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  1. DanCar

    Poll: 3 years from now, would you rather pay for $20K for FSD or $20K for Tesla Bot?

    Put on your visionary hat. Discard your worries. The future is around the corner. lol Yeah, it is at least 3 years away. Not too much different than what we've been told about FSD since 2016.
  2. DanCar

    Dojo

    Latest version of dojo in the works: https://electrek.co/2024/05/01/tesla-next-gen-dojo-ai-training-tile-production/
  3. DanCar

    Poll: 3 years from now, would you rather pay for $20K for FSD or $20K for Tesla Bot?

    Tweeter says they expect bots to cost about $15K.
  4. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Not too shabby Ukraine economy: $3.3 billion exports in April, exceeds pre war amount.
  5. DanCar

    Prediction: Coal has fallen. Nuclear is next then Oil.

    Cruise ships for transportation or entertainment? Compare cruise ships to transportation options or to amusement options like a 3 day amusement park pass? All the cruise ship options I've seen are round trip, so net distance moved is zero.
  6. DanCar

    Prediction: Coal has fallen. Nuclear is next then Oil.

    Several nuclear plants in Japan restarting? Authorities cautiously permit reactivation of world's largest nuclear power plant: 'We will stop when we find issues and take necessary measures' IAEA Concludes Long Term Operational Safety Review at Japan’s Mihama Nuclear Power Plant | IAEA Chugoku...
  7. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    A russian version of what happened: bridge closed for +30 minutes as a precaution.
  8. DanCar

    Optimus Bot Future

    You can not run the motors with an LLM but you can do higher level tasks.
  9. DanCar

    Optimus Bot Future

    C3PO like software by end of decade, much smarter in some ways, and dumb in some ways. Like today's LLMs, with billions of facts, but lacking some common sense. Humanoid robot movement also solved / not an issue by end of decade.
  10. DanCar

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Why 500 person supercharger team let go? Seems the Exec didn't meet Elon's standards for layoffs / cost reductions, so Elon took the matter into his own hands. Will the super charger team be rehired in a lower cost geo? Cal -> Austin -> China? Guessing the new team of 100 or so will be...
  11. DanCar

    FSD tweets

    FSD v12.3.6 going wide. 1,800 pending updates on teslafi. Version 2024.3.25 https://www.teslafi.com/firmware.php?detail=2024.3.25%205aaf7e6d28
  12. DanCar

    Tesla Bot

    If you want to learn how robots are programmed, then this video is a good introduction. How robots are trained at a high level: Trained first in a virtual environment. Random movements with a reinforcement algorithm. The reinforcement algo rewards good actions and penalizes bad actions...
  13. DanCar

    FSD tweets

    Quote: The US carmaker was granted the approval under certain conditions, according to a person with knowledge of the matter, who asked not to be identified because details of all the criteria aren’t clear. Tesla did manage to clear two of the most important hurdles: reaching a mapping and...
  14. DanCar

    AP/FSD related crashes

    https://www.theverge.com/2024/4/26/24141361/tesla-autopilot-fsd-nhtsa-investigation-report-crash-death Hundreds of crashes and some deaths linked to driver inattention.
  15. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Video says Russia will be quick to use tactical nukes on the battlefield. One possible solution is not to give them a clear target of concentrated troops.
  16. DanCar

    FSD tweets

    FSD v12.3.6 intros new parking visuals for cars with ultrasonic sensors.
  17. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Hopefully the invaders paid dearly for the little gains. https://www.kyivpost.com/post/31812 Quote: The commander-in-chief of Ukraine's armed forces said Sunday Kyiv's position on the frontline had deteriorated and that Russia had made a number of recent battlefield gains. Russia's troops have...
  18. DanCar

    Waymo

    Don't know, but I do know there is lots of research in many areas such as: Video understanding. Gemini Pro for example has some good results for this. Image to text. Lots of work with memory High level structuring of how neural networks work such as Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture...
  19. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    U.S. pays $20K each for old soviet combat aircraft. Possibly to use for spare parts or decoys. https://www.businessinsider.com/us-buys-81-soviet-fighter-jets-from-russian-ally-20k-2024-4
  20. DanCar

    Waymo

    Computer vision is evolving rapidly. Just look at where we were 10, 5 years ago. Things will be much different by the end of the decade, where vision will have something we can call common sense.
  21. DanCar

    FSD tweets

    FSD v12.3.6 has started heading to regular customers. 0.3% of the TeslaFi fleet is currently pending an update to this version. https://www.teslafi.com/firmware.php?detail=2024.3.25%205aaf7e6d28 https://www.notateslaapp.com/software-updates/version/2024.3.25/release-notes
  22. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Since they aren't paying, they are missing that part of the equation. They have been criticized by experts for using high precision $40K shells on non high value targets as an example.
  23. DanCar

