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  1. E

    Aftermarket 18" tires

    My OEM tires are worn out almost to the point of baldness after 15,000 miles. The Tesla service center quoted me $1375 to replace them with the same model (which is, frankly, ridiculous, it's almost double the price and half the mileage, relative to what I normally get out of tires - and I had...
  2. E

    Supercharger - San Diego, CA (Qualcomm / Pacific Heights Blvd., 12 V2 stalls)

    By the way, if they aren't billing anyone for charging, they may not be able to bill people for hogging the spot when they are done...
  3. E

    Supercharger - San Diego, CA (Qualcomm / Pacific Heights Blvd., 12 V2 stalls)

    I don't think there's much danger of that. Even when it's not completely full (which it seems to be most of the time), the only places within walking distance which aren't overpriced coffee-shops, are open after 3 pm, have more than 3 stars on Yelp, and have an A inspection grade, are the...
  4. E

    Supercharger - San Diego, CA (Qualcomm / Pacific Heights Blvd., 12 V2 stalls)

    Used it to top up today. No line as of 5 pm. It does not look like I got billed for the electricity, and there was no mention of paying at any point in process, which is puzzling (I have a Model 3). Maybe Qualcomm eats the bill? (Shh, don't tell anyone.) Local amenities information on the...
  5. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    They only began building white/aero 92xx's in mid-March, and were still giving out VINs from that block on 3/21: VIN Colors So they are not too far out of order. Your 92xx may at this point be a week old, @RSavage 's 76xx may have been manufactured as late as March 12, and the 1184x mentioned...
  6. E

    Should I be worried

    The reason you have Feb-Apr has to be employee priority. I don't think we have anyone here who could comment on what is going on with employee reservations, since employees seem to be discouraged/prohibited from participating in online discussions. I may be wrong though. The general feeling was...
  7. E

    VIN Colors

    According to my chart, they may be doing relatively long runs of each color, spanning multiple batches of VINs. The highest Black/Aero VIN reported before 3/20 was 67xx. To get from there to 113xx, they only had to build about 200 Black/Aero (there are at most 100 in the 83xx-84xx block and...
  8. E

    VIN Colors

    Approximate dates each batch went into production (first reported VIN assignment): 5-Feb for White/Sport is a bit suspicious, because it is an outlier (no other White/Sport before 13-Feb) The ones in italics in the last two column are imputed (or maybe skipped). E.g. there are reports of...
  9. E

    Service panel upgrade

    This was a good suggestion, but it turns out that all my breakers are tandem already :confused: Called the utility again on Monday, left them a voicemail, they promised to call back within 24 hours. Which they didn't, of course. At this point, I think I'll just go through existing breakers...
  10. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    Spent some time staring at the spreadsheet (again...) and shamelessly extrapolating from a small number of data points It seems to add up to this: * San Diego got a shipment or a series of shipments of pearl/19" (I'm guesstimating 60-80 cars) starting some time in the last few days (first...
  11. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    I got the VIN on the 16th, paid up on the 19th, now all that remains is for the payment to clear and for me to get the keys. Still no word as to the delivery date and no calls from anyone. Configured same day as @montreid, same config (blue 18"), he got his VIN on the 19th, but my VIN is higher...
  12. E

    VIN Assignment

    A few people reported here and at M3OC that they are scheduled to take delivery at the new location this week. I just drove past it this evening, there is some activity, though nowhere near what you'd expect given the number of invites they apparently sent to San Diego day 1 line waiters. Even...
  13. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    Configured on 2/22, blue aero, paying cash. San Diego. Had one call from the ISA back in early March VIN appeared in the account on 3/16 The account got updated with 'final payment instructions' this morning (3/19) No word as to the delivery date and no call from the DS yet
  14. E

    Service panel upgrade

    That's one drawback of having hard-science education! It never even occurred to me that the maximum load on the panel can be anything other than the maximum current that can be drawn by all breakers in the panel. However, now that you've pointed this out, I found a PDF called "NEC Standard...
  15. E

    Service panel upgrade

    Fair enough I'll try to get through to the utility and get their take. And there's something to the idea of just putting up a new panel next to the old. It does simplify things a lot.
  16. E

    Service panel upgrade

    :eek: In this scenario, for how many weeks should I expect the house to be without power?
  17. E

    Service panel upgrade

    It's a combo panel. If PoCo won't work downstream of the meter, and the contractor won't work upstream of the meter, it sounds like this consists of two separate jobs. * Get the utility company to upgrade some subset of the transformer, feed line, and the meter. (Just checked out the meter...
  18. E

    Service panel upgrade

    As I said, I think the panel is overloaded as-is. They were the ones who installed the meter, I'd assume that they would not want me or even some random licensed electrician to touch it without their permission.
  19. E

    Service panel upgrade

    If the transformer or the line from the transformer to the meter need to be upgraded, do I pay for that out of my own pocket, can I hope for the utility company to eat the bill?
  20. E

    Service panel upgrade

    Would like some feedback from anyone who looked into this, preferably in California but input from other states is welcome too. My service panel is, as far as I know, 200 amp, and it is completely full. As in, literally, no room left to put in new breakers (and even the ones I have seem to add...
  21. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    Looks like it. In the spreadsheet, there's literally only one person other than you either in CA or NV who configured a black aero before 2/14 and does not have a car. I'd expect you to get it as soon as they start the next black aero run.
  22. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    Status update, based on the spreadsheet and reports here on the forum. These are the "cutoff dates": e.g. a cutoff date of 2/14 means that most people who configured before 2/14 and requested this combo have VINs, and most people who configured after 2/14 still don't. If you configured yours on...
  23. E

    Unique issue. Is later VIN better?

