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Blog Study: NASA Saves Billions Working With Companies Like SpaceX

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A new paper says that NASA could be saving billions of dollars by working with private companies like SpaceX to deliver payload to the International Space Station.

The paper was written by Edgar Zapata, who has spent nearly 30 years at the space agency and is now focused on life cycle cost analysis of lunar and Mars exploration architectures. Zapata offers a detailed comparison of using private service providers like SpaceX and Orbital ATK instead of using government-operated rockets like the Space Shuttle. He attempted to calculate the costs of the commercial cargo and crew programs combined, both for missions executed by private companies and the projected cost if NASA-operated shuttle flights continued. He found that using a private company costs NASA two to three times less.

Considering development and operational expenses, the paper found that SpaceX delivered cargo at $89,000 per kg, Orbital ATK at $135,000 per kg, and the shuttle at $272,000 per kg. Using the most current public data, the paper estimated that SpaceX’s Dragon vehicle will cost about $250 million less than Boeing’s Starliner for transporting a crew of astronauts to the space station.

The paper also makes a case for additional benefits, like the broader impact of supporting U.S. companies that are advancing space exploration and creating jobs. The paper suggests that the government has more than recouped its $140 million investment in the development of the Falcon 9.

“It is arguable that the U.S. Treasury has already made that initial investment back and then some merely from the taxation of jobs at SpaceX and its suppliers only from non-government economic activity,” the study said. “The over $1 billion (net difference) is U.S. economic activity that would have otherwise mostly gone abroad. This is very different from the economic benefit when NASA is a sole user of a system.”

The paper was published by the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics and first reported by Ars Technica. You can see it in full here.

 

 
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You have to count every NASA and military launch and it is already billions.

Orbital vs. SpaceX pricing $230 million per launch vs. $137.5 million per launch $925 million savings over Orbital for Orbital's 10 launches.
Space Shuttle vs. SpaceX pricing $450 million (included astronauts) vs. $137.5 million (cargo only)
Boeing vs. SpaceX pricing on Commercial Crew $4.82 billion vs $3.15 billion $1.67 billion savings over Boeing
ULA vs. SpaceX pricing on military launches. $350 million per launch vs $125 million per launch $450 million for 2 launches

So I count a minimum of $3 billion savings to American taxpayers excluding any comparison to the Space Shuttle pricing.
 
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A new paper says that NASA could be saving billions of dollars by working with private companies like SpaceX to deliver payload to the International Space Station. The paper was written by Edgar Zapata, who has spent nearly 30 years at the space agency and is now focused on life cycle cost analysis of lunar and Mars...
[WPURI="https://teslamotorsclub.com/blog/2017/11/10/study-nasa-saves-billions-working-with-companies-like-spacex/"]READ FULL ARTICLE[/WPURI]

This is a repost, An Assessment of Cost Improvements in the NASA COTS/CRS Program
 
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Not so fast. Or not yet. SpaceX hasn't transported humans yet to ISS, which Space Shuttle did.

But it is true that already just with Cargo launches, SpaceX might have saved over a billion.

But NASA is spending a billion/year on SLS. Stop spending that, create a COTS deep space program and give SpaceX US$ 200 million / year and BFR will fly sooner with full reuse at <10% of the cost of SLS, just there the potential savings could be over US$ 10 billion, assuming a dozen flights.

Unlike SLS which is ultra expensive, BFR can replace the current Falcon 9 + Dragon V1/V2 (cargo/crew) systems. Deliver 10x as much cargo and 10x as many crew to the ISS with just a few flights/year. At a much lower cost.

Musk stated current Dragon capsules can carry humans to the ISS (just add seats to existing Dragon V1). But NASA wants extra safety features much beyond where the Shuttle went and even what current Russian system offers. The reason SpaceX isn't flying astronauts to ISS for a few years is NASA's fault, not SpaceX.
I'm not saying the commercial crew program is wrong in its requirements, just explaining it demands much more from SpaceX than the Russians currently delivers.
 
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