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  1. mershaw2001

    Tracking short interest

    This sort of action seems to hedge in order to take advantage of the interest rate... but the Tesla interest rate is like 1.5%
  2. mershaw2001

    Tracking short interest

    The short analytics report is definitely not something that can be compared with short interest. Short analytics takes information from a decently large number of brokerages (but definitely not all of them) and reports what percent of transactions in a particular day were short sales. That...
  3. mershaw2001

    Tracking short interest

    Just a note that today short analytics is reporting that a WHOPPING 62% of shares were sold short. This is up from the 40-->50-->55% run up we had when we last topped out at about 250 before the quick fall to 240. I am going to use this as a serious catalyst and start buying the weeklies. I...
  4. mershaw2001

    Alternative Energy Investor Discussions

    I would like to hear your strategies for when this particular set up fails- how do you recover. It seems like this strategy fails if the momentum of the stock doesn't remain- if it doesn't continue to accelerate. -If the stock drops like crazy, you've done well because you've banked money and...
  5. mershaw2001

    Brokerages & Trading Tools

    This seems like an awesome service, i put my email address in to see if i can get a spot.
  6. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    yeah but i want to know what amount he covered. he just has a "small position" open now.
  7. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    Does anyone have a subscription to real money pro to see what Kass writes about covering? I'm curious what he lost (I doubt he would post his total loss in $ value, but I'd love to see just to feel good) and I just don't feel like paying for a subscription.
  8. mershaw2001

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2014

    I remember when we separated social short term movements from short term movements, but it seems that the two have blended into the same thing and they should be combined moving forward.
  9. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    What's going on with the spy? I can't figure out why it's acting like it is- are we at a peak? Is it capitulation buying on the short side or are there things going on in different fields that are reverberating through the market?
  10. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    Ugh. Days like these. I'm holding a stupid amount of common right now. Glad I didn't play the weeklies, but doubled up on my common in the past 2 days and now i'm eating it hard. I didn't want to play options with the stock at this level, instead I went common and sold the 360 june calls...
  11. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    It seems like motorcycles might be the perfect place for a battery. I don't think that i'd be planning on going over 100 miles in a trip in one direction, and the weird is less so it would get some decent range off one charge.
  12. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    "Mershaw 15, shorts 1" That is a good point. I increased exposure to tesla today and feel like an idiot. I guess I'm starting to get that scared feeling again. Did you guys see Doug Kass's comment "imbalance sell at close"? He's indicating it will gap down tomorrow. now, honestly watching...
  13. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    mershaw2001: 0, short sellers: 1 .
  14. mershaw2001

    Articles/megaposts by DaveT

    Have we heard from Andrea James yet?
  15. mershaw2001

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2014

    I started too early, at 262 this morning, but then when the price fell i bought the short calls back on spreads that i had made earlier. Again- hero or maroon (what's a maroon?).
  16. mershaw2001

    Requests for advice (getting advice or not, either way it's your own responsibility)

    Hi Lauren, I'm glad you want to learn how to short. There are plenty of people out there who will tell you when something is a good short, in fact I can suggest one of the best. This man will help you learn: Douglas Kass (DougKass) on Twitter
  17. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    I completely agree jonathan. This is the first time plan has gone from drawing board to reality. Now we see how the dots will connect, and i think that will draw in more people. I am removing hedges tomorrow morning and i will be buying at whatever price is available under 265
  18. mershaw2001

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2014

    I was reading twitter and there was one really, really obnoxious short, with a really obnoxious name "nobullshyttrader". I got a laugh out of his post earlier today, which he followed up by 20 tweets of how he was going to cover at 192. nobullshytrader ‏@nobullshytrader...
  19. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    JUST OUT Tesla Motors, Inc. $800,000,000 % Convertible Senior Notes due 2019 $800,000,000 % Convertible Senior Notes due 2021 Interest payable March 1 and September 1
  20. mershaw2001

    Tracking short interest

    How could they ever do a capital raise at 260? I was under the impression you usually go about 10-20% under the current price. So more like 220.
  21. mershaw2001

    Devils advocating...from someone who shorted TSLA

    From my experience, 259 did not look like a capitulation top.
  22. mershaw2001

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2014

    Go doug kass go! Fight the good fight! I bought weekly call options when i heard he doubled down on a losing position. When he tripled down at 235, I LOL'd because I was reading his statement when the stock was at 259. He prob got some skid marks in his shorts today.
  23. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    Dave, why do you make your spreads so tight? I see that the difference between the 230 and the 232 weekly call is only about 30 cents. Is that the profit you're looking for? I've been selling them completely naked, and I haven't liked my approach because of the risk. I like your strategy but...
  24. mershaw2001

    Alternative Energy Investor Discussions

    It does seem like it might end up positive tomorrow.
  25. mershaw2001

    Alternative Energy Investor Discussions

    I'm pretty happy with the SCTY fall, and not to be an ass, but I hope it continues tomorrow. I posted my existing position (Long deep in the money calls, short at the money and above the money calls). I'd like to see that pull back continue to the high 60's and then I'll advance my short calls...
  26. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    I think that using the market cap for these other car companies is incorrect so it's not fair to say "two teslas make up a gm but they have 1/1000000th of the production" (as a recent article said). These car companies are the epitome of how to run the business wrong. "let's add middlemen to...
  27. mershaw2001

