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  1. M

    SpaceX Starship - IFT-3 - Starbase TX - Launch Thread and Post Launch Discussion

    Could be as simple as a vibration based version of wave rake/ bump lockpicking. Keep a load on the tile and wiggle back and forth with each oscillation shifting the pins a little more toward unengaged. Or the lock tabs on the pin failed. Or there was some insulation trapped between pins and tile.
  2. M

    SpaceX Starship - IFT-3 - Starbase TX - Launch Thread and Post Launch Discussion

    The OLM is 6 exhaust tunnels, one every 60 degrees with a hydraulic flame diverter in the middle. The tower might prefer only 5 tunnels though...
  3. M

    Tax credit 2024 [The tax credit discussion thread]

    Your tax goes up by the credit amount. It may be treaded the same as any other underpayment . If do, you can adjust your 2024 withholdings once you know you won't qualify. IRA and HSA contributions lower your AGI.
  4. M

    Tax credit 2024 [The tax credit discussion thread]

    Sorry, I lost track of years, the point was eligibiltyundrr currentir previous year. Can you make additional 2023 schedule 1 deductions to fit under? HSA or IRA contributions might work.
  5. M

    Tax credit 2024 [The tax credit discussion thread]

    No, modified AGI has carveouts for foreign income. https://www.irs.gov/pub/taxpros/fs-2023-29.pdf However, you can qualify under your 2023 AGI/ filing status if that helps.
  6. M

    Autonomous Car Progress

    Those are my thoughts and NTSBs quote... Given the Mach E hit the stationary vehicle, it seems like AEB/FCW did not achieve their purpose however you choose to categorize them. NHTSA categorizes them as driver assistance technologies: Driver Assistance Technologies | NHTSA
  7. M

    Autonomous Car Progress

    It wasn't on the side of the road, it was in the middle lane. One might assume that AEB and FCW may have both failed to alert the driver, so that part of driver assistance is also part of the reason for investigating. "NTSB is investigating this fatal crash due to its continued interest in...
  8. M

    Autonomous Car Progress

    Crash investigation with possible Blue Cruise involvement: US to investigate Texas fatal crash that may have involved Ford partially automated driving system
  9. M

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    FWIW, the word "scheme" as used across the pond does not carry the negative connotations associated with it in the US. It's more synonymous with "plan" or "system".
  10. M

    Wiki Super Heavy/Starship - General Development Discussion

    That fits with a lower perigee and closer target (Indian vs Pacific Oceans)... I think...
  11. M

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Every user for the portal needs an account and verified banking credentials. There are a lot less dealerships than there are people who want to sell a car.
  12. M

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I think it's a necessary restriction to make fraud mitigation via the IRS portal logistically feasible.
  13. M

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Sale must be done through a dealer, not party to party. https://www.irs.gov/pub/taxpros/fs-2023-29.pdf
  14. M

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    But replaced with the firmer COO of Cruise...
  15. M

    Starship “EP2P” (Earth Point-to-Point) Discussion

    Again, forget the article. It has nothing to do with this. The scenario is a supplier's parts are found to be defective and there is a line stop at the OEM which will continue until known good parts arrive. Down time = Part build time + transport time Multiple planes are needed because the...
  16. M

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    ~7.6 million shares at the closing cross, triple option expiry action?
  17. M

    Starship “EP2P” (Earth Point-to-Point) Discussion

    Yes, I get the bulk of the article wasn't relevant. I only included it for the factory shutdown cost number. If both the supplier and factory were near enough to Starship sites, it could be worth millions. Current alternative is hiring multiple private jets (which cuts buffering time).
  18. M

    Discussion: Powershare [V2X feature currently announced for Cybertruck]

    It doesn't, that was their idea for a new system.
  19. M

    Starship “EP2P” (Earth Point-to-Point) Discussion

    As regards arguing with me over the cost of shutting down a factory. You said you didn't know of a situation where hours = millions and I was attempting to give one, not that it justifies Starship cargo point to point, but because such things do exist. Again, it was an example of hours =...
  20. M

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Tl;dr: to investors: automotive is a crazy hard business to be in, especially when things go wrong. We talk of 5k vehicles per week. Imagine needing to rework all those cars while resuppling the parts pipeline due to a quality escape. What are you even arguing against? I never claimed I was...
  21. M

    SpaceX Starship - IFT-3 - Starbase TX - Launch Thread and Post Launch Discussion

    Hard to say, it was stable for a while until a drop out and the door test. 8:35 MECO 12:10 still stable 16:20 light pattern through cargo door indicates rotation 19:26 rotation
  22. M

    SpaceX Starship - IFT-3 - Starbase TX - Launch Thread and Post Launch Discussion

    There's a dump pipe/ catch basin for the cryo over there, then the wind blows it the other way.
  23. M

    Discussion: Powershare [V2X feature currently announced for Cybertruck]