    Elon Tweets

    Can't control super intelligence but can guide values:
  24. DanCar

    FSD tweets

    12.3.6 heading to employees. Looks like 12.3.5 heading to the scrap heap.
  25. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Ukraine says the story is false. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/04/27/7453276/
  26. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Patriot system is not intended to be used near the front line, where cheap drones can spot them and make it an easy target.
  27. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    I wonder if the U.S. is upset at the loss of this $1B asset. https://www.google.com/search?q=how+much+does+a+patriot+system+cost%3F
  28. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Ukraine not having an easy time knocking down hypersonic kinzhal missiles. 0/4 or (0%) of Kinzhal Missiles shot down overnight. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kh-47M2_Kinzhal I'm thinking the thaad defense system would take care of this...
  29. DanCar

    Waymo

    That is a big problem, especially when there are many of them. Stop them on a freeway? Can cause serious injury or death. Stopping is one thing, there are many other types of attacks, like routing the vehicle into a wall.
  30. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Video of forward deployed patriot system being destroyed. From around March 12. https://en.mehrnews.com/news/212833/VIDEO-Moment-when-US-Patriot-system-destroyed-in-Ukraine Text articles: Russia Claims Major Hit: Patriot Air-Defense System Destroyed in Ukraine A Russian Drone Spotted A...
  31. DanCar

    Elon Tweets

    Elon donated $2M to analyze ancient writings.
  32. DanCar

    FSD tweets

    Elon continuing to advertise FSD:
  33. DanCar

    Elon Tweets

    Elon says he would instantly tweet if he had evidence of aliens.
  34. DanCar

    Thesis and Poll - Long TSLA Short auto insurance

    I pay less than $100 per month. Am I doing it right?
  35. DanCar

    Waymo

    Don't know if this has been posted before. Guy wearing a stop sign on his shirt stops a Waymo. The solution is not hard for Waymo. They will use the video as negative examples of when to stop.
  36. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    A system of drone tanks often works better than single drone tank trying to do everything. For example having side armor drones that handle aerial drones, side protection, and shooting down incoming projectiles. The drone tank itself can focus more on one thing which is to use its main cannon...
  37. DanCar

    FSD tweets

    Random lane changes fixed in 12.4, which is two weeks away. :P
  38. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Good news coming tomorrow morning, $6 billion in new weapons for Ukraine. Article says it may takes years to fulfill all of it. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/25/us-weapons-contract-ukraine-00154450 Quote: The equipment — which also includes ammunition for High Mobility Artillery Rocket...
  39. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    could list a few
  40. DanCar

    Autonomous Car Progress

    OMG, what a show they put on to convince people they were so good. lol
  41. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Russians are nice people /s Russian soldier: Quite nice of them , they only killed five civilians.
  42. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    There will be many more gifts coming over the next 18 months. Hopefully we can give the Ukrainian people some Apache's to have fun with and some A-10 warthogs. What else do we have rotting in the desert?
  43. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    ATACMS already being used in Ukraine according to anonymous U.S. officials and national security council official. Used to attack Crimea and Russian helicopters. Similar articles: Ukraine uses long-range ATACMS against Russia for the first time Ukraine uses long-range missiles secretly...
  44. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3754238/biden-administration-announces-significant-new-security-assistance-for-ukraine/ Estimated value of $1 billion in arms being sent to Ukraine: Air defense missiles: RIM-7 and AIM-9M Stinger anti-aircraft missiles Additional ammunition...
  45. DanCar

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Article has some behind the scenes politics for getting the bill approved. Mostly about giving the speaker of the house a clear picture of the security situation and trying to be friendly. https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/24/politics/white-house-ukraine-funding-push/index.html
  46. DanCar

    FSD tweets

    The OEMs do have Mobileye who tells them it is easy peasy. Seems to me Mobileye has better reputation than Tesla FSD claims which have been wrong since 2016 every year. Quoting Elon from March 2022: They have no idea how hard FSD is. Only path to success imo is hardcore real-world AI software...
  47. DanCar

    FSD tweets

    Because most are highway miles and that is running V11 stack.
  48. DanCar

    FSD tweets

    From page 8 of the investor deck: https://digitalassets.tesla.com/tesla-contents/image/upload/IR/TSLA-Q1-2024-Update.pdf
  49. DanCar

    2024 Model 3 Performance Announced - Discussion thread post announcement

    Thanks. I didn't know what to search for and curious what you searched for to find that. I found this similar article: https://electrek.co/2024/01/05/tesla-adjusts-ranges-across-lineup-new-epa-rule/ Interesting that it says none of the model 3 ranges changed.
  50. DanCar

    FSD tweets

    Distributions to 12.3.5 showing up on TeslaFi: https://www.teslafi.com/firmware.php?detail=2024.3.20%20aa974f7e62 Omar receives 12.3.5: