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  1. Jonathan Hewitt

    Vendor Refresh Model S LR/Plaid : Winter Tire Option

    That's an interesting idea! I went with the 19x9.5 Cardenios for my Plaid but I could put the 255/45/19 front 285/40/19 rear Pilot Alpins tires on these wheels and then buy a new set of wheels in the spring and mount my summer tires on those.
  2. Jonathan Hewitt

    Vendor Refresh Model S LR/Plaid : Winter Tire Option

    Thanks so much for your help! This thread has been very helpful. I just got my Plaid on Thursday and should not have waited until now to try to get winter tires for it.. I'm trying to do the "winter wheel/package option" on Tirerack.com. Having them mounted and balanced is nice so I can do the...
  3. Jonathan Hewitt

    Supercharger - Augusta GA

    I drove by the site late May and saw a real estate sign out front and got worried they changed their mind. Glad to hear it's still happening!
  4. Jonathan Hewitt

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Well considering Elon kind of cut off Deepak when he was talking about "best in class" because Elon wanted to make it clear it was just "best" I think they've learned that it's best to let Elon say what he wants to say unless it's really important. So maybe they thought Elon was not going crazy...
  5. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    That's the point. It's "scary" even though it's safer. Just like flying is safer than driving or autopilot is safer than no autopilot. Humans are irrational.
  6. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Same concept as far the safest source of electricity.
  7. Jonathan Hewitt

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I'm on the same page as you. That was embarrassing. If he didn't want to answer boring questions then it would have been better for just Deepak and JB to have done the CC and Elon could have done a 1 on 1 special interview with Galieo and everyone could have been happy. Now what would be funny...
  8. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I am assuming he's short on sleep and high on stress level.
  9. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Yeah, thanks to this pop I'm shorting calls against my long calls to make spreads. I don't need infinite profit potential and the extra cash can be used to BTFD.
  10. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    It seems too obvious to short $TSLA. Horrible, horrible quarter coming up, media is letting EVERYONE know Tesla is going to go bankrupt, people's moms and grandmas are shorting Tesla because it's such easy money... The market as a whole is supposed to be efficient; the obvious move is usually...
  11. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Agreed, if people are depending on a positive surprise out of the ER to pump up the share price then longs are probably screwed. I would like to think the share price is at a "low" due to uncertainty and once the ER is over we will be past some of the uncertainty. We aren't at record short...
  12. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Found a LOT of Model 3's in a Tesla lot - Pictures inside
  13. Jonathan Hewitt

    Advanced TSLA Options Trading

    This is the advanced option thread, so please follow at your own risk. With TSLA Volatility at the highest it's been over the last year with the exception of the recent drop to ~$250 it may be worth putting on a strategy that takes advantage of high IV. Enter the Butterfly. One way to think...
  14. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Mostly because even when we have a good surprise it ends up being bad for short term share price. I can't tell you how many times Tesla announces great news for Tesla's long term share price, I buy more, then the share price goes down...I'll learn eventually.
  15. Jonathan Hewitt

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Ah, the old "If you can't beat them, sue them" strategy. :rolleyes: Tesla sued for more than $2 billion, accused of copying design of Nikola hydrogen trucks
  16. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Because my model assumes no surprises, it seems the smartest thing to do (for a trader) is to sit this one out and buy the next day because there is a larger likelihood of a big negative surprise than a big positive surprise and absent a big positive surprise there shouldn't be a large gap up...
  17. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Share Price Change=(Longs buying-longs selling) +(Shorts covering-shorts shorting) Assuming no positive or negative surprises, here's a super simplified model... Longs Buying: There are a decent amount of potential longs on the side, fearing the worst thanks to all the media FUD and funds that...
  18. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I have seen those mentioned on twitter as things that will doom TSLA, "IF they can last that long." Most of the bears on TSLA "expect" a BK this year, not in 2019/2021. *I quoted expect because I have no idea what they really expect, just what they say they expect. I would guess most of them...
  19. Jonathan Hewitt

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I did a little FUD fighting today based on the demands here. I hate doing it because it's like arguing with my toddlers and I get to do enough of that but I took the mindset of "this is for bystanders to see, not the tweeter" and that helped a lot. Seeing that my tweets had over 8,000...
  20. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I think I found his problem. Must be a Magic: The Gathering fan. Good game, probably not the best investment tool.
  21. Jonathan Hewitt

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Hit over the head? I don't even know if getting run over by a Model 3 would change the mind of some $TSLA shorts. Heck, getting run over by a Model 3 5,000 times a week probably wouldn't change their mind either. Probably wouldn't be able to short any additional shares, though o_O
  22. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Come on guys, Dana Hull is better than most journalists. Sorry to the people overseas who don't get the joke. In all fairness, you couldn't pay me enough to be a journalist so I will concede that. :oops:
  23. Jonathan Hewitt

    q1 2018 earnings estimates

    No one knows the future but I have to agree in that I would not at all be surprised to see a green week next week. I am reserving some cash to buy a dip if we get one but I'm not assuming there will be one. There isn't a ton more for shorts to short; for the share price to drop longs will need...
  24. Jonathan Hewitt

