My next post had over 50 mile data, but I reuploaded here. Data holds pretty well over 50 miles drives.
I realized I only had Teslafi on for only about 3.5k miles so far. I agree not a ton of data, but it does follow a trend (minus the weird over 100% efficiency) and that is an appreciable amount of data. Removing the 70 to 75 coulumn as it doesn't follow the trend due to lack of data (50 miles) I'm averaging (including the weird 89 % in 60 to 65) about 30% loss and that is from 30 to 70°. 30 isn't even cold.... Following the data trend, when in the 20s I will be in the 50% loss range. Granted I do have the PS4 on and they give a big hit no doubt.
My variables:
-Garage kept ~ 60° at night so warm every morning
-Cannot charge over night
-PS4 on now, going to Nokian Hakak 9 studded (that's gonna hurt....)
Now I am not complaining. I knew I would not get real world, but approching 60% at 30° is a surprise to me. Still love the car, but this needs to be more transparently marketed for the mass market. Us early adopters knew there would be big losses.
To the OP point, my gf is waiting on an MR. She commutes mostly local, but about twice a week does a 240 mile round trip. With the MR our thought was she would be fine, SC once during the day. Now factoring in proper techniques, she would get 144 mile range (20% SOC to 80%), cut that by 60% efficiency, real world is about 86 miles. She's is now charging 3 times. Granted she will probably push the 20/80 rule, but for a mainstream consumer thinking they are buying a car that can go 240 miles, but proper procedure is really 86 miles in winter, that hurts.
To counter that, there is SC at destination, start, and Midway, so it's doable, but will add 60 to 90 minutes to the commute she used to do with a half tank if gas (her PHEV has 500 mile range).
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