Consider buying vs. leasing X, do you think the residue value in 4 years about 30%? 28K?

[EveT9641]

I am debating on buying vs. leasing X. The residue value would be a big factor.

Do you think the residue value of standard range X in 4 years about 30%? 28K? Or maybe I am too conservative.

 

[icetoev]

I think in 4 years it'll be mid to low 50% range. As a reference, another thread for X leases at launch looked like this for 36 months:

60% for 10K miles/year
59% for 12K miles/year
58% for 15K miles/year