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  1. drtimhill

    Tesla: Highlights from our upcoming Spring Release below

    Apparently they are (cant find the tweet but pretty sure I'm not hallucinating).
  2. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Good thing someone was here to QUASH that misunderstanding!! (grins and runs away)
  3. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Quosh not squash .. you squash flies (and moths, not myths :) Besides, are you sure? It was certainly negotiated when the NHTSA were "discussing" FSD way back in 10.x days ....
  4. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Interesting if you watch the screen carefully just as the car plows forward the "snake" is shifting back and forth between left and right forks in the road. For some reason the car wasn't able to make its mind up .. I wonder if it would have recovered if he hands intercepted. Though I found it...
  5. drtimhill

    First Tesla purchase turning sour.

    Well there are a LOT of owners on these forums that have cars with that mileage and above. There are other reasons that Tesla limit the warranty other than the car will fail at 100,000 miles (it wont).
  6. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    That's more or less it. There are many parameters for follow distance, including weather, speed, mode etc. The training then is to generate the correct follow distance based on these values, using a dataset that provides the needed mapping. I'm not saying this is what Tesla do, the actual...
  7. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    But it's slightly more complex than that because Tesla are not using (so far as I can tell) semantic versioning. The major version more or less changes on a whim of Elon, so the team makes do with minor/release versions, which means that they may or may sneak feature changes into "bug fix"...
  8. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    It's done that for me too. So +1 for rabbit-kind :)
  9. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Not true, though I understand your point. You are not training/testing 4 (or N) distinct networks. You are training ONE network to respond correctly to numerous inputs, the "mode" being just one of very many more.. The "mode" is no more special than (say) the distance from a car in front of you...
  10. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Yes, it's' more or less this. Many poisons can affect the brain, and in particular cause its tracking between (say) balance and the visual system to get out of sync. The best survival response is to get rid of the poison, hence vomiting. So it's not the ear per se, but the brains interpretation...
  11. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Yeah that all sounds familiar .. as you note it's something that they usually grow out of (just about the time they grow into all the other things you were fearing!!).
  12. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    No, the point is that the value is different depending on the buyers perspective and interest. I might value FSD very highly, and think I can get extra $$$ for it when I sell, but if a buyer never wants to go near FSD, he will not feel the FSD premium is worth it. For TESLA, as the "buyer" in a...
  13. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Does he look inside the car (e.g. at a screen) or outside? When I was young I had bad motion sickness and it was always caused by looking down at (e.g.) a book etc.
  14. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    But that IS the value you perceive. Sure, you try to negotiate, but if the seller wont budge and you do not see the value at that price, you dont buy.
  15. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    The "preferences"(like Chill mode etc) typically become inputs to the NN, with appropriate training data for each mode, though this can be expensive if there are many such settings (one reason Tesla keep them simple). Dont forget the NN doesnt just get camera data .. it also get map info...
  16. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    A very good question. In all the time that people were anxious about PB (and reporting many events), I dont recall anyone actually saying they had been rear ended as a result.
  17. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Of course, and I'm not saying you should. The point was the assumption people made that the car would ALWAYS brake that way no matter what was behind them.
  18. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    But that's because the purchaser of said computer would also have to buy Windows if it wasn't included. But Tesla dont have to buy anything from anyone to add FSD to a car. And so it would be with Microsoft, why would they pay extra money to buy a computer with Windows on it? When you are...
  19. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    While Tesla have not said so explicitly, it's pretty clear that the car takes into account the probability of being rear-ended when it handles emergency braking (remember is always knows the distance to the car behind, and the software can handle the decision making process in a minute fraction...
  20. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Well a "fair" test would use a real human (even a child!) .. and there you are drifting into an ethical nightmare. But even is it wasn't seen as a human, it stopped for the obstacle, which seems to be a good outcome.
  21. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I would imagine that is the intent .. though a lot of ppl are NOT going to be pleased since what is now "FSD (Supervised)" was once positioned as much more L5.
  22. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Having scrubbed back and forth I think I agree .. the audio alarm kicks off at 0:11, the dash warning appears at 0:13. In my experience these are usually simultaneous. You can hear the brake pedals applied too, but it's tricky to see when the car starts slowing. I'd say the car doesnt see the...
  23. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I was trying to allow for that and also observe the dash warnings as well.
  24. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Not sure what to make of this .. the alarm seems to go off before the dummy appears .. but perhaps that's the camera angle. If it is faked I'm not sure how they did it cause its hard to fake the various warnings and dash icons etc.
  25. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Of course it has no trade-in value. Why would you expect otherwise? Since it's software, Tesla has an infinite inventory of FSD upgrades at zero cost to them, so how could it have any trade-in value? You might as well try to sell your copy of Windows back to Microsoft.
  26. drtimhill

    First two Tesla road trips: Jones, AL, and Washington, DC, from Boca Raton, FL

    A couple of general comments based on my experiences taking long trips... First, get a keycard "ring" as a great backup for car access. Since it's attached to your finger, which is (hopefully) not detachable, you will always have it with you. I swim and surf a lot, and use it all the time so I...
  27. drtimhill

