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I agree, the share weighting makes it hard to see the size of retail investors voting against Elon. The didn't-bother-to-vote count is however certainly retail investors. They definitely became more engaged but we can't be certain if that engagement was positive or negative. But the law of...

The other vote for comparison is from June 2014 where they used slightly different methodology where votes not for Elon were not broken out in "against" and "abstained". But we can combine those in the more recent years and it doesn't significantly alter the numbers. The shareholder meeting on...

I understand that TSLA stock performance over the period is dominated by market macros. Maybe many of the shareholders voting aren't able to see that, but then maybe they can. As I said there are many factors mudding the waters.

For those seeking insight into how Elon's public persona has or hasn't affected product demand, here a bit of data that, like all other data sets, can't really answer the question but may nevertheless provide some insight. The latest shareholder vote results are out. They can be compared with...

And by "always" you mean since the Holodomor in 1933.

I know quite a few good-hearted people. None of them have been disowned by any of their family members. I also know (just professionally) a few black-hearted people who seemed to be filled with hate for for groups of people (as far as I can tell this appears to be a part of their religion as...

Maybe they can win some defamation lawsuits against twitter. Twitter is now making continuous false claims that these people are paying to support something when they are not. If for example, this diminishes Stephen King's audience because he is seen as a mark/tool/right-winger, etc, then this...

Actually Elon owns Twitter in large part because during his lawsuit to back out of the Twitter acquisition he lied in a deposition (you, know after swearing an oath to tell the truth) about not ever using the Signal App to communicate about the Twitter acquisition. Explanation why no responsive...

What part of the crusade against the woke agenda is helping to feed starving Africans? Pandering to the racists, anti-Semites, misogynists, climate deniers, ultra-greedy, homophobes, gun-nuts, etc. is somehow relieving their "hectic and stressful lives" so they can "fix" the lives of others? I...

Pretty sure the lawyers are all about enriching themselves rather than having a goal of harming others.

Still not an equal comparison. Tesla's lease is 36 months, Toyota's is 39 months. It's hard to make a precise comparison because for the Toyota there are 6 additional $369 payments that you must make but you also get to use the car for 6 more months. Was there also a difference in allowed mileage?

Even Elon claimed that he could never get a fair trial in California. The result sure proves that idea false.

Worse than the filing was their settlement terms - they forced Tesla to pay a $20 Million fine while prohibiting them from making an insurance claim to pay it. This harms one and only one group: TSLA shareholders. That's the group they were supposedly "protecting," at least it's the group they...

Toni's just saying that the constant refrain of TSLAQ, "fraud," is false - instead he acknowledges the number don't lie. There's still no explanation why he has an underperfom rating except that he might be stupid like Toyoda.

You seem to have conflated the first generation RAV4 BEV (produced entirely by Toyota because Tesla didn't even exist in 1997) with the 2nd generation RAV4 BEV that had the Tesla powertrain (first available in 2012). Even the 1st Gen RAV4 could not have "yielded the wonderful Prius" because they...

Well there is the big problem that one of the core beliefs of the Woke Mind Virus is that global warming is real. Elon's new mission is to irradicate the Woke Mind Virus, so sooner or later he will probably be saying (or implying) that global warming is a hoax.

That explains phantom braking! It's a feature designed to increase the accident rate of other vehicles (those that hit the Tesla where auto-pilot brake-checks them) while not being counted against autopilot. The car that struck you likely had seatbelt pre-tensioners activated but nothing in your...

If he takes it into bankruptcy, wouldn't the stock becomes worthless and he would no longer have any ownership stake in it? Only the secured creditors should have ownership interest in a bankruptcy proceeding. I don't see them wanting to allow Elon to continue to run the company.

Actually it very specifically happened right after an update in 2017. It's been sugar ever since. None of the updates have made it better. But additional updates have made it much slower.

Not to mention it's a near certainty that he had non-public insider knowledge of dramatically reduced order rate when he decided to sell $4 billion worth of stock.

I requested FSD beta as soon as they got rid of the score requirement (like ~ two months ago). It still shows as requested but not installed yet. The car is connected to WiFi every day. So maybe we're "enabled" but we're not getting it.

When I first got my S in 2016 the voice recognition was astounding. It almost always perfectly recognized what I said and it was pretty fast too. Many updates later and now it's dog slow and almost always gets it wrong. One of the few functions in my car that's gotten worse from updates.

I voted in favor of his stock option packages, but at the time I thought if those market cap goals were reached, they wouldn't become "unreached" when he was selling the granted shares. They really should have added some restrictions that the stock had to hold on to the market cap goals in order...

I expect a record Q4, but if the forward guidance is not good it's going to look like Musk made massive discretionary stock sales while in possession of MNPI about the order rate.

