What's likely to happen... FSD will be approved initially for specific roads, such as limited access highways, that have simpler environments. And then as the software is proven to operate safely in other conditions, FSD will be approved.
It's very likely we'll see FSD approved soon for use by trucks on limited access highways - and for very slow moving delivery vehicles in limited urban areas. We'll likely see a transition with shadow drivers in the vehicles - and then with remote control, to handle the vehicle when something unexpected is encountered.
If Tesla is successful with their "fleet learning" strategy, when FSD makes a mistake, the entire fleet should learn to avoid that mistake within a short time. Other systems relying on more on software developers could take much longer to adjust to problems encountered while driving.
We should also expect that FSD will not be allowed to operate in extreme conditions when human drivers probably shouldn't be driving - such as in heavy rain or snow, or if the roads are covered by water, ice or snow.
Also expect that FSD systems will be required to strictly adhere to the traffic laws - driving at or below posted speed limits, possibly obeying recommended speed limits, and coming to a full and complete stop at stop signs and stop lights. While FSD may allow vehicles to drive without human interaction - human drivers may always be able to drive faster (not necessarily safer) by pushing the envelope on the traffic laws or road conditions.
It's very likely we'll see FSD approved soon for use by trucks on limited access highways - and for very slow moving delivery vehicles in limited urban areas. We'll likely see a transition with shadow drivers in the vehicles - and then with remote control, to handle the vehicle when something unexpected is encountered.
If Tesla is successful with their "fleet learning" strategy, when FSD makes a mistake, the entire fleet should learn to avoid that mistake within a short time. Other systems relying on more on software developers could take much longer to adjust to problems encountered while driving.
We should also expect that FSD will not be allowed to operate in extreme conditions when human drivers probably shouldn't be driving - such as in heavy rain or snow, or if the roads are covered by water, ice or snow.
Also expect that FSD systems will be required to strictly adhere to the traffic laws - driving at or below posted speed limits, possibly obeying recommended speed limits, and coming to a full and complete stop at stop signs and stop lights. While FSD may allow vehicles to drive without human interaction - human drivers may always be able to drive faster (not necessarily safer) by pushing the envelope on the traffic laws or road conditions.
