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  1. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I love the euphemism of validating. At this point it's more likely chasing pesky bugs and prepping for an exorcism.
  2. K

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I recall Kirkhorn and Baglino both sold stock before announcing their departures. But that was the largest part of their compensation.
  3. K

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Form 144 today with Andrew B washing his hands of it. He's exercising his option to sell 1.14M shares. Not bad timing.
  4. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Yes! Another default response allowing universal stop sign behavior that satisfies an empty crosswalk or a crosswalk with little old ladies and children crossing. So how are they implementing these default responses that seemingly ignore scenery differences?
  5. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    It's default. It's not assessing the scene and tailoring an optimized response.
  6. K

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Good for Poland. Military age Ukrainian men in Poland are gaming the system at a time when Poland is considering sending their men into Western Ukraine. When war broke there was ~350k military age Ukrainian men in Poland. Some urgently crossed after war broke. Some also crossed the Moldova...
  7. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    That sounds about right. The perverted FSD stop sign behaviors began with v10.69 and Chuck's unprotected left turn. I've always assumed it was a hack enabling more time for the system to possibly gain some scenario wits. Whatever the reason, the team apparently doesn't trust stop sign behaviors...
  8. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I'm betting FSD has caused well over 7 heart attacks and strokes.
  9. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Or they need to add more bat brains and ghost poo. :)
  10. K

    Tesla to license Autopilot / FSD

    The only way that works is if FSD was ready to go now - it's a can or worms now. The design needs to be complete, pass functional tests, and then the 3+ year clock counts down. Elon and team scoffed at that yesterday. There are rare exceptions but I doubt an OEM would be willing to trust the...
  11. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Stock analyst Toni Sacconaghi was on CNBC this morning (not a TSLA bull). Said he's been driving FSD the last 3 weeks and FSD has made good progress but has "every daily limitations," "still a long ways to go." He thinks: - full self driving will take 5-10 years, - it isn't clear that TSLA will...
  12. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Of course we'll never know until TSLA opens up their FSD statistics vault for public review. It's fair to assume things are far worse than TSLA currently claims.
  13. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    If it's gonna happen at all it should be most dramatic with early version releases.
  14. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    The end of the conference call got even wackier with Elon and team promoting the millions of sold Tesla vehicles for use as a future supercomputer revenue. This from a guy who tried to save money by cutting all connections and rolling Twitter's data racks onto a rental truck. 🤣 I don't think...
  15. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Last I heard they were having trouble with Dojo reliability/connections.
  16. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    In today's earnings call Elon said FSD is no longer training constrained and FSD improvements are 'profound.'
  17. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    There should be some aspect of training data commanding the brakes. The lead vehicle brake lights, turn signals, the broadside of the pickup, quickly closing in on a near stationary object in path, ... Maybe it's another example of the boy's throwing caution to the wind in an attempt to make...
  18. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Wonder if it's an edge case given the need to heavily slow for the sharp wide turn given the trailer?
  19. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    It's a dirty med touching more than a few systems in the body and interacting with many medications. And then the after effects. After 5 day offshore tuna fishing trip with the patch on the nicest charter boat, I just avoid the boat. :)
  20. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Seems hard to believe but some say FSD doesn't track a towed trailer. I don't have any experience with this scenario, but in this case, I would think it's related to insufficient training data.
  21. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Not sure if you are talking about phantom braking? For me that is mostly a thing of the past. Otherwise it will brake hard when needed regardless of closely following traffic. There's been recent videos of following traffic needing to divert to the roadside to avoid rear end contact. It will...
  22. K

    Waymo

    With response time and safety short of an attentive human, your left with an overpriced novelty even for L2. I would love to know their max response time requirement. I would guess less than 500ms.
  23. K

    Throttle pedal temporary fix

    I wouldn't be surprised if that's the case but it should be part of the manufacturing process.
  24. K