I never understood why anyone thought the site would crash. AWS does all the heavy lifting. So long as the bills from Amazon are paid I don't see how it could actually crash. You seem to think the money flows are better than ever so there'd be no reason not to pay Amazon, but at the same time...

Interesting. You, like Elon, were bullied as a child and have managed to grow into an adult who supports the idea of encouraging (or at least objects to discouraging) bullies and bullying. It seems like maybe your view was that it made you stronger - so it's a good thing? I won't post links for...

When you were in middle school there were probably a lot of "fat jokes" directed at some overweight kids. You probably laughed at them and thought they were funny. From everything you've written so far I have every reason to believe that even today you think they're just funny jokes. But they're...

You seem to have missed the word "deadline" in @mongo 's message. As he pointed out in his 2nd sentence, this is typical of the past, file 3 days on the deadline for the first day. He's not saying it only includes Monday's trades. Mongo is saying "this fits his pattern" and it's ~22Million...

So you're calling the bottom then! :)

My understanding is that whenever there was a new line being stood-up or ramped, that part of the factory was screened off from all private tours. So I don't think it can be compared to the tours of the Semi factory at all. With that said, now that I've caught up on the thread at least one...

Well, theoretically you could spin the wheels in the opposite direction transferring the heat to the sliding friction on the tires against the road! Probably not a good idea for stability though. Anything short of that is just regen.

This raises the interesting question: are they also prohibited from buying or selling TSLA? Because right now they possess material non-public information that affects the (near-term) future prospects of Tesla.

Quinnipac political polls typically have about 1000 people polled, which is considered a large sample size. Those polls gather their data over a period of 5 to 7 days (averaging less than 200 per day), because they are trying to gauge dynamic changes in behavior. These Elon polls were conducted...

His marriages and girlfriends?

Can you post a couple of examples of these users being impersonated? I was active (as a reader - I tweeted 5 times total) mostly 2015 - 2020 before I decided Twitter was mostly a cesspool although I did continue reading Short Shorts Historian, FactChecking, and KarenRei through near the end of...

capital one's single-use CC numbers Almost all issuing banks offer something similar. Their actual purpose is for combating fraud!

What evidence do you have it was useless for most people? I think most people were able to use the check to distinguish imposters of those account that had them (the checks) which were the majority of accounts that had lots of followers and the largest target for scammers and thus the most...

I think that some of Elon's stated aspiration for Twitter (e.g. an actual town-square of reasoned debate, breaking down of community "bubbles") could have inspired many Twitter employees and users. The problem was that immediately after acquiring Twitter, many of Elon's own tweets were pretty...

I never made the claim that twitter was previously "well policed". It wasn't. But for those who actually had the blue identity check, it WAS a reliable indicator that the account was who/what it purported to be. Over the years long before he bought Twitter there were thousands of accounts...

If the folks at Tesla thought it was a good idea to switch the position, shape and size of the brake and throttle (i.e. what is today the brake pedal would on the next model be the throttle and vice-versa), I guess you would claim "No one is going to be confused that the wider pedal on the left...

Given twitter has more user outside the USA than inside, I'd be very surprised (but not shocked based on what's happened so far) if they insisted on getting social security number from everyone.:D Plus your suggestions are almost like real actual verification of identity which has, so far, been...

You'd be surprised how many people have small fraudulent monthly charges on their CC that they fail to discover for several months. With a state actor running the scheme it's a very low cost of business - far cheaper than the (still easily affordable) actually paying for your disinformation...

This could explain the selling of TSLA vs the bridge-loan thesis. Elon wants to iterate fast with twitter operations but the FTC consent decree doesn't really allow that. So maybe Elon just sees this as another cost of business so he's going to iterate fast and pay a few billions in fines to get...

That seems to be the whole point. The blue check is the "great leveler" so when you search for information it's just as probably that it comes from Qanon as from other sources and it will be hard to know who/what is behind what you actually see. When you don't have to figure out what is true...

With stolen credit cards what's to stop them? The Russian's have plenty of stolen credit cards to work with.

Another clarification you should make is that the "prediction error" on the graph is Actual TSLA - Predicted TSLA. That's important because it could have been defined with the opposite sign. I think the name "prediction error" is even suggestive that it would have the opposite sign. e.g. 9/1/22...

Your regression equation computes the S&P500 given TSLA. Your graph of "Prediction Error" seems to be the "error" in the S&P500 price, not the "error" in TSLA's price. If I'm right about that it means an upward trending line shows that the TSLA beta has been deteriorating, not improving. So your...

Hmm, how does that square with this?

All $8 of it?

I've seen first hand how a cult can transform someone in ways you'd never think possible. A mechanical engineer that I first met nearly 30 years ago when we both were taking a class on principles of ocean physics recently told me that global warming is a hoax. I asked him in what way it was a...