Somehow the road wheels have to avoid dropping into the central trench!
The trench has a grate already, maybe it could be reinforced at the forks?
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Somehow the road wheels have to avoid dropping into the central trench!
how a few interns with some senior engineer oversight can in one year, disrupt the cost so much
Hmmm... Anyone know the market share split of TBM manufacturing right now? If this is true, how is it that’s about to get disrupted and what’s at stake?I think its the same as EVs. Established companies reluctant to bet-the-farm, so stick to ICE and small incremental improvements. This is a $1b bet.
Tesla has the Skate [mostly], so is adding value to model-X. Existing companies don't (didn't) have any suitable rolling stock for a narrow bore tunnel, or their napkin-maths didn't suggest it was worthwhile.
NASA didn't make re-landable rockets. Some Space-X engineers have figured that out and become disruptive as a result. Setting the Boring engineers a goal of "tunnel faster & cheaper" seems reasonable; but that then requires an R&D budget to achieve that ... and again maybe established companies haven't wanted to do that ... complacent / conservative ...
... I doubt Boring Company are short of CVs from the best, relevant, engineers on the planet right now ... including some with brilliant ideas frustrated by lack of opportunity / R&D $$$ at their current employer.
I don’t dispute that it could be quite pleasant to ride on this system, especially if it only cost me the price of a latte. In fact I’d like a lift from my bedroom down to a station in my basement that gets me home from the pub. The bit I haven’t wrapped my head around yet is how a few interns with some senior engineer oversight can in one year, disrupt the cost so much that sort of thing would be possible at the claimed cost. TBMs are pretty well established tech.
Tesla moving away from ICE to electric, obvious disruption; SpaceX drastically improving reusability, obvious disruption. All I’m seeing here is a narrower diameter (with far less capacity as a result), a boast that “we’ll use more power in the drilling” and a yet to be proven idea to commercially reuse the spoil to recoup some cost. Batteries in the vehicles is nice but again, not really a new paradigm in the train industry, albeit not yet done at scale.
End goal: no people at all, automated TBM to auto muck cart to auto transfer to auto semi to auto cement plant to bricks and tunnel section to semi to tunnel.
- Internalizing design and manufacturing of TBM (no mark up)
- Internalized everything else (no 2rd/3rd/4th parties with mark up)
- Lower cost TBM and reuse (more TBM working simultaneously [start two at middle of tunnel digging toward the ends])
- Battery powered automated muck carts (less time setting up infrastructure, less ventilation requirement, less labor cost)
- Electric TBM (less ventilation requirenents), lower energy costs
- Higher force/ rotational rate at cutter head (reduced project time)
- Smaller tunnel (less cost, faster)
- Simultaneous digging and segment placing (major speed increase)
- Automation (higher up time and lower cost)
Thanks for this. I’m no tunnelling engineer but from what I’ve seen/read over the years, quite a bit of this isn’t new. e.g. reuse of TBM, tunnelling from multiple entry points, simultaneous segment placing...
The main selling point seems to be that they can build more quickly with less spoil because its narrower. It’s therefore much lower capacity but the initial ticket prices will reflect this versus a standard metro ticket (did I see $25?). And because no serious effort is being made (at least initially) to make this mass transit, nor are there interim stations, no large expensive underground station boxes are needed. Except the terminus and that’s being provided for free.
The dream of many hundreds of small entry points is a nice one and maybe that will work in a modern recently built city (Gulf states?). But how do you do this in places with complicated layers of utilities, sewerage, foundations and existing metro lines? And even if you succeed, do you not require a monopoly for this to work under a private finance/ownership model? You can’t have 5 companies all drilling in the same places with distinct networks.
In short, it’s hard for me to get excited about this yet. Still feels like the Shanghai maglev - fun to ride but ultimately pointless. Sorry to be a downer, hopefully I’m wrong.
It’s therefore much lower capacity
Thanks for this. I’m no tunnelling engineer but from what I’ve seen/read over the years, quite a bit of this isn’t new. e.g. reuse of TBM, tunnelling from multiple entry points, simultaneous segment placing...
In the US there was massive government support for the national rail system, mainly through land giveaways (about 10% of the entire land area of the US) and very low cost loans. Without those, it's doubtful that the transcontinental rail system would have existed for decades.Thanks for the share of knowledge everyone. What’s great about this is that the risks and rewards are privatised, hence the motivation to innovate. Too many infrastructure projects rely on a willing payer of last resort (us taxpayers!). All quite ironic because this is not how the original railway industry started at all.
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