dhrivnak

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    You mean like the Christian Germans in the late 1930’s?
  4. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I have been a Tesla owner for over 14 years and an investor for over 11. Mostly a hold investor and growing my little stake over the years. I lead or helped lead, over 20 EV ride and drive events. Always promoting Tesla in the process. But I am sad to say it seems to be time for me to get out...
  5. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I was at Knoxville yesterday and two new proud owners picked up their Cyber Trucks. So yes they are moving them out.
  6. dhrivnak

    How does one drive the car when the screen dies and you have no stalks?

    I hope so as I just checked a new 3 and do not see them
  7. dhrivnak

    Long Term Battery Costs, Fears, and Serviceability

    Stuff happens and there is NO downside to leaving it plugged in. So why not?
  8. dhrivnak

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    WOW, I guess that is why the Northern Ireland conflict was settled so fast (just a mere 30 years) with virtually no loss of life, since rational Christians were on both sides of the conflict. I think this has everything to do with the Israel not allowing the Palestinians to live as free people...
  9. dhrivnak

    Elon Musk Discussion - Tesla Brand Damage

    I unfortunately agree. Two friends who just purchased EVs (non-Tesla's) said the major reason they did not consider Tesla was Elon. The SuperCharger layoff seem crazy as that in my opinion, is their crown jewels. Maybe in a year when all other manufactures have incorporated it, but not now...
  10. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Not sure this will work, as Alabama for example has none, 0, service centers. And that is a reasonably large state.
  11. dhrivnak

    Did Tesla design cars to be able to take a range extender just incase?

    No the space is for extra storage.
  12. dhrivnak

    Discussion : All discussion regarding Model 3 and Tax credit in model 3 subforum

    If impossible how does the Model 3 performance qualify. They should be able to use the same pack as the performance.
  13. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Actually that is quite high to me, as Erie insurance for my Model 3 is $53/month.
  14. dhrivnak

    Adapter to combine two 30A level2 into one 60A J1772 - faster charging

    Not that I recall after a number of tries. I wonder if the three phases on your typical 3 phase circuits were my main challenge. And since I now have a Model 3, I rarely use level 2 public charging. Even 60A would be very slow compared to SuperCharging.
  15. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Sorry but when the Roadster is more than 5 years late the Semi a good year behind, I consider that poor projecting.
  16. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    How true. After trying to get PowerWalls for years I installed FranklinWH batteries for me and now 5 other clients. Tesla has been sleeping at the wheel over promising and under delivering from my perspective. Just look at the promises of the Semi and next generation Roadster
  17. dhrivnak

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    Protesting that Israel should treat the average Palestinian with fairness and some dignity is not being antisemitic. Likewise one should not shame a Jew as the average Jew has nothing to do with the slaughter of the Palestinians. Treat people as you would want to be treated.
  18. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    You mean some like Hurricane Sandy?? Unfortunately I am afraid it will take more than one or even 3
  19. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    4680’s could go into the 3 effectively dropping the price 15-20% by getting the tax credit back. That would make a difference
  20. dhrivnak

    Do I have to buy and carry extra charger in the car for long trips?

    I ALWAYS carry the Tesla Mobile connector with me and quality 15’ extension cord. My son, my In-laws and many hotels/VRBO’s do not have chargers but nearly everyone has 120v outlets. At 50 miles a night it is not great, but often just enough to make the trip worry free. PS I also carry the...
  21. dhrivnak

    Tesla in crisis?

    As with many people I was quite disappointed in the Q1 P&D numbers. So, it got me to thinking how could Tesla increase demand other than dropping prices. I am looking at low-cost options. As we have found dropping prices hurts margins, tarnishes Tesla’s “luxury” image and hurts us owners by...
  22. dhrivnak

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I have and early 2018 with Enhanced Autopilot, not FSD. I have not gotten the free month trial at V11.1 (2024.8.9). Can I really upgrade to FSD for $2000 now as the app says or will I need to come in for a computer and camera upgrade that I hear could be $1500 more? With no people to talk to...
  23. dhrivnak

    Still don’t have FSD trial.

    I have an early 2018, and no FSD trial yet. Do I need to upgrade to hardware 3.0 or better first and is so what is the cost for the camera and computer upgrades? Thank you
  24. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    No sound logic and this is what Hyundai did to break into the U.S. Market with their 100,000 mile warranty. Another low cost thing I wish they would add is V2H by adding a few 120v or even a 240v outlet so one could power home essentials if the grid were down. Add value for little cost.
  25. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    There are a lot that could be cut from a Model 3 starting with size as it is still on the large size for most sedans. Think Corolla or Civic. Then basic audio, no rear screen no rear seat heaters. Possibly cloth seats. Smaller tires steel rims….. the biggest advantage I see is getting a car...
  26. dhrivnak