    Wiki MASTER THREAD: Actual FSD Beta downloads and experiences

    Well exactly .. ideally the car should do that and maybe even dial 911. But it clearly should not just give up driving and let the car swerve and crash.
  28. drtimhill

    Wiki MASTER THREAD: Actual FSD Beta downloads and experiences

    I love all these discussions, and similar elsewhere. Everyone from the NHTSA to Consumer Reports are complaining that the nags/detects are not good enough. Ok, consider this scenario. A driver becomes incapacitated while FSD is driving. Should (a) FSD continue driving safely or (b) disengage and...
  29. drtimhill

    FSD discussion

    In the Autopilot screen .. it shows up in the text where you enable FSD.
  30. drtimhill

    FSD discussion

    Interesting idea .. essentially FSD owners become a pre-test fleet for roads so that robotaxi knows which roads are drivable w/o human assistance.
  31. drtimhill

    FSD now $99 a month

    Because they be so much pleasure out of hating Tesla?
  32. drtimhill

    500 + Mile Range Debate

    Well I’ve done 1000+ mile trips and I enjoy the breaks to charge. Sure it adds maybe 2 hours to my trip .. so what? Is it REALLY so bad to take a few breaks? Chill out and enjoy the tech is my advice.
  33. drtimhill

    Make your robotaxi predictions for the 8/8 reveal

    Sneak peek at Robotaxi… https://i.pinimg.com/originals/10/a1/06/10a106743ef5d53171fc295a1e095971.jpg
  34. drtimhill

    FSD now $99 a month

    I’ve seen this argument but in fact they dont need FSD installed to gather training data .. after all they want the DRIVER to be driving tha car. All they need is permission to send anonymous driving data from the car to the mother ship (and maybe not even that depending on which lawyer you talk...
  35. drtimhill

    FSD now $99 a month

    Nope, now you have to type “FSD (Supervised)” or we wont read your posts :)
  36. drtimhill

    FSD now $99 a month

    There is also the issue of opening up the SC network, which dilutes one of the major selling points of Tesla compared to all other EV brands (though this is only on paper atm, until/if/when they retrofit them with NACS).
  37. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Well if you have an older S/X or the new model 3 there is nothing "minor" here .. its the first time they have FSD 12.x.
  38. drtimhill

    FSD now $99 a month

    It's pretty obvious that Tesla are either going to have to (a) gradually raise the monthly fee or (b) drop the purchase price for FSD, since anyone can see that the purchase price simply doesnt make sense at the moment. With Tesla claiming they have sunk $10 billion into developing FSD (to...
  39. drtimhill

    Car Wash Anim?

    Has anyone noticed that when you exit Car Wash Mode, the car graphic on the screen does a quick little diagonal "swoosh" of light across the car body to show that it's all nice and clean and shiny? I've experimented and noticed you cant "cheat" the car .. you have to be in car wash mode for some...
  40. drtimhill

    HW4 - Camera Alignment issue

    Just to clarify .. any time you start a camera recalibration you will need to drive the car for some rime along clearly marked roads (the time varies, c an be up to 100 miles). So dont keep clicking the button, you just reset the entire process. Also, you can visually check to see if the cameras...
  41. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    +1 on that lane change thing .. the driver behind me must think I am drunk. And yes, the minimal lane change thing is now only the legacy highway so far as I can make out (and, I suspect, will vanish totally when they switch the highway stack to V12).
  42. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Actually V12 seems pretty good at roundabouts for me.
  43. drtimhill

    Nvidia announces new AI superchip with 208B transistors!!

    More hallucinations per second??? :)
  44. drtimhill

    FSD discussion

    The basic problem here is you are assuming a linear relationship, which is NOT how NNs work (nor would they be useful if they were). You ass assuming "small different in input" equals "small difference in output". but NNs dont work like that.. sure, you can train it to closely simulate a...
  45. drtimhill

    FSD discussion

    But to your very point this IS the same NN. So do what you attribute the difference? Goblins? One thing to understand about NNs is that though they are deterministic in the sense same input = same output, they are non-linear, so you dont know what even a small input perturbation will do to the...
  46. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Ah ok, so you're saying you need to move to Washington then :)
  47. drtimhill

    autopilot lane change updated?

    I think the point is to upgrade to FSD. EAP etc are only really intended for highways.
  48. drtimhill

    FSD discussion

    Not true. NNs are deterministic. IF the input data is the same, the output data will be the same. But that's never the case. The cameras have different positions between models. The time of day will vary, as will the weather. The GPS reception will differ and so the car position will dither a...
  49. drtimhill

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I've heard others say this, but I rarely find that myself. In fact in my case it seems to push the speed limit a bit much, hitting 35 in a 25 zone for example (which, around here, is edging into getting a ticket territory). using Average setting with the smart speed on. The only times I see the...
  50. drtimhill

    FSD discussion

    Yeah II've observed this too. Also, when given two lanes to choose from that both go try same way (say for a two lane left turn) the car dithers a lot before it makes up its mind which lane to take.