I'll spit my comment into two; 1) Solar 2) Powerwalls
1) Solar
My goal was to offset 100% of our annual solar use. I initially installed 5.7 kW of solar a year before we had Powerwalls and later added 3.8 kW a year after Powerwalls were installed. Our usage increased quite a bit after we got our Model 3. At a minimum, having solar installed makes sense.
Get a year worth of power bills and add up the annual cost and power usage in kWh. You may be able to do this easily online. Make adjustments accounting for future use such as a EV. Assume 1 kWh for every 3-4 miles of driving. You can use
Google Project Sunroof to get a rough idea on what you need and cost. Use
PVWatts Calculator for a more advanced calculator. You may need to run a seperate report for each separate solar panel array.
Solar can be installed by a separate company first. Although Tesla may have good pricing with standard sizes (S, M, L, XL, their customer service/support can be a hit-or miss. You may find a separate company for your solar will offer options you many prefer, likely provide decent customer service, but at a (likely) higher price. Get three to five quotes (including Tesla) to see what they recommend and options available.
2) Powerwalls
Installation of battery backup is a nice to have as we have two Powerwalls and it can backup all our loads (including the AC). Due to California's high Time of Use (TOU) cost during peak periods with an EV rate plan, we found it can pay for itself. FOr my case Two Powerwalls is the sweet spot. Just enough to cover our household use and run our 4 ton AC.
How many Powerwalls do you need/want? Check
Tesla's website for what can be backed up. The link also provides some AC backup details based on compressor type and LRA rating. Per
Tesla support/FAQ, "To ensure reliable operation during power outages, at least one Powerwall is required for each 7.6 kW AC of solar included in the backup circuit." You can get away with less Powerwalls if needed. You may be able to move one of your AC units or any other high loads (pool pump) off the backup circuit.
Powerwalls installed by Tesla are typically a better price than other vendors. You may get a bundled discount when paired with a solar installation. I had mixed experienced with Tesla. Be mindful if you chose to move forward with Tesla directly. Tesla has great prices, with standard sizes, with hit-or-miss customer service/support. As with solar, get other quotes to compare pricing and options.
If moving forward with Tesla, please be sure to use a referral. You'll save $250 on the system. Note, I will not span you with mine, unless requested. =)