    Waymo

    Just another day in SF?
  25. K

    Elon Tweets

    And it appears they just dropped the US Model Y price again by $2k.
  26. K

    Elon Tweets

    Elon might be ready with some doozies on Tues. 🍿 Regarding supply and demand, I no longer judge how TSLA is doing by the number of cars in the local inventory lot. Now I take note of the dust on the Teslas at the local Tesla inventory lot.
  27. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Sometimes she does live X videos resulting in terrible video resolution. It would be nice to see it redone in a more normal camera resolution.
  28. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I had to edit my initial post as I honestly can't tell if the audio is early. Something seems off though.
  29. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I'm gonna edit this one as I can't tell if the audio is early... Here's an interesting test although the video is terribly overexposed. The results seem impressive but I can't tell if something is awry. Is the audio track early to the mannequin's initial presence, when the vehicle initially...
  30. K

    Throttle pedal temporary fix

    The repair video I saw they didn't deburr/chamfer or clean before applying the rivet.
  31. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    George Carlin was right. :)
  32. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Surely Elon is willing to give a nice trade in value for our FSD equipped Tesla's. Oh that's right, FSD has no trade in value!!! What the?! 🤣
  33. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Yep, there's gonna be old posts. Tesla introduced self driving to the public in Oct 2014. That's over 9 years ago.
  34. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I would guess $12k or 15k is closer to -3dB than a price noise floor given Elon's plans to take a sizeable revenue percentage and be a robotaxis competitor. The current FSD price is still too high. And in the future increased out of pocket costs will be related to hardware via improved sensors...
  35. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Apparently few were out right purchasing it. And at $8k the subscription still seems to be a better deal given the flexibility and break even after almost 7 years. No worries though. FSD will pay for itself and then some. :)
  36. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    And as many predicted, FSD price dropped again. Now its $8k! Elon said FSD would get more expensive the better it performed. 🤷‍♂️ I reckon Elon is looking for any opportunity to boost the stock price before Tues' conference call.
  37. K

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Per The Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/20/us-house-approves-61bn-aid-ukraine Per factcheck.org, about 10% of 2022 US spending on Ukraine was for social programs so the new spending plan might spend even less on military needs. USAID paid $13B of the 2022 $113.1B for...
  38. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    For sure it's best to be objective. Although this is just an enthusiast forum and I understand some emotional outbursts upon near misses, running traffic lights, wheels making contact with curbs, etc. Hopefully we are all here to enjoy FSD and ultimately see it get better. Gawd knows there's...
  39. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Why? Maybe partially related to Elon's nonstop fake news. Maybe partially from social media shills. And partially from online apologists. We can only evaluate FSD progress on its performance. There's no harm in identifying shortcomings. It even has a chance of making driving assist systems...
  40. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Another example of how superficial and clueless v12 can be. In the past one could assume v12 thought the line of cars were parked but these cars are moving and applying brake lights.
  41. K

    Cybertruck is a scam.

    There were around 500 CTs parked in GigaAustin lots the last few days. There may have been more to this story after all.
  42. K

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    One news source says it's an old video. The fog of war?
  43. K

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Wow! I noticed the drop and was about to close my short russell futures positions. Instead I better sell more.
  44. K

    AI News

    Nice work for a part time 2 year effort. I was looking for an entry - Think: Crap, this 5lbs plastic tote is heavy and I stumbled again.
  45. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I've been using the accelerator but sometimes I get the needless audible alert that I'm not slowing enough - even though I'm closing the distance with a steady decel and plenty of remaining distance.
  46. K

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    His FSD 'solved' vision have been annual jokes for too long. At best the RT priority is an attempt to distract and buy some time. Few are taking the bait.
  47. K

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    That works for the private sector whereas publicly traded quarterly earning reports tends to put a monkey wrench in it.
  48. K

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Depending on the source, TSLA TTM PE is 35 and fwd is 41. Tech including MSFT are dropping these days. Sounds more like a screaming sell.
  49. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Unfortunately probably not much but I'd like to see them start tackling the growing issue list: - chill/aggressive mode select tied to accel/decel, - eliminate tailgating, - fix erratic speed/auto max, - fix early turn signal, - eliminate dry wipe, - detect and appropriately slow for roadway...
  50. K

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I hear you. There's a long list of improvements needed some of which are downright dangerous. Unfortunately v12 behaves much the same as v11 with a clunky non-human feel of poorly refined/designed heuristics and simulated data. Apparently the team likes to maintain unrefined features so they can...