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Well folks, I graduated at 4pm yesterday. As is the custom of our people, I shall share my story for the benefit of future graduates. Its a novel but I hope it's helpful. - I originally had my pickup scheduled for today (8/2) but on 7/30 whilst standing on a golf course roughly 4 hours from my...

Well folks, just got my delivery appointment scheduled for August 2nd. 66 days all in from order to delivery assuming that the appointment sticks. Will post an update once its been completed. How the hell is anyone supposed to do their job after getting that news...

Thanks buddy - we're all pulling for ya. I'll add you to my will so that if I get hit by a bus before delivery you can have my car (hope you like blue).

Woke up to a fresh VIN this morning- its really happening! For reference - 53 days total from order to VIN (Virginia).

Aside from an EDD update/move to a 2-week-window last Friday, nothing new. Where are you picking up?

Yep got updated from 7/21 to 8/18 to a two week window of 7/28 to 8/11

Welp my "fancy" regression model estimated that I'd have a vin within 24 days of order so its trash. It is twice as accurate at predicting time-to-vin when compared to just assuming you'd get it in the average time so that's something.

I'm down the rabbit hole now. Going to get out of excel and throw some fancier math at all of this. Stand-by for unnecessary engineering and misdirected talent.

Worth a shot though what defines East v West might be tricky. Could do east cost, west coast, central or something like east == east of the Mississippi, West== all others.

I filtered it down to include only performance models ordered in the US. Was thinking about breaking it down further by region but I think the categories will get to sparse for the results to be meaningful.

A bit more granular info here - order to vin average waits when in different quarters by year. Q2 to Q3 crossovers look to be pretty consistently in the 60+ day range. Order Quarter/FY to Vin Rec'd Quarter/FY Average (Days) Q4_20 -> Q1_21 87 Q1_20 -> Q2_20 75 Q1_21 -> Q2_21 72 Q3_19 ->...

Yeah I was really hoping that I screwed something up in the analysis but no dice

Bored data scientists get up to all kinds of mischief. Granted, I only have the data from the spreadsheet that's been posted here so its hard to know how representative it is globally but its the best we've got. I'll probably keep tinkering as a means to pass the time and will share any other...

On this topic, I was stuck in meetings yesterday and decided to use my time "productively" by running some analysis on the spreadsheet. I was most interested in the difference in order to vin time for orders that were placed in the same quarter and received vins in the same quarter versus those...

For whatever its worth to folks out there: My EDD shifted back this morning to 7/21 to 8/18, exactly a week to the day from it shifting to 7/30 to 9/3 from 6/24 to 7/8. Progress?

Yeah the lack of transparency regarding the impact of profile steps versus order date as the main determinant for queue position is mind boggling. I figured given that I had the two week window and had received a text asking about the trade-in that I ought to complete that step but given the...

Greetings All, I've been hanging out in the shadows for the past couple of weeks, mainly to cut down on the compulsive app refresh. Reading the messages here has definitely made me feel like I am not the only passenger on the emotional roller coaster that is the Tesla delivery process. Specs...