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In nominal terms, yes, but inflation will wind up paying for the majority of that. It's important to keep in mind that rent is likely to increase dramatically in most areas during that period--historically well beyond the rate of inflation.

Feels like today was a bear trap. Wake me up when they manage to shove the stock down more than 3%

Did everyone have a nice week?

Hey! Here's some icing on today's cake. Latest short figures have just been released, and short interest INCREASED by 1.1 million shares since the last reporting period. 37.18 million shares were shorted as of 10/15 settlement. Tesla, Inc. Common Stock (TSLA) Short Interest The stock has...

This times a million. "It's the batteries, stupid!" Audi had to cut production targets on the e-tron because LG started squeezing them: Audi’s first electric car reportedly delayed again because of a battery shortage Every other automaker is going to be competing for scraps while Tesla owns...

Tax implications aside, this should be no more stressful than watching the stock skyrocket while you’ve chosen to tie up your buying power with short puts rather than long shares. That is the equivalent scenario.

Ummmmm....selling puts has literally the same risk / reward profile as selling covered calls.

We just closed at the highest level since Q2 earnings--I will consider that a win. Have a lovely weekend everybody.

Macros are puking and TSLA is resilient AF. BULLISH.

TSLA holding up exceptionally well against ugly macros and extremely bearish note by Adam Jonas: Morgan Stanley Predicts Q3 Deliveries Miss For Tesla, Capitulates On Company's Autonomous Timeline He's predicting 91,346 deliveries for Q3. Looking forward to seeing how that goes for him :-)

As others have said GF3 will allow Model 3 to be priced more competitively, spurring demand in China. As for other markets--demand will continue to grow organically as there are more cars on the road. The best kind of marketing is Tesla owners showing their friends and family first-hand how...

Official Nasdaq short interest figures have been released after an apparent 24 hour delay. Short interest as of 8/30 settlement is 39,744,386. This reflects an increase of 447,870 shares shorted since the prior reporting period. Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Short Interest

Today was supposed to be the dissemination date for official Nasdaq short interest figures, but there has been no update to the short interest page. I don't recall this ever happening before. Weird. Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Short Interest

Today was the lowest-volume day for TSLA in 9 months (11/29/2018). With volume drying up and short interest near record levels, this seems to me a pretty bullish setup given the proper catalyst.

Selling a cash-secured put has exactly the same risk / reward profile of buying stock and writing a covered call. It is essentially the same trade.

My take: for the majority of prospective customers, S / X simply do not provide enough value over 3 / Y to justify significantly higher cost. Either... - Musk doesn't understand this - Musk does understand this, there are additional enhancements to S / X coming and Musk has been tight-lipped...

After hours trading volume was *exceptionally light* today for an earnings event. Past ERs have had AH volume on par with the average daily volume of regular hours trading. Interested to see tomorrow's action. Another factor to keep in mind is that we are already at near-record levels of...

That "impossible timeline" from 5 years ago is right on track: https://seekingalpha.com/article/2501685-why-projections-for-tesla-to-sell-500000-cars-in-2020-are-absurd (Published September 2014)

While we wait: latest short figures released, basically flat (tiny uptick) since last reporting period: https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/tsla/short-interest

lowest volume day since february

Prediction: we will close green, macros permitting, as manipulations are unwound and reality sets in that yesterday's price cuts imply Q2 margins were strong af.

Lowest volume day in nearly 3 months.

Uncharacteristically positive discussion over at Hacker News with many comments re: Tesla hitting the nail on the head: BMW CEO to quit after carmaker loses early lead in electrics | Hacker News The tide of public opinion is turning.

Right. He was also showing 39.3 mil shorted on 6/10. It's possible that the discrepancy between NASDAQ and S3 short interest numbers are due to the delay due to settlement. The NASDAQ figures reflect trades *settled by* the settlement day (usually 3 business days).

Latest official short interest figures are out from NASDAQ. Short interest is *down* by over 2 million shares since the last reporting period. However SI is back up beyond all-time-highs according to latest data from Ihor at S3 partners. Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Short Interest Ihor Dusaniwsky on...

