You can install our site as a web app on your iOS device by utilizing the Add to Home Screen feature in Safari. Please see this thread for more details on this.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
Great article, not the kind of prediction you'd guess would come from an oil company: by 2070 - streets will be free of gasoline vehicles. Wow. Not in their best interest to publicize this, but, I guess it's a reality they have to make public... my only issue is that they're lumping EVs and Hydrogen into one "category" -- would like to see how they'd split the two out...
Shell and other oil companies nowdays presents themselves as energy companies, they eventually will go where profit in energy is. But if anybody is making so huge money as they do, why should they invest in something else?
They believe that if they will maximise profits today they will be able to get in something else in the future. Actaully Shell and other oil companies are already among biggest corporate investors in green energy.
The problem is that for them it is only drop in the pocket and if they would commit more of their plentifull resources in green energy they would speed it up significantly. However that would decrease their profits shortterm and wall street thinks in only 3 months horizont, so if you are CEO you can be out of the office by the time investment bring back money.
There are indeed a number of possible drivers. If you look at the mechanical simplicity of the Model S platform, with its very limited number of parts, you could easily imagine also that in a not too distant future electrical cars could become cheaper to produce than any equivalent combustion engined vehicle. This would merely be a repeat in the history of technical changes, where so often electricity displaced mechanics since about 1880. Not all that unlikely - with more dramatic consequences than most seem to be able to visualize.Peak Oil is not even the important factor for the success of EVs.
Countries like China and the whole EU and all the other countries that dont have their own Oil supply are really struggling with the big trade deficit (the Money that leaves the Country every year to buy Oil)
Will tax the S**t out of Gasolin as soon as a lineup of really affordable EVs comes on the market.
I dont see a reason why a Gallon Gasolin shouldnt be 20$ or 30$.
And the mentioned economies are well aware of that, E.g. Turkey hast 12$/Gallon to push the people to use local Natural Gas to power their cars.
That in my opinion will be they key driver for mainstream success in EVs.