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  1. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    @bmd00 - what say you?
  2. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I like your optimism.
  3. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Options are so crazy. I have a 4/26 +170p position that was worth about $95k last Friday close. It stands to expire worthless tomorrow. 😆
  4. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    You could turn it into a spread - vertical or calendar.
  5. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    To your last sentence: let's see what goes on with compact car / Robotaxi development. That could really change institutions' perspectives.
  6. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Ended up selling 25% of these 4/19 +p170s at a nice profit and rolled the rest over to 4/26 at the open.
  7. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Middle east conflict stuff I think. Israel is saber rattling. EDIT: Nevermind.
  8. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Thinking about it. Or at least putting the profits of some toward the rolling of others. That IV is wicked, even DITM.
  9. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    When to take profits on 4/19 +p170s? Asking for a friend.
  10. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Oh, you know...the usual.
  11. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I don't even want to give them a click, but Business Insider ran an article on it yesterday I believe. It's very thinly sourced.
  12. Cherry Wine

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Can confirm. I live in a city with very wide bike lanes and v12 has attempted to use them as driving lanes on multiple occasions, particularly when making a right turn onto a street with a wide bike lane.
  13. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Curious to hear the thoughts of @tivoboy on how TSLA could react to confirmation of the rumors of substantial layoffs.
  14. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    FSD transfers to a new vehicle will go a long way toward smoothing the ruffled feathers of those who bought in at the $15K mark. And anyways, that is a small club.
  15. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Feel the exact same way. This range bound stuff has been difficult to trade.
  16. Cherry Wine

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I got 12.3.4 on my Model X last night and took it out today. The most noticeable difference that I can see from 12.3.3 on my Model Y is that 12.3.4 doesn't seem to recognize speed humps very well. More generally, other than that, it seems to perform roughly the same.
  17. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Don't know, but we should know soon. Apparently this is now rolling out to regular customers already. I was concerned FSD deployment would slow after the initial burst of activity; this is encouraging. But, as always, devil is in the details...
  18. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    (Couldn't resist. This low effort post will self-destruct in 10, 9...)
  19. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Seems like these FSD updates have the potential to be market-moving these days. Keeping an eye on this...
  20. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Elon speaking live about Tesla right now on Twitter/X. EDIT: Did a quick round trip with some 4/12 -c180s, sold at $1.95, bought at $1.33. Will look to sell again - same or different strike - on another pop. EDIT 2: New link.
  21. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    The discounts on the Model Y configuration I bought 6 weeks ago have doubled - from $2,500 to $5,000.
  22. Cherry Wine

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Agreed. I’ve noticed inconsistency as well.
  23. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    When @dl003 posts like that I pay attention. I actually bought some LONG calls today and made sure I didn't have any covered calls up for next week. Got lucky.
  24. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Just confirmed this with my brokerage. Just have to wait out the next 11 minutes - I like my chances. As long as Elon doesn't Tweet another pump...
  25. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    So I forgot to close out some $175 calls expiring today. Will this after hours action screw me over? Lol
  26. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Okay this thread just jumped the shark.
  27. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    This threads the needle between the Reuters report and Elon's denial. According to this source, $25K car isn't cancelled, but deprioritized.
  28. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    This is the post Elon was responding to:
  29. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Translation, por favor?
  30. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    With the exception of the publishing part, I just may do this for purposes of my own personal reflection / growth.
  31. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Hilarious. Posts like this remind me that half the time I think I just trade TSLA to pass the time and virtually shoot the *sugar* with you all.
  32. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    💯 margin concerns make for terrible trades. Aside from situations like the one you describe, I have also lost so much money over the years holding protective positions that I would have gladly dumped for massive profits at certain opportunities, but which ended up expiring worthless, because I...
  33. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Sometimes I think about how I almost didn't sell a bunch of shares at $300 in 2022 to pay for a house and many other things on the belief that: a) TSLA would appreciate significantly from there, and b) we were heading into a recession that would cause house price depreciation and lower interest...
  34. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Same. I'm just a little (/s) bit skeptical that this is the end of it.
  35. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Recent FSD progress is the only thing that makes this price action make any sense imho. Also, the last two P&D reports are perfect examples of how one can even know the future and still get it wrong in the stock market. TSLA dropped on a beat on Q4's P&D, and has had a pretty modest reaction to...
  36. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Closed the +p180s at a nice 100% profit. Still holding the +p170s and 1/25 -c200s. Did a couple of roundtrips with 4/5 -c175s for quick 30% profit.
  37. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I was hoping for a similar dynamic to help me further load up on bearish positions going into tomorrow. As is, I am holding a decent number of 4/5 +p180s and +p170s, along with January '25 -c200s.
  38. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Sounds like a scenario that calls for shorter DTE plays, gradually entering into positions, and not being greedy. Hmmm, where have I heard that before...?
  39. Cherry Wine

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    🚨🚨🚨 Update: 12.3.2.1 passed the spouse test. This is a big deal. Every iteration of FSD prior to this one resulted in my wife asking that it immediately be turned off. But it wasn't perfect. Took the wife and kids in the MY on some quick errands - about 10 miles suburban driving total. In that...
  40. Cherry Wine

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I thought about this as I was using v12 for the first time this morning. One thing that made me uncomfortable in past releases was the car speeding down residential streets at speeds that were technically legal but felt too fast based on my surroundings. I didn't experience any of that this...
  41. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Anecdata, finally got FSD v12 pushed to one of my vehicles this morning with 12.3.2.1. Take it from someone who's been very skeptical of FSD in the past: it's pretty damn good. Good enough that it will discourage me from selling any more long-dated leap CCs.
  42. Cherry Wine

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Initial reaction on 12.3.2.1: it lives up to the hype. I couldn’t go half a mile before disengaging on previous versions over 2.5 years. I just had 30+ minutes of nearly flawless drives through places that always stumped FSD in the past. I had two disengagements - both when the car wanted to...
  43. Cherry Wine

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    24MYLR got 2024.3.6 pushed last night from 2024.2.7. Downloading now. 20MXLR still on 2024.2.7. Looking forward to seeing if 12.3.x lives up to the hype - I found v11 pretty disappointing and never used it.
  44. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Above $182 and around $187 are not mutually exclusive. Also, earlier today I closed half of my 3/28 -c170s at a 25% loss and re-opened them on the recent spike as 3/28 -c180s which, if expire worthless, will cover the loss and then some. Still holding some other 3/28 -c170s which are at about a...
  45. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Gotta love the stock market. I'm still holding these positions.
  46. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Thanks for sharing this, and agree to an extent. Thought: while the forums are broken, let's consider copying and pasting text content directly into posts to save us a click or give us some context.
  47. Cherry Wine

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Sold 3/28 -c170s and used the proceeds to buy 4/5 +p170s on the pop. Both positions are in the green, but I'm planning to hold to much closer to expiration. The covered calls in particular are an unusually risky play for me, but my conviction that they'll expire worthless (or, at the least...
  48. Cherry Wine

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    FWIW, I messaged Teslascope on Twitter and their expectation was the 2024.X branch merge would happen within a couple of weeks. 🤷‍♂️
  49. Cherry Wine

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    *cries in 2024.2.7*