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Yes, shocking that he would continue to use AP, if he had experienced failures at that spot, but he may have been taking advantage of AP to respond to an incoming communication on his phone, and momentarily forgot he was approaching the spot he normally disengaged AP for safety. Tesla could in...

Fine. The driver was a 38 year old male. Calculate the probability he had a medical emergency while approaching the barrier vs. Autopilot was on and failed to resolve the lane properly. I'm going to say the probability of the former is lower than the latter since the light and lane markings were...

That's not the way to analyze this. For example, if another vehicle hit the barrier at 11PM, while being driven home from a wedding, the probability the driver was impaired is much higher than this accident. So the reason for another incident may not be reasonably applicable in this situation...

You misunderstand my logic. I'm looking for the simplest explanation that matchs all the fact as we know them at this point and invokes the least number of anomalous conditions. So if you consider the most probable case, that the driver was not risk taker, or impaired in any way, and was not...

From the wreckage the car hit close to center on the barrier, and by the deformation of the battery pack, pretty close to square (I think). Which would agree with the scenario I've described. Also we know the car hit at very high speed by the severity of the damage, so there is no indication of...

What is your postulated scenario then? And if your scenario has the Model X traveling in the #1 lane, why would the driver have moved into this lane given his destination was Sunnyvale further south on 101? How do explain the AP failure experienced at this location by Alset72? Is it possible AP...

There are 2 HOV lanes at the gore point, not one. The left hand HOV lane starts as a fork where the southbound Bayshore Freeway widens out about 3.5 miles north of Freeway 85. Again, following the simplest scenario, the Model X was on Autopilot, and in the HOV lane 4 miles north. When the HOV...

Whether you disagree or not, the wisest course of action, until you and other Tesla drivers know different, would be to assume the scenario I and others have proposed, i.e. AP failure in routine freeway driving, has a high probability of having occurred here, and operate your car accordingly.

The answer is no I think. If he was going to Sunnyvale, the lane which he mostly likely choose to travel, assuming he wanted to travel with the least input required, would be the right HOV lane, of all the 5 lanes possible, coming up to the gore point. This would mean no input was required from...

You might doubt Autopilot could fail in the scenario I described, but at least one person posted here (Alset72) that it did in fact fail at this location in the mode I described. The assumption of most posters here is that the Model X was traveling in the left most HOV lane and tried to cut...

You should be worried. The conversation here has focused mostly on Caltrans responsibility in this fatality, but that's not something you can do anything about in the short term. The real issue for Tesla owners in this crash is: did the car have any responsibility? You can't do anything to...

I don't think so. The fixed barrier frontal crash test is the alleged equivalent of a vehicle of equal height and weight and speed hitting you head on. I would say the most critical element of a frontal crash test, be it offset or full, is the dimensions/material you have available to absorb...

Incorrect. These data (the word data is the plural version) are in fact available. They can be downloaded as PDF reports from this website: NHTSA VSR | NHTSA vehicle Crash Test Database The Tesla Model S tested was a 2013 model. You can get the detailed report on each collision test. The NHTSA...

That seems improbable unless you believe Tesla owners are less happy than the population at large. If so it would be possibly the third suicide by Tesla as the police hypothesized the Malibu Canyon and Jenner, Hwy 1 accidents could also have been suicides. In the case of the Malibu Canyon...

I believe that's incorrect. That area on the road in the daytime photos showed a covered pile, I'm guessing they dumped dirt or sand on it to get the fire out and then put plastic over to prevent battery ash from blowing around.

The first photos of the accident, which include parts of the battery still on fire, show that it was pre-dawn, I think the accident was about 6AM.

I would guess 80 kph. It's a "rural" area, but not an expressway (100 kph) or motorway (130 kph)

I doubt the driver fell asleep. The accident was about 450 m west of the intersection of N415 and N221. The car was travelling east on the Hilversumseestraatweg (N415). The Tesla looks to have driven over the 5.0 km marker sign on the N415 before it hit the tree, meaning it had only traveled 5...

I have located the accident scene based on your images. It was 1.9 miles south of the point MT-2 deviates from Interstate 90. My guess is your friend enabled Autopilot at the point the road straightens out going south, or about 1.6 miles from the accident point, which was at the end of a curve...