Very interesting Tesla Timeline (written by JZ13 in the Tesla Motors General Forum).

[brianman]

My guess is that about 12 Model Xs will be delivered this year, similar to the founders deliveries in June 2013.

I bet I can guess why you picked 12 instead of 10.

 

[wcalvin]

While I share the optimism, note that this analysis depends on Tesla not lagging for some reason (e.g., earthquake closes its only factory for a year), allowing competitors to catch up in areas.