    85xx and 94xx are the same batch of VINs and, for all we know, could have rolled off the assembly line next to each other. The difference is simply because 83xx..92xx are all 18"s and 93xx..100xx are all 19"s.
  24. E

    VIN Assignment

    You can refine some entries if you recognize that (almost) all columns start and end at numbers reported by Model 3 VINs (@Model3VINs) | Twitter.
  25. E

    VIN Assignment

    49 CFR 565.15 - Content requirements. "The third through the eighth characters of the fourth section (positions 12 through 17) shall represent the number sequentially assigned by the manufacturer in the production process"
  26. E

    VIN Assignment

    This can be taken two ways. If you mean that they may be occasionally using bins from the new set concurrently with bins from the old set: they didn't do it in the past - back when VINs were below 5000, you could clearly see all bins from the same set / block being put in use simultaneously...
  27. E

    VIN Assignment

    In your example, 8235 was at the tail end of the batch (which began somewhere around 6600 and ended at 8362), since it happened to be the last color/wheels combo in the batch (pearl 19".) And I consider it a bit suspicious because it showed up on 2/5, a full week before anyone reported any other...
  28. E

    VIN Assignment

    And that means that they have just started the next batch (10061 to 11322). Which should not be too surprising, because it means that, even if all queues are synchronized, they were done with the previous batch (1700 VINs) in something like 9 days, which gives us their weekly production rate of...
  29. E

    VIN Assignment

    As best as I can tell, it works like this. They have several concurrent "queues", each for a different combination of color and wheels (18" or 19"). Every once in a while, they start a new batch of VINs. The batch is usually 1500-2000 long. It is divided into colors/wheels groups, maybe...
  30. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    It is a good location. And it much larger than it seems from the road. They can park 400 cars there and it won't even look overcrowded. But it is marked on Google Maps as an employee parking lot for the VA hospital in La Jolla. So, it may not be available to them. Dug some more through permit...
  31. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    In the linked thread, there's a report of a VIN today for someone who configured on 2/14. In the spreadsheet, there's a report of a VIN on 3/8 for someone who configured on 2/22. Both in SFBA. I'd describe my present state as 'cautiously optimistic'. I took another look at the Kearny Mesa site...
  32. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    They appear to be making primarily 18's, but the ratio of 18s to 19s they put out is still too low compared with what their buyers actually want. In the last batch of orders (2/22 and later), customers ordering 18s outnumber customers ordering 19s 3 to 1.
  33. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    I see. Aero wheels are the problem, most likely. My point is, something like 90% of all CA owners had already configured by 2/1. Even configuring on 2/4, judging by the spreadsheet, you probably would have taken delivery by now if you opted for 19" wheels. Hindsight is 20/20, they say. The...
  34. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    That I don't know. But if they were fully booked with S and X, that would make even less sense. Why send out a thousand+ of invites for the Model 3 to San Diego, if their sole delivery center is booked solid delivering S and X for a month in advance? A poster above quoted 50 cars/day/site as a...
  35. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    If anything, it's the opposite. CA delivery centers don't have anyone to schedule. Almost all owners already took delivery, and no non-owners got VINs. According to The Spreadsheet, the last time anyone took delivery in San Diego was on 2/9, and no deliveries are scheduled. Even allowing that...
  36. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    The one at 5600 Kearny Mesa Road, presumably. I'll check out the place again. I looked at it a week or two ago and it was still an empty building, nowhere near complete.
  37. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    One person from WA who configured on 2/22 got a delivery date scheduled for today. There are two other people on the east coast (IL and PA) with delivery dates of 3/13 and 3/15. Meanwhile, Tesla gave out somewhere upwards of 1000 (maybe 2000) invites to San Diego, none of them have VINs yet, and...
  38. E

    No recent VIN assignments?

    There's definitely something wrong with white paint. In all other colors, we have reports of assignments in the 8363 ..10060 VIN batch and assignments to non-owners. The last person who reported getting a VIN for a white/aero was someone who configured on 1/26 (yesterday, MN, 74xx). They must be...
  39. E

    California VINs: are you still waiting?

    They are quite clearly snubbing CA with deliveries. CA accounted for a more than a third of all invites on 2/22. "The spreadsheet" has 33 recorded VINs in the 2/22 group, and none of them in California. It's statistically impossible to have happened by accident. Some configurations are just...
  40. E

    VIN Assignment

    I'm pretty sure that they make all these in parallel. That's why, after they began this latest batch a week or so ago, we saw a bunch of 9400s (MSM/Sport) before a single Aero. VIN progression, registration algorithm & other VIN-related exchanges
  41. E

    What do you guys think is a fair price for this pre-owned 2014 S85?

    It is equivalent performance-wise to a brand new 70 (which is $62k after tax credit) except that it has slightly more range (265 mi vs 230 mi). New 70 has slightly better economy so the difference in range is less than you'd expect for a 70 vs 85. It is likely that it does not have any autopilot...
  42. E

    Model 3 Reservation Numbers Appearing in My Tesla

    I did not get a handshake after reservation! I feel cheated now
  43. E

    Model 3 Reservation Numbers Appearing in My Tesla

    The only thing I can think of is that it makes it easier for people to people to mine the web for information about you. E.g., if you post your number here and in your facebook, any of your facebook contacts can google it and find your user name in this forum (and then go on digging through your...
  44. E

    Model 3 Reservation Numbers Appearing in My Tesla

    I have tabulated 20-ish reservation numbers listed in this thread so far and I can confidently say that there is on visible pattern in them whatsoever (or at least not in the four digits most people are reporting). They are not correlated with reservation time, location, or online vs in-store...
  45. E

    Model 3 Reservation Numbers Appearing in My Tesla

    Ordered in person in Sunnyvale, CA around 1:30 PM PDT. Still no email but mytesla account got updated last night with #RN107356***.