Just for fun, here’s some back of the napkin math to figure out when I’ll get my X, MSM, 6 seater, white interior, ordered 1/25.
Have fun critiquing my math.
My daughter was not amused by my mental math exercises.
26,100 Model Xs sold in 2020.
That’s 2,275 per month.
I live in Colorado, with a population of 5.4M, so we represent 1.6% of the US population (330M). Let’s round that up to 2% for the good of Wyoming.
If we receive 2% of X orders per month, that’s 45 Model X sales per month.
Now let’s assume 30% are plaid orders, that’s 32 long range Xs.
Between original 6 seater and 6 seater changers, that accounts for about 80% of Xs, so that’s about 26 Xs.
Let’s assume that some people (oh the shame) have bought another car and canceled their X order some time in the last 11 months. Maybe 1/3 of people have cancelled?
That leaves (9-1) 8 Model X orders who will likely be delivered before mine here in Colorado.
I saw two red ones at the SC today, so that leaves 6 ahead of me.
If they ramp up and deliver 4 per week, I should have a VIN in 2 weeks, and delivery by the beginning of January!
Take that, estimated delivery date.
Let’s forget all about the inconvenience of interior color, wheel size, location, blah blah blah. That’s no fun because it’s completely out of our control.
I know some of you have done similar calculations, but are too embarrassed to admit it.