    Does a battery ever have a positive ROI with net metering

    True with net metering there is little to no ROI with batteries. And typically the round trip efficiency is worse than the stated efficiency. Often as low as 80%. If you want or need backup or can arbitrage time of use that helps. But ROI no with net metering.
  27. dhrivnak

    Powerwall 3 set to 45% backup reserve, at 43% now

    The SAME normal variation applies. Do you weigh the same every morning?
  28. dhrivnak

    Powerwall 3 set to 45% backup reserve, at 43% now

    All numbers vary. On a drive the range and watt/mile will change. When you charge bot the numbers will change. The changes you are reporting are well withing expected variability.
  29. dhrivnak

    V11.1 to V12

    Same here. Nor sure if they are late or if our legacy cars do not support FSD.
  30. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Very predictable in my opinion as the price for a Model 3 effectively jumped 15%-20% with the loss of the Federal Tax Credit. I wish Tesla would pull out all stops to make the Model 3 qualify again,
  31. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yes a Model Y type delivery van would likely sell very well, especially in Europe.
  32. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I am all for Tesla selling a cheaper car. But they have very few models so make an economy one. No need to cheapen the 3 or the Y. Or maybe offer a lower trim model 3 or Y, I am OK with that as well.
  33. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Possibly, but do they use any US made cells for PowerWalls or MegaPacks? If so can they redesign so Model 3 is prioritized? If I recall the main Panasonic production is in Nevada and Tesla can prioritize space and equipment for Panasonic. While Tesla may be doing all that is possible they...
  34. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    As with many people I was quite disappointed in the Q1 P&D numbers. So, it got me to thinking how could Tesla increase demand other than dropping prices. I am looking at low-cost options. As we have found dropping prices hurts margins, tarnishes Tesla’s “luxury” image and hurts us owners by...
  35. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Fortunately thanks to solar my electricity prices were locked in 10 years ago and should remain locked in 20 years from now. A very reasonable $.06/kWh
  36. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    My Erie insurance went up $20/year or 3%. So I am not stressing.
  37. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Tesla Suggestions. As with many people I was quite disappointed in the Q1 P&D numbers. So, it got me to thinking how could Tesla increase demand other than dropping prices. As we have found dropping prices hurts margins, tarnishes Tesla’s “luxury” image and hurts us owners by depressing resale...
  38. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yes my Roadster was similar, To me it sounded like the Enterprise launching into Warp drive, and it felt like it.
  39. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Curious how often do you sit on your patio with your favorite beverage and your neighbor comes out to mow his grass and you say ah the soothing sound of a gas engine?
  40. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yes Q1 Toyota is up I think 14% while Tesla declined 8.5%. Overall vehicle sales increased in Q1.
  41. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Not if you are not tech savvy and the car is very different than from what you are used to.
  42. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I have heard from MANY friends over the last year that while they will consider an EV they will not consider a Tesla. I rarely heard that in the past and NEVER at this intensity. Then many people are put off with the strong push to on-line and the inability to talk to a service person or buy a...
  43. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I have been a Tesla owner for 14 years now and an investor for over 10 years. I am quite disappointed that production and deliveries dropped quarter over quarter, but especially year over year while most automotive companies saw growth. Plant investment has slowed and Elon seems to be bracing...
  44. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    It is not worth arguing about. I believe plug-in hybrids like the Volt, and Toyota Primes are a gateway for many people. They also allow for towing far better than the Tesla options for that small segment of the market that does tow. To me the goal is to reduce gasoline use, not get everyone...
  45. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    WRONG, here is a link to one study, "On average, owners of the Nissan Leaf battery-electric car cover 629 miles a month, while those who drive the Chevrolet Volt range-extended electric car go 60 percent further, logging 1,012 miles." The second link found that 82% of the Volt's total miles...
  46. dhrivnak

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yes a PHEV can be quite similar to an EV. In a study back in 2018 they compared the Chevy Volt to the Nissan Leaf and surprise the average Volt drove more all electric miles than the Leaf. We personally have a Model 3 and we had a Volt and now a RAV4 Prime, because trying to tow our camper...
  47. dhrivnak

    Range Loss Over Time, What Can Be Expected, Efficiency, How to Maintain Battery Health

    I am now at 6 years and down 6% after 124,000 miles.
  48. dhrivnak

    All US Cars capable of FSD will be enabled for one month trial this week

    I am confused and maybe because I have a 2018 Model 3 but my app shows I am on 2024.8.7 which is later than most people are reporting but it says I am version 11.1 and no trial for me. Am I missing something?
  49. dhrivnak

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    You are correct here, and think if the Chinese were to arm the Cherokee to the teeth to enable that, similar to how we arm Israel. One difference the Cherokee were driven out some 300 years ago. The Palestinians this generation so the wounds are much fresher. And even if you were to go back...
  50. dhrivnak

    Israel/Hamas conflict

    So why not let them stay in the homes and land they have occupied for more than 2000 years? Why should it be OK for one group to take another groups land, mostly without compensation?