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I think the "you can not ordre periode" for minumum 16 months helps on that part :) And the peak was pre model 3 and y.. so a lot of factors.. did you concider that?
My take is that it is very likely your gonna get it.. the long wait for me and others, was because of chip, demand, etc.. now eveything is up and running and you will take fast delivery
the tax is yours... so you will have to pay that part.. you save 430.000 on the car because of the booking time.. so be gratfull :) my price is also 23.000 dkk higher.. due to wait time..