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In which time window do the rest of the shares have to be sold in order to pay tax? Can this be done in small steps over several months or are the taxes due earlier?
A quick sale could increase the pressure on the share price; a sale over several months should have a neutral effect.
A further catalyst for the share price could be an adjustment of the Moody rating.
https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-upgrades-Teslas-corporate-family-rating-to-Ba3-outlook-is--PR_442887
Redeeming 1.8B Bond 2025 should also have a positive issue...