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Too bad you are only asking us to vote on vehicles. If not, I was going to vote for the option that said "Two NHTSA's, three 'recalls', an SEC, a class action and five 'X' dramas"....but I guess that still only puts us into early 2025...
While I would like that to be true, IMO construction for the south end extension needs to be complete before Gen3 is ready to roll.
Model Y Juniper is at existing factories on existing lines....
I voted for Roadster simply because it can be low volume,,, and may initially be a compact manual line, also because I think the body may be carbon-fibre or some other light weight material
The good news is I expect all 3 sometime in 2025, Juniper Q1 and probably one of the other Q2. Redwood should be no later than Q3 and may be before Roadster.
Roadster could still be later but I think we are almost at the stage where Tesla has been embarrassed into building it..