    Yeah, I've mentioned PW+ or PW3 could direct connect to a battery pack. Add UWC guts and a set of DC contactors and you're good to go. Or two sets of DC contactors and it can switch between solar and Cybertruck. Could even split between MPPTs. Fancier would be bi-directional charging. Good...
  24. M

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Um... I lived it, do you really think the OEM only charges the supplier the labor costs without penalties??? The article was just for the benefit of fact checkers. Even at 1.3 million (which isn't the cost to the supplier) * 5 hours additional shutdown (after production of the parts) = multiple...
  25. M

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    You've obviously never been on the wrong end of a automotive manufacturing plant shutdown... $1.3 million up to $3 million per hour in 2006 The $22,000-Per-Minute Manufacturing Problem
  26. M

    SpaceX Starship - IFT-3 - Starbase TX - Launch Thread and Post Launch Discussion

    That's the only structure, and yep, stringers are stainless also.
  27. M

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Dated 2022...
  28. M

    Wiki Super Heavy/Starship - General Development Discussion

    I though IFT-3 was V2: Raptor V2 and electric TVC. Raptor V3 can go on next ships, then onto the stretch.
  29. M

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Answered in other thread:
  30. M

    How much $ to retire and how to fund your lifestyle in retirement

    When you say retire, do you mean living off passive income from the two rentals? Just curious as to the feasibility of retiring at 45 with $475k.
  31. M

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    When has Elon or the Board ever said people should buy the stock? Closest thing I'm aware of is path to high valuation in the future. Q1 2018: "I think that if people are concerned about volatility, they should definitely not buy our stock. I'm not here to convince you to buy our stock. Do not...
  32. M

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    The sale was part of a plan from October 2023.
  33. M

    Cybertruck towing Airstream

    They're working on it
  34. M

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    If the reason the strategy works is because it makes others sell (or buy), it's illegal... Which is interesting in terms of stop loss triggering large shorts... I'm not here to prove the situation exists, only to attempt to explain how it differs from normal trading and where the proposed...
  35. M

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    The central nuance as I understand it: A trade that moves the market versus a trade to move the market. The put purchasing isn't a genuine trade if done specifically to drive the stock down. The specific law: Title 15 78i It shall be unlawful for any person, directly or indirectly, by the use...
  36. M

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yeah, but exercising does not require selling (beyond covering taxes and basis).
  37. M

    Tesla BEV Competition Developments

    Yeah the whole team part was theorizing on the thread due to the team having come from Apple and retention bonus timing.
  38. M

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Different situations. The options purchase both have an effect, but what is the intent behind it? People buying calls throughout the trading day to hopefully profit in the future Versus Someone buying a bunch of puts at open to manipulate the stock price
  39. M

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Anything under 145 and the call expires worthless/ unexecuted Anything above 135 and the put expires worthless
  40. M

    Tesla BEV Competition Developments

    GM may be losing their SW team...
  41. M

    Discussion: Powerwall 3 [Speculation / Discussion etc]

    How far in the future for what? PW3 are available to order now.
  42. M

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    🤷‍♂️? opc has the option to change IV for the scenario.
  43. M

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    The $120 number is wrong. That position is share parity at $300 at expiration. optionsprofitcalculator.com/ can show you call vs dollar equivalent share returns.
  44. M

    SpaceX Starship - IFT-3 - Starbase TX - Launch Thread and Post Launch Discussion

    Was it traveling sideways at that point? Could be a <> +/- 90 artifact...
  45. M

    SpaceX Starship - IFT-3 - Starbase TX - Launch Thread and Post Launch Discussion

    Even here? Looks landish (or second cloud layer?)
  46. M

    SpaceX Starship - IFT-3 - Starbase TX - Launch Thread and Post Launch Discussion

    I don't think so, it looked like they started trying to light engines earlier but they didn't spool up. At 500 meters somebody really didn't want to... Yeah, tank vent thusters. Maybe it ran out of ullage gas?
  47. M

    SpaceX Starship - IFT-3 - Starbase TX - Launch Thread and Post Launch Discussion

    It's built stronger and is carrying less velocity. F9: 4,700 km/hr at reetry burn @ 60 km down to 2,200 km/hr SH: peaks at ~4,300 @ 29 km and is 3,300 @ 60 km
  48. M

    SpaceX Starship - IFT-3 - Starbase TX - Launch Thread and Post Launch Discussion

    You were right "Super Heavy successfully lit several engines for its first ever landing burn before the vehicle experienced a RUD (that’s SpaceX-speak for “rapid unscheduled disassembly”). The booster’s flight concluded at approximately 462 meters in altitude and just under seven minutes into...
  49. M

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    That is a calculation of how much a Jun26 C250 would be worth today if the stock price was 300.
  50. M

    SpaceX Starship - IFT-3 - Starbase TX - Launch Thread and Post Launch Discussion

    Yep, no reentry burn for Superheavy.