From the single cell perspective theres not a big difference between cells in initial capacity. The research shows that to us.85% once, 80% five times, below 30% three times, else always driven 30 - 75%, store at 57% a year ago now store 50%.
I don't think I ever was above the degradation threshold. Some packs are better than others. Maybe I'll get a new pack in next 6 years.
Also, the spread from cell to cell during cyclic sging and calendar aging is low.
From the EPA tests we se time after time that the packs mostly delivers close to the Full pack When New value.
Still, they was charged on day and sat overnight before the test which would cause the balancing process to use a little energy.
On a pack with many many cells, the infividula differences is eaten up and the only thing that might differ is from the manufacturing day differenses, or lots if you like to call it that. Even these differences are small.
I would say that most packs leaving the pack build-Department could deliver about the same as the EPA test.
I do not know with which SOC ypu get your cars delivered in US?
For overseas transportation, they are not allowed to ship above 50% anymore. I got my Plaid delivered with 42%.
It probably lived from build to delivery with not too high SOC.
We could calculate the most probable capacity for you car, from a estimated SOC value from build to delivery and then until today.
Its possible that your BMS has stayed off track and there are a few measures to check if the Bms Might be off.
First thing would be to check the SOC after a little larger charging session.
The set charging level will be a estimate as SOC can not positively be measured during a charge or a drive.
It would be preferable to charge at leaat 40-50%, and the before SOC is not important. If you for example charge to 80% from 30%, the SOC that the car end up with is of interest.
So the car estimates the energy to reach 80%, puts that energy in and probably write 80% on the display just when the charging is done. But if the car is left sleeping (no sentry etc) for ~ one hour and the SOC then is checked, the displayed number is telling us about the BMS estimation. If it is spot on, or under or overestimating it.
Scan my tesla can be used to get the SOC in 10th’s, which give us a more precise estimate.