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Alternative Energy Investor Discussions
- Thread starter ShortSlaver
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I guess if there is one thing I've learned about the Chinese solar sector is that there is no pattern of logic in the daily or weekly stock movement :wink:
Agreed. Sleepy and others have made it pretty clear that trying to make sense of short term movements in the solar industry at the moment is a waste of energy
Muskol
Member
Jonathan Hewitt
Active Member
SOL's ER is actually Dec 5th. And yea JKS and TSL both had great ERs its just a shame on the timing of that article. It completely killed the TSL post earnings bump. And took a lot of the gains away from the other solars that they have accumulated in the past couple weeks. If JASO does good next week then I'll be a happy camper since I have a larger stake in them than the others.
EDIT: Jonathan beat me to it haha.
Sigh, stupid Yahoo. I knew i read dec 5th a while ago, but for some reason i still believed Yahoo was right.
Just one of those weeks.... my head is all over the place. Just not a good one for me.
Jonathan Hewitt
Active Member
No problem, I read an article yesterday talking about the SOL ER being today and because it was written yesterday I at first thought it new news and was legit. I then thought to check the renesola website and realized the guy was clueless.
Speaking of Yahoo...the estimates listed for the 2 analysts covering JKS went from $.23 for 2013 30 days ago to $1.14 for 2013 7 days ago to $1.98 for 2013 now. Estimates for 2014 went from $.49 30 & 7 days ago to the current $2.76 estimate for 2014. Forward P/E went from 60+ to 12+...just like that. I'm hoping the analysts put out something for the press/investors early next week.
Have a great, sunny weekend.
Norse
Active Member
Earnings Calendar | The Contrarian Investor Discussion Board this is allways updated. Do not trust zolmax, tickerreport, analystratingnetwork, yahoo, google, zacks etc on earnings dates, estimated eps and pt
Jonathan Hewitt
Active Member
Much higher than today, I hope. I would guess but the current prices are too low and it's too hard to know if they'll still be too low next year.
Buying and holding.
Thanks for the answer. I was more looking for numbers. They have come up from levels of bankruptcy to that of low levels of growth. Yet year over year capacity growth for the industry should be around 70% +/- until 2016? I'm not expecting another 500% move in 2014 in stock prices on average like 2013, but more of a 100% to 200% average move. The average mover candidates would be in my mind SPWR, CSIQ, TSL types. The smaller ones may do better as long as they can grow and stay in business. All of this assuming the overall market remains healthy. Anyone else care to play?
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Weekend update: This weekend I spent more time in researching Solar. Nothing new to post here other than what ya'll already know. The spat between China and Japan over those puny islands is a bit irritating to say the least and not good for the market if it continues to escalates, especially for our Chinese solars.
Here's a nice to know bit of data I found on how some of the Chinese Solars are tracking their price targets. They aren't tracking too badly so far. So I would expect to see CSIQ and JKS hit $40 range not far from now if the trend were to continue...
JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. : analysts consensus and price target for JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. | Nyse: JKS | 4-Traders
Canadian Solar Inc. : analysts consensus and price target for Canadian Solar Inc. | Nasdaq: CSIQ | 4-Traders
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Not that familiar with options can you share if you bought to open a put or a call? If you are long on this thanks
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