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I think it will be a 7% type of day

343k delivered. So I guess it’s a miss? https://ir.tesla.com/press-release/tesla-vehicle-production-deliveries-and-date-financial-results-webcast-third-quarter

Did you get an answer to this? I read the entire thread but didn’t see a concrete answer. Does the 22 Model X 5-seater have dual AC for the rear? I am thinking about replacing my 21MX 5-seater which doesn’t have dual AC.

It would be interesting to know: - how many TSLA owners own Tesla - how many Tesla owners own TSLA

Short squeeze kept us up despite the macros crashing, so we should see $200-250 fairly soon.

$1.30 is still such a small amount though, unless you guys are daytrading BPS/BCS and take profit when you have a small gain? From what I’ve reading on this forum, you guys usually close when you are 40-80% in the green so $1.30 is minuscule. If @Yoona has $180k in fees, she’s probably making...

Stock split forced naked short sellers How much fees are you paying? With Merrill Edge I am paying $0.65 per option (not $65, literally $0.65) trade, which is really peanuts in the grand scheme of things.

Great read, but I couldn't help but think that people in my life who don't have any money is because they have too much confidence. "I can afford this because I can always make more money in the future" type of mentality is pervasive among people in their 20's and 30's. This article is clearly...

Depends on how much naked shorts you think are out there. I think the last split caused such a big spike because market makers needed to close out a lot of naked shorted shares, but this time they've had ample time to take care of it since the announcement on March 28th. I personally don't think...

Your options will have a weird strike price and most likely lose liquidity as people don't like to trade those. If you are looking to exercise them then it doesn't matter, but if you are trading them these options might lose some value.

My humble opinion is no LMND isn't really a worthwhile investment. I was an insurance agent for 10 years so I've sat through my share of sales, underwriting, and company performance meetings. I am guessing for most tech investors LMND's attraction is its claim of AI capability, but I think it's...

NOT advice - do NOT do what I do. I personally find it a lot more rewarding to just short the stock via CC. The market is in a down turn, we are heading into a recession, the Fed is conducting QT, JPow will speak publicly on a random weekday, some random central bank will probably collapse...

Not gonna happen, because I bought $800 calls for next Friday. 😂

Why pay that when you can just pay the interest + penalty? I am sure you can generate more return than that.

That’s not a good sign lol

You fired all the workers who tried to unionize and replaced them with robots?

The current of IV 65 is still in the 72% percentile. During June - September last year IV was around 40-50, I would wait until the stock and the market overal flattens. You can use barchart.com to check IV history, and Option Value Calculator to figure out the difference IV makes. For example...

In the case of blown-up CC's, my recommendation is to not panic roll, especialy in this market. Yes, the stock right now is undervalued. Yes, we are oversold. However, the market sentiment is still very bearish. There are also a lot of people who are trapped between $750-$1,250. Many of them...

Great advice. Now is the time to re-position yourself especially if you are leveraged.

I think it's just neutral that we came down from $680. If you are a trader, that's just a sensible spot to take profit if you bought the current bottom of $632 (a 7% profit, and much more if you traded options). It looks like we are just going to consolidate around $670 since it's conveniently...

$680 was the previous low before we had a bounce, so I guess that's naturally what people looked for:

Safe for next week... maybe lol. I think we are definitely going to $500-550 at some point this year though.

Now I know why Johnny Depp had to sue Amber Heard lol

Probably because they can take delivery right away instead of waiting 6-9 months.

Bridgewater only had 25,500 shares of TSLA.... that's chump change for them. I am sure we have at least 5 members on this board that have more shares.

Most of us here, if not all, believe the trajectory of the company will overcome the economic headwinds. Fundamentally, yes, it's easier to buy now because the company has proven itself and we know it won't go bankrupt. However, in 2020 and 2021 you knew the PE multiple had to expand due to the...

You bought while the Fed was backing the entire economy and handing you free fun coupons. A new buyer today has to buy knowing the Fed is now the market biggest enemy: Buying assets in 2020 and 2021 was a no brainer. Buying in 2022 and beyond until the Fed relaxes takes a lot of courage.

Does that mean Ark has squandered away all its TSLA gains? lol

There's really no need to give more respect to 80% of the "financial professionals" as you would to a random stranger walking next to you in the grocery store. The most common financial products for most people are investment, real estate, and insurance, and I have worked or experience in all...

Maybe her concern is the weight is not high enough? lol

I think we are almost there. The weekly RSI for the QQQ is near March 2020 level. One more dump and the SPY will reach 100 week moving average. TSLA's 100 moving average is $638. Once we get down there a lot of short term traders will hopefully exit.

I have family and friends in HK. People there are more scared of the vaccine than the virus. They think the vaccine will kill them while the virus will just make them sick. Some of them would rather quit their jobs than get vaccinated.

I think it's just the MMs trying to keep the stock around $850 for max pain today. They will probably take us to the woodshed on Monday.

Jumping in on Ross Gerbert: if you watched his interview with Dave Lee you will lose a lot of respect for him. He's always seemed more of a cheerleader type unlike Gary Black so my opinion of him was more neutral than positive. He lost all credibility to me when he talked about Palantir in that...

Bought 10 more shares at $752.50 in the AH. Should sound dirt cheap in 6 months, but will probably feel dumb tomorrow lol

There is the risk of losing all your money if TSLA doesn't stay above your strike price by 2024 - not likely, but possible. Your LEAPs might also lose value fast when the IV goes down.

$827? Did you mean $782? lol

Looks like the MM wants $860 today

One strategy I've used when my CC's get blown up is to roll into a much higher strike price call way into the future in order to reduce delta then roll it back if the stock is cooling down. For example, I had $1,050 CC when the stock shot up to $1,200. Instead of rolling week by week, I rolled...

What type of time frame is appropriate when you are using the "lower low and lower high = going down further" philosophy? Is it mostly for very short term trading only? It doesn't seem to work if you back test it on the longer term time frame. For example: So you would be bullish somewhere...

I've used that as the buy indicator as well. Also, I think it's easier to stomach buying the dip now that Tesla is profitable, because you can calculate a PE you are comfortable with AND you think Wall Street will be forced to accept down the road. Whereas it was difficult to tell the bottom...

Did the counterparty exercise early?

People celebrated when they caught the knife below $1,000 and $900 too. You never know. Always have dry powder ready. You will get another chance.

He cracked me up when he said "that's really stupid, for real" about the market's reaction to the ER. One of the few times he couldn't suffer the fools. And this is a guy who sat through an hour long interview with Gordon lol

No, because MMs would do their job and sell these puts even if you don't. We are fifty bazillion to their fifty gigazillion, so don't worry about it.

That would imply a 2022 PE of about 40-50. Too bad I only have 2 kidneys if that happens.

I've always thought to risk-reward for LEAPs are better when the IV is low. I don't have the data to back it up, but IIRC, a similar LEAP (let's say 25% OTM with 1 year of theta) was 3-5 times more expensive during the height of IV last Feb-March compared to the trough of IV during May-June. A...

If you google Jeremy Grantham related news from 2001 to 2021, you will see that he calls for megabubble and megacrash EVERY TIME lol. He's been a right a few times and wrong most of the time.

If the bond rate drops, that means money is flowing into bonds for safety. If the bond rate goes up, that means PE compression for the growth stocks. We can't win right now lol

I am waiting to get back in on TDOC as well. Hoping to see $60. ZM is getting interesting here as well. Current PE is down to 42 and I think people are underestimating its future growth.