Total "waste of time" thread, but would be interested in others take on how EV and Tesla will evolve over the new decade. A few guesses by me to get the ball rolling:
-- 10 million new EVs on the road in the US (I think that's conservative given Tesla numbers for 2019).
-- No major battery chemistry break-throughs, but Li-Ion now so mature its hard to displace it with new tech.
-- Ongoing build-out of electric grid infrastructure and renewables to cater to increased charging demand.
-- Gradual rise in electricity prices as demand continues to out-pace supply.
-- Consolidation of charging networks into a few major players. Perhaps big oil takes over some,
-- Saturation with DC fast chargers makes range/charging issues a quaint memory.
-- Ongoing litigation about liability for (rare) self-driving car accidents.
-- Ongoing litigation about liability when human over-rode self-driving car and caused accident.
-- Experiments with "car-driven lanes" on freeways that are restricted to cars in self-drive mode ONLY. These have higher speed limits and relaxed follow distances between cars.
-- Ongoing, but incomplete, deployment of car-to-car self-driving coordination protocols.
-- Self-driving trucks dominate on freeways, with "driver pool" on/off ramp points for human driver supervision for the last few non-freeway miles to pickup/dropoff points.
-- EVs reaching a point where they start to make a small but measurable difference to noise and chemical pollution in cities.
And...
-- Collapses of tourism and car industry as no-one drives anywhere and just sits at home immersed in VR and AR instead.
ok, that last one wasn't serious
-- 10 million new EVs on the road in the US (I think that's conservative given Tesla numbers for 2019).
-- No major battery chemistry break-throughs, but Li-Ion now so mature its hard to displace it with new tech.
-- Ongoing build-out of electric grid infrastructure and renewables to cater to increased charging demand.
-- Gradual rise in electricity prices as demand continues to out-pace supply.
-- Consolidation of charging networks into a few major players. Perhaps big oil takes over some,
-- Saturation with DC fast chargers makes range/charging issues a quaint memory.
-- Ongoing litigation about liability for (rare) self-driving car accidents.
-- Ongoing litigation about liability when human over-rode self-driving car and caused accident.
-- Experiments with "car-driven lanes" on freeways that are restricted to cars in self-drive mode ONLY. These have higher speed limits and relaxed follow distances between cars.
-- Ongoing, but incomplete, deployment of car-to-car self-driving coordination protocols.
-- Self-driving trucks dominate on freeways, with "driver pool" on/off ramp points for human driver supervision for the last few non-freeway miles to pickup/dropoff points.
-- EVs reaching a point where they start to make a small but measurable difference to noise and chemical pollution in cities.
And...
-- Collapses of tourism and car industry as no-one drives anywhere and just sits at home immersed in VR and AR instead.
ok, that last one wasn't serious
