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  1. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Took the decision to sell half my shares for risk mitigation over the next few months, hoping to swing trade for a $20+ gain. Entered a limit order GTC at $170 which missed by minutes, shaved it to $168, same. Not willing to take $163, so thought of ITM CC which just executed: 12Apr$155 at...
  2. CHGolferJim

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Could be multiple actors, not just “one trader”?
  3. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Is that assuming IV is the same on dates of LEAP buys and sales? Wouldn’t it be reasonable to expect higher IV than now (with SP doubled and possibly on the rise), or would IV at time of sale more depend on SP movement during the few months prior to reaching $300?
  4. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Discussed in Papafox’s thread.
  5. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Also considering selling half my shares and starting to rebuy in April, meant to do it around $200, but as a committed HODLer have been dithering through the daily bleed. BUT, RSI has gone from 36 Wednesday at $169.50 to 31.2 today ($162-$169). Not sure what time of day the daily RSI is...
  6. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    4.8x vs. 2.0x? What is break-even on LEAPs vs. Shares, about SP $220?
  7. CHGolferJim

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Guess we won’t have accurate numbers on units delayed and how many were made up during Q1 until the ER, if then. Seems optimistic there won’t be a net negative impact on production, but possible could be made up by selling down ex-Germany inventory?
  8. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Me, too. For me, @Yoona, @dl003 and @MaxPlaid are at least 50% of the value of the forum. Too many others + and - to mention, no offense :)
  9. CHGolferJim

    CyberTruck (CT) waiting room

    Isn’t there only one Foundation Series configuration? Confused by threads about Dual and Tri waiting rooms. I never expected to be able to get one (and $100k is $27.5k higher than $80k version w/tax rebate) so I hadn’t thought much about it. Now with the special offer for long-term...
  10. CHGolferJim

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    And maybe this approach will be used once ordinary CT are made available :)
  11. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Really feel for you, so many difficult events to balance in your life and work; strongly advise you to take a more calming and cautious approach with your options strategy a la Yoona. Best wishes, we appreciate you here.
  12. CHGolferJim

    CyberTruck (CT) waiting room

    I ordered in Nov. 2019 and have RN114366641, who knows when?
  13. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I like this, but am worried about reaction to Q1 ER which this may not reflect.
  14. CHGolferJim

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Surely a quote from your current insurer would beat those figures, those are multiples of what I pay (USAA, albeit multiiple policy discounts).
  15. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Kicking myself for letting MaxPain scare me off, and wingeing out of the 8Mar$175 so early.
  16. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Bit the bullet of low premiums, and sold 22Mar$195 cc. Trying to not “be greedy” :)
  17. CHGolferJim

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Surely that would also be deemed a contribution.
  18. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Going there, too, if my 3/8 -c$175 get to $5.00.
  19. CHGolferJim

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    There is an Elon tweet out this morning that he will contribute to neither candidate.
  20. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Clearly a lot of cleanup costs, but can’t the production hit be limited to perhaps the extent of inventories? No more price cuts in Europe?
  21. CHGolferJim

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Or nefarious international actors such as pre-Wall collapse……..
  22. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Nice, thanks for the idea —> limit order for 10 x 3/8 -c175 @ $9.50 or better [Edit — switched to market order and could only get $6.775 at 10:50 :( ] PS: Bought two packs of ramen yesterday.
  23. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    It is really unbelievable what you can do with drones these days……..
  24. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Is it confirmed a transformer specifically for Giga was attacked, or was it broader? So no damage to Giga other than “blown fuses, etc.”?
  25. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Big change for one day, lots of repositioning……..
  26. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Does that table take account of typically higher IV and decent chance of a $2-$5 SP rise (both raising premium) early in the week? (Closed today at $1.39 with hi/lo $1.79/$1.09)
  27. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Gave me a little pause there, but being patient and confident in the numbers saved a couple k by letting the 1Mar$205 expire (sto 14Feb).
  28. CHGolferJim

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Is the $1 per minute charge now active everywhere in the US? Rarely do this, but occasionally when eating it happens, so if in effect I’ll need to be more careful.
  29. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    FWIW, no change in today’s Max-Pain number, so SP unlikely to overshoot by $7.50 ($205)?
  30. CHGolferJim

    Supercharger - Lumberton, NC

    Thanks, still close to I-95 and open access, so will be interesting to see how many non-Teslas show up.
  31. CHGolferJim

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Will be driving from NC to LA and TX next month. I don’t suppose there are too many Ford BEVs to worry about in the Southeast, greater Atlanta possibly?
  32. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Welcome! As a start, read all YTD posts in this thread plus the first few pages that include @adiggs admonition to do the study course. There are various opinion leaders and various approaches in the thread, some technical analysis oriented and some more feel for stock momentum, so you pick...
  33. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Bumped to $197.50 this AM……..
  34. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    If they were knowledgeable about TSLA, they would buy in the afternoons :)
  35. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I believe this shows the max pain and share price values as of each Friday close, and MP could have changed dramatically during the previous week. What I’m curious about is whether MP a week or two ahead of time predicts with any accuracy future SP. For example, does MP as of a Monday “day...
  36. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Considering that 8Mar CC premiums may drop next week, rolled 1Mar$215 to 8Mar$215 after 3pm today for a net credit of $1.32. Watching 1Mar$205 for expiry or assignment on Friday (then wait to rebuy shares <$190).
  37. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    It would be interesting to graph this, and add lines each week to see how predictive the numbers are.
  38. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    What kind of target returns and time frames are you looking for with the LEAPs given the likelihood (?) of SP meandering $250-$300 in 2024? I closed all 2025 LEAPs out in late December fortunately, and values have gone down significantly since then, and one tranche barely outgained shares for...
  39. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    After Friday, I certainly didn’t predict Monday and Tuesday, and I have a bad history with long calls and LEAPs, so I’m reluctant to swing trade my supposed HODL long shares. For the next few days, closely monitoring 1Mar$205 and $215 cc hoping for expiration. If they clear without needing to...
  40. CHGolferJim

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Or wait 6-12 months and pick over the bones……….
  41. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Tempted to roll my 1Mar$205 and $215, but total btc cost is $6k, so gonna hold a day or two longer to assess odds these will expire.
  42. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I copied him last time and it didn’t go so well.
  43. CHGolferJim

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Didn’t realize his fund is so small……..
  44. CHGolferJim

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Worries about bankruptcy and loss of service?
  45. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    With this morning’s steep rise, sold a more cautious strike — 1Mar$215 CC at $1.39 (10% OTM). Left 11 available contracts unsold to help rescue 1Mar$205, if needed.
  46. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Perhaps Gary is under pressure with his new fund, and anyway no doubt hates being wrong about anything, including recent TSLA SP performance.
  47. CHGolferJim

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Someone with more statistics knowledge than I might find greater correlation than I see. I see options buyers and sellers correcting their exposures based on price shifts (and possibly the reverse causation that Papafox sees), but on the Fridays in this chart: in 2 weeks SP>MP, and in 2 weeks...
  48. CHGolferJim

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Most people require fear of something to dramatically change their approach, so “don’t panic” is often heard as “don’t worry about it”.