    Tax questions, implications and strategies

    Submit the form the broker gave you. I have accidentally held the same position in two different brokerages in my first year of trading. When I sold and bought and sold etc, I should have actually done the funky math to make the two brokerages align and have wash sales on 500 shares of a 2...
  28. mershaw2001

    Long-Term Fundamentals of Tesla Motors (TSLA)

    I'm at stanford and talk to the business students. You're right, they are doing Tesla analyses. I enjoy it because I was like "we, on the forum, picked this up before it happened. Not after the fact".
  29. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    I don't think he entered at 218 and exited at 224. He placed short sell orders when the price was between 218 to 224 per share, and he has profited by the 10 dollar decline.
  30. mershaw2001

    Alternative Energy Investor Discussions

    I'm playing the scty earnings, and maybe i'm on the wrong side of it. +5 34-strike april calls. +200 shares short side -3 60 strike calls -2 70 strike calls -4 85 strike calls. I am betting that we get downside, so that I can roll the 60 strike calls up to 70 or 80 strike. I sold those...
  31. mershaw2001

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2014

    My understanding is that the price of the company goes to the buy-out price. Then it stays under the buy out price if the buyout is not 100% certain. It goes over the buyout price if there is a chance they will negotiate the price higher. If the buy out price of tesla is 250 dollars, a 200...
  32. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    Thanks for the clarification!
  33. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    What are the chances the capital raise is already done or will be done by the time of the announcement? Those 10 million shares could be sold on the open market..in fact, they could be what has kept the price at 210.
  34. mershaw2001

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2014

    Short analytics reports that the number of shares sold short today was 55%, vs 50% yesterday, vs 45% the day before, and yet vs 40 the day before that. In other words, shorts see the higher price of tesla as a more and more attractive target, AND YET THE PRICE GOES UP. I'm absolutely amazed...
  35. mershaw2001

    Newbie Options Trading

    My thought is that today was an underreaction, where the shorts are wondering if the longs will start to sell into the rally. I expect we see further upside in the next 3 days.
  36. mershaw2001

    What other tech stock to consider?

    Navb got priority review for lymphoseek in head and neck cancer. This was the study that was terminated early because the committee found the results overwhelmingly positive. So I'm excited about the prospects here. NAVB opened up in the 2.10 range after closing friday at 1.87. I ended up...
  37. mershaw2001

    What other tech stock to consider?

    We haven't mentioned it for a while, but NAVB has been generating even more good news (and getting shorted more). I have a nice 7000 dollar loss on 9000 shares, so I figured why not extend that loss and picked up another 6000 shares today with some of my tesla winnings. I am of the opinion...
  38. mershaw2001

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2014

    Just a thought, but perhaps we haven't heard from the NHTSA because of this fire. I thought that we were supposed to hear from them around now, but perhaps this fire has been under investigation too.
  39. mershaw2001

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    I started buying at 196 in after market trading. I think we've been in the 198 range for long enough that people who wanted to unload have (me included) and I see the emergence of another fire story as a reduction in risk. If each time a fire story breaks, the drop is a mere 5 dollars, it...
  40. mershaw2001

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2014

    There's this: 10000 195.25. A block on the buy to pick up 10,000 shares at 195.25. Now, sometimes this can be spoofed to give the impression there is a big buyer there. The lowest i've seen has been 193 range. I think that it's going to be harder and harder for fires to push the price down...
  41. mershaw2001

    Alternative Energy Investor Discussions

    Go Ckessel! It's about time that your luck turns around!!
  42. mershaw2001

    Alternative Energy Investor Discussions

    What is quinto in regards to Sunpower? Is that fab 5?
  43. mershaw2001

    2013 Trading war stories

    At 28 dollars, I had 110% of my net worth in tesla ($28,000), but managed to have another 150% invested in other stocks using margin. At the time that tesla was 28, I was cleaned out by another stock having their drug not pass FDA trials and falling from 9 to 5 dollars, and I got a margin...
  44. mershaw2001

    Alternative Energy Investor Discussions

    Is tomorrow the day that the solar city lockup expires? I remember we went through this last month, and decided that only the executives could sell on day 90, or jan 13th, from oct 15th. Then the other 51 million shares get release at day 120- which should be tomorrow, no? Or today?
  45. mershaw2001

    Alternative Energy Investor Discussions

    Yeah kessel i'm with you here. I was holding a lot of shares uncovered through this earnings. I expected that the recent downward pressure from 34 to 31 would result in moderate news pushing the shares up. Obviously afterhours isn't always indicative of what happens tomorrow, but it doesn't...
  46. mershaw2001

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2014

    Was andrea james on CNBC today? I want her to be my girlfriend. To answer my own question, YES! Here she is. http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000245235 second edit: i can't get my own link to work. Anyone get it to work?
  47. mershaw2001

    I'm not related to JP, but I'm shorting TSLA...

    For what it's worth, I've changed to bearish short term and I've reduced my position by half in the 194-198 range. I've been carrying the extra 300-500 shares on margin/in a margin call since 173, so I'm glad to lighten up. I expect we go into earnings in the 180's. If we go into earnings...
  48. mershaw2001

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2014

    I have never had a margin call settled in after hours, unless I did it myself. All my broker solved margin calls are done at 3:45 the day an equity call is due and 9:31 in the morning the day after a fed or house call is due. It could be individuals settling their own calls.
  49. mershaw2001

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2014

    I can confirm from Fidelity that this does not actually work. I talked to representative who said that this doesn't work. If you have the shares in a cash account, they will not be lent out. If you have the shares in a margin account, they will not be lent out unless you borrow on the margin.