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Agreed, current valuation is not realistic. It is too low.
  25. Jonathan Hewitt

    Advanced TSLA Options Trading

    As expected, July 2018 options are available now. Unexpectedly, March and June 2019 options are available, too! LEAPs for months that aren't January? Trying to come up with a strategy to take advantage of this but haven't come up with one yet. March 2019 could be good as it should be after the...
  26. Jonathan Hewitt

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I can't stomach the articles so I would imagine listening would be that much worse. :confused: You deserve an award!
  27. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I know correlation is not causation but maybe shorts do in fact believe the more Model 3s Tesla makes the quicker they go BK...Amazing! Thanks Ihor! https://s3partners.net/Research/TSLA12.php
  28. Jonathan Hewitt

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    The Troy spreadsheet data estimated no production on Monday and 321 Model 3s yesterday. Will be interesting how the rest of the week shapes up. I would expect the daily number to increase until the weekly rate is 3,000+ as the post startup kinks are worked out if Elon's target comes true. This...
  29. Jonathan Hewitt

    Investor CONSTRUCTIVE Suggestions and/or Requests of Tesla

    I wouldn't think Elon would normally be up for this idea but with his new compensation package and his hatred of the TSLA shorts maybe he would? How do we help this happen? Ideas: -Tweet at Elon -Tweet at Phil Lebau -Tweet at other people at Tesla -Get someone to bring it up at the shareholders...
  30. Jonathan Hewitt

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    Yeah, if we get confirmation I'm going to have to reallocate some funds to TSLA.
  31. Jonathan Hewitt

    Advanced TSLA Options Trading

    If you are afraid of macro slides you can short calls against your long calls. You will still lose value on your long calls if we keep going down but you will profit on the short calls losing value. If TSLA doesn't move at all time decay of the short calls will help offset time decay of your...
  32. Jonathan Hewitt

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Why are we explaining basic financial concepts to TSLA trolls? There's no way they don't understand these things, right? :oops: :confused:
  33. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    If you only read the FUD that is EVERYWHERE right now wouldn't you short TSLA, too? I know I would (actually, I would notice the crazy high short interest, decide that it's a crowded trade, and stay away, but otherwise I would. A lot of people don't think this way, though. If everyone else is...
  34. Jonathan Hewitt

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    That's such a large increase I almost don't believe it. However, it would explain why the share price has been having so much trouble lately and with the crazy amount of FUD out there everyone and their grandma is probably shorting TSLA now. I would short TSLA also if all I read was that...
  35. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Well at least we are in agreement on this. o_O :rolleyes:
  36. Jonathan Hewitt

    Found a LOT of Model 3's in a Tesla lot - Pictures inside

    Wow! Crazy how Tesla was able to do all the rework on that many cars in one weekend!! Or did they find a new spot to hide them? /sarcasm :rolleyes: Ugh I hate TSLA short logic!!!
  37. Jonathan Hewitt

    Found a LOT of Model 3's in a Tesla lot - Pictures inside

    Naw, there wouldn't be enough money left for the UAW executive salaries if they had to pay for satellites. ;) UAW executives get pay raises as worker pay tumbles
  38. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    But they can't because there is a secret undisclosed SEC investigation going on. There's no other possible explanation and Elon is a liar. :rolleyes: Oh wait, you wanted the truth and not TSLA short logic? :p
  39. Jonathan Hewitt

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Oh shoot! Did really none of us look at any numbers?!? I knew we were missing something! :rolleyes: More Hilarious Facts About Tesla From A Hedge Fund Shorting The Stock
  40. Jonathan Hewitt

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Overall sentiment and media coverage is so bearish and negative even "bag holder quotes" is making fun of TSLA longs.
  41. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    PALO ALTO, Calif., April 19, 2018 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Tesla will post its financial results for the first quarter of 2018 after market close on Wednesday, May 2nd.
  42. Jonathan Hewitt

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I can't tell if they are actually panicking but they sure are talking up a storm tonight...They all seem to take Elon's letter as reaffirming their viewpoints that TSLA is doomed and I don't think it's just them talking the email down and trying to reassure themselves of their short position; I...
  43. Jonathan Hewitt

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    That sounds to me like the next parody account name!
  44. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    The funny thing is that "off in the horizon" is 3K-4K next month (May) and 5K+ in 2.5 months from now (end of June). We are basically there if things go to plan and it looks like the plan is pretty known at this point; it's not hopes and dreams like it was in June 2017. I don't think we've ever...
  45. Jonathan Hewitt

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    They are setting themselves up at least one full week of production before the Q1 ER by shutting down Model 3 production now. This should allow Elon to talk about a nice production rate if things go to plan.
  46. Jonathan Hewitt

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Tesla Is Temporarily Shutting Down Model 3 Production. Again. Also includes this gem: "Meanwhile, Tesla workers who work on the Model S and X lines have been informed by the company that those lines will be operating throughout all weekends in June"