Tes La Ferrari
Active Member
Can you PM me the details as well?
Getting even 25% YoY over a 10 year time horizon is very aggressive, and could easily put you in a position where you're underwater for a decade. That's the type of behavior that got people to use extreme leverage in the housing market in 07. Even Tesla could experience a reckoning if central banks decide to ease just a little bit or if/when some unforseen consequence of global monetary policy leads to a black swan event.
And at that point you're going to wish your investments were in more certain areas. IMO, Tesla is one of the best upside opportunities with clear 10 year horizon certainty given its engineering/manufacturing advantages that Wall Street clearly does not understand.
Just be careful about timing. That's what burned you when originally selling your Tesla shares. Time in the market beats timing the market. I don't know when the next big crash is, or what Tesla's stock price will be in 5 years, but I do have strong confidence about the long-term future Tesla is building. And I know that this near-certain future, when it happens, will result in Tesla having a meaningfully higher share price than today. Now whether that represents 15% CAGR or 35% CAGR who knows. But that certainty is what enables me to not care about the SP post-battery day.
With that said, a group of Tesla investors recently clued me in on a 100x potential investment in the battery recycling industry. Check your PM.
please PM me the details as well - thanks!