This is great. I'm really glad he highlighted the quote from this piece: https://seekingalpha.com/article/2501685-why-projections-for-tesla-to-sell-500000-cars-in-2020-are-absurd Tesla sold 245,240 vehicles last year. That's nearly 33% higher and TWO YEARS EARLIER than a growth target he...

Not torn on this. I'm no fan of Fred's but I think it's entirely reasonable for journalists to operate on the assumption that SEC filings are accurate.

Chanos' Kynikos Associates long on Tesla put options on March 31 -Amended SEC filing June 19 (Reuters) - Jim Chanos' Kynikos Associates was long on Tesla Inc put options, not call options, on March 31, according to an amended Securities and Exchange filing on Wednesday. The filing restated a...

Bear Attack in full force as Business Insider publishes hit piece claiming they have documents that "suggest" Tesla is falling short of production goals. No direct quotes from purported leak, piece is light on details: Leaked documents suggest Tesla has not met a Model 3 production goal set by...

I flew to the East Coast for a few days to visit my parents and to attend a wedding. While here I'm borrowing my mother's 3 series BMW to run errands and go about my business. It is so hard to realize how much an ICE sucks until you've gotten used to driving an EV. I HATE how there's a...

Holy *sugar*. Demand secured.

Model 3 only became eligible for the $5,000 CAD federal rebate one month ago. There have been anecdotal reports of the Vancouver store taking ~800 orders in a week. So yes Canada is a bit of a wildcard in Q2.

You're forgetting Canada. 28K figure so far in Q2 is U.S. only, not all of NA as you wrote.

Short interest is now up over 51% over the past 5 months. That is significant. Keeping an eye on the relative peaks and troughs is useful even if the baseline SI is always high compared to other stocks.

Sorry if I wasn't clear. I look at historically high short interest as a signal that the stock may be close to bottoming out and that it may be a good time to buy. Does that answer the question?

Latest official NASDAQ short interest figures just dropped: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Short Interest Short interest relatively flat from 4/30 to 5/15 settlement dates. Not terribly surprising as stock did not move dramatically during this time. Next figures released on 6/11 will reflect the current...

Don't underestimate the bears' capacity to move the goalposts. I can hear them now: "Q4 was a fluke and only profitable because the expiring tax credit caused a surge of artificial demand."

No, Trump is the idiot. He forced Powell’s hand by making demands of a a body that must—above all—be viewed as apolitical. Great negotiator my ass.

@jhm Any chance of an unexpected cash windfall as Tesla unwinds the hedge at a nice premium after distribution?

Margin calls.

Remember when a cornerstone of the bear thesis was: "we're overdue for a market correction and when the market sells off, TSLA will be hit the hardest." Pepperidge farm remembers. TSLA showing incredible strength today. Any green close today would be wonderful. 360+ even better.

Whoa boy is volume low. Following this stock for five years I've seen this play out many times. To me, this feels like TSLA coiling up tight, consolidating in the low 340s, waiting to explode upward on the next positive catalyst. My most profitable trade EVER was when I bought weekly calls...

There may or may not be fundamental reasons for a recession in the near future. But this concept of being "due" is essentially the gambler's fallacy.

Food for thought: if TSLA continues to rally, shorts may be forced to cover sooner than anticipated as it's likely their other holdings have been getting hammered, reducing their overall margin power.

Ihor beleives that "shares available for shorting" is a useless / totally manipulated metric without any bearing on actual short activity: Ihor Dusaniwsky on Twitter Ihor Dusaniwsky on Twitter

In case you needed more proof that Mark B. Spiegel is a complete imbecile: he just retweeted this joke by comedian Ron Funches Ronald Funches on Twitter I guess he didn’t get the tongue-in-cheek Hitler reference and is grasping at straws for a “waning demand” narrative. I’m laughing my ass off...

This video makes a lot of good points, but I feel that the argument around days to cover / liquidity is pretty weak and IMHO this is not a factor in predicting a short squeeze. If there is a major catalyst around TSLA--enough to trigger a short squeeze--general trading activity around the stock...

Spiegel Bottom Part 2? Tesla Is Still A Zero - Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) | Seeking Alpha

Took delivery of my Model 3 yesterday. Any doubts I ever had about my TSLA investment have completely vanished. This product is mind-blowingly good. For those still hanging on for configuration invites--trust me, it's worth the wait.