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  1. H

    Supercharger - Bend, OR - SW. Industrial Way (LIVE Jun 2023, 8 V3 stalls)

    I'm heading this way this weekend, any status updates on this supercharger?
  2. H

    Other Owners in Wyoming?

    Sadly, the people running that program in Wyoming are designing it to fail. The last time there was federal funding the same thing happened. I personally would keep hopes low outside of I80/I25, and Teton/Yellowstone. I really hope Tesla installs Cody soon, but more than that, one in Lander or...
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    We know they’ve been working on using the camera… bet that’ll be switched over.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I’d agree… it’ll be huge fud if it happens. Can see all the outrageous headlines now….
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Simple day traders betting on a large beat that didn’t happen.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    If we get an unreasonable dip because of it, I certainly will.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Significant fear out there that Elon dumps a bunch of stock shortly. No real buying pressure until that headwind is over. Need the Twitter deal to close
  8. H

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    If we go back to the news right before the P&D report, Tesla was stating a 500k Q4. I don't think that is coincidence. 500k production with ~15k net in transit, basically puts them right at the 50% growth. I expect them to state the goal is 50% delivery growth, but it will be tough. If I was...
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Getting close to the point where the PE will be a driver of the stock price. The ratio is dropping like a rock and will continue on that path. Even if next quarter is only $1 EPS, TTM goes from $3.61 to $3.85... continue just that number for 2 more quarters and you're at $4.05. That is probably...
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Purely off my recollection (likely wrong) I recall ~1b in debt at the end of Q2. This report is pretty much at expectations. Some minor variances that will bring some debate, but really with how neutral this is, the call and guidance from it are way more important. If Tesla says 1.4+m...
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    That is really kind of the norm in most companies. Usually something is overlooked, good or bad.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Looks like 250m... there's a big chunk of the miss from higher expectations.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Tanking looks more like those expecting a major beat selling when it didn't happen. Need to see the slide deck and listen to the call... re-affirming guidance of 50% delivery growth (not production) will likely be more important than these numbers.
  14. H

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    We will get some filings around the announcement that should clear that up. Entirely possible we know by mid next week if a sale will happen.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    It is really all speculation, but I think it is safe to say Elon can get the money if he's filing this. I tend to agree with this. The writing was on the wall that they were likely to lose the case and a merger would be forced. Any discount on that likely wasn't worth the pain this may cause.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Elon is likely restricted from selling until after earnings as he has material information. If there is a dump from Elon, that would likely (unless a plan was already filed) a few days after earnings. This is the market taking some risk off the table in preparation. To me this is clearly good...
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    This is good news once the details are hammered out.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Depends on the third parties.. but ~$2b if what has been filed is still in place.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I mean... I will be doing this later in the year. Using some of my call losses to absorb gains on shares that I can then use to buy leaps.
  20. H

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Didn't you say this last week and the week before that and the week before that?;)
  21. H

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I completely agree, but this is their last tool and they've shown the willingness to throw troops at the problem... I expect they will do the same here. Frankly Putin and those in power basically know that if they lose in the spring, they are out of power rather quickly. They will do whatever...
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    It is really their last grasp. If they can't break the will over the winter and then win a spring counter offensive, they'll lose pretty quickly in April/May. If they can win a counter offensive, it will get even uglier.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    That is what the market expected today and it didn't happen.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    They know that, but that doesn't mean they are going to lie down right now. They are much more likely to continue to escalate in an attempt to break the West's will on arming and funding Ukraine. I'd expect the winter will be pretty rough in that area.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yeah one of the weirder markets I've ever seen. Recession is everywhere and inevitable, but the job markets is one of the tightest in the last 20 years.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    In China you have a property bubble that just keeps looking worse and worse by the day. That alongside zero Covid has really hurt their economy. We (meaning the world, not Tesla investors) are used to huge Chinese economic growth, what happens when that stops and what that does to sales of...
  27. H

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    GDP officially negative for 2 quarters, and jobs came in strong... the latter meaning the Fed will continue to raise rates aggressively (they said they need the job market to tumble).
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Tesla has held up better than most of the market because of the relative strength of the company and growth. But to think that recession can't possibly hurt the growth is a bit blind to the reality on the ground. I think Tesla will be fine and weather this better than almost any other company...
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    One of the reasons the margin is where it is, is the simplified product mix. Having 3-4 different models that fill the same basic market just adds to the cost without really adding to demand.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    With the timing it would be more Bullard than Powell... but it seems to me it is more of a strong resistance and failure to break more than a news sort of day. Decent chance that if we slip below 10750, that a re-test of 10,600 happens.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Market went right up to the 11k and 3700 resistance points and got batted down. Likely going to need some positive economic news to push through those areas.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    The majority of revisions prior to earnings tend to happen after P&D.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I would say deflation is a legitimate risk to the US economy. The US economy doesn't handle deflation very well at all historically. Brief, short periods of it would be welcomed... 6 months or a year of it would likely cause some major issues. I think there are legitimate economic worries out...
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    That'll probably start on Tuesday (unless the rumors of issues on sales in China continue)... this week is more about blood in the water and panic.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Market is showing some support at these levels as they'd indicate a double bottom. It will re-test at some point either today or early next week, and how it holds (or doesn't) will likely set the course for the next couple weeks.
  36. H

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    And 10,800 has broken... we're very likely to re-test June lows.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Bond market has gone insane... if there is hope that this dip will turn around next week, it is that cooler heads will prevail there.
  38. H

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    The slap down at close was a sign I guess. 10,800 has to hold for the nasdaq or we will re-test lows. Who knows what ends up happening there… If we get a rejection and recovery, would be a large double bottom. But new lows are certainly possible right now.
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Was a bug on my ticker and was stuck at .96%, my bad!
  40. H

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Tesla is down ~4% and SP500 is down ~1%... where are you getting 10x?
  41. H

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Now that is better! At least getting a close above 11,100 would be good. Breaking the 11,140 range would setup tomorrow decently well.
  42. H

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    We will see... normally the more support is tested and the weaker the rejections... the more likely it is to break. This is a weaker rejection than the one we saw earlier today. Traditionally, not a great sign.
  43. H

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Here's the second test of support of the day... really need a stronger rejection this time around.
  44. H

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Why would I sell? My timeframe is in years and decades... not next week or month or quarter. I'll be adding more and leveraging more (conversions from shares to leaps while I can harvest some losses to offset gains). To say that there isn't some level of risk in the next 6 months isn't the...