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NigelM - What was the last VIN # delivered in Q2; or approximately which number excluding outliers?
I thought Metafor had 14524 factory pickup on 6/30 and blc1017 8204 had factory pickup on 3/2914524 was a factory delivery on 7/01 so the actual number nationwide for 6/30 was probably around 14,400'ish?
I thought Metafor had 14524 factory pickup on 6/30
My best estimate would still be around 14,400 cars delivered by end June.
There was 2950 in 2012, 4900 in Q1, 5150 in Q2 for a total of 13,000 delivered.
Are they skipping any VIN's? I know that they have been building cars out of sequence, but they always come back to fill all the gaps right? Gap fill theory?
My predictions are here:
https://docs.zoho.com/sheet/ropen.do?rid=z1g20ee44f8e6c1e644a99dce338c06669d57
Has anyone else been watching the vins from the delivery thread? VIN #14,524 was delivered 7/01 at what looks like the factory, so should be fresh off the line(Model S Delivery Update - Page 536) and VIN #21,591 just got a delivery date of 9/28, in Arizona (Model S Delivery Update - Page 558) That is a 7,067 VIN difference!! while all these cars certainly won't be delivered, in transit to Europe,Marketing, ETC. it looks as though they are set to crush delivery #'s as long as there are no production hiccups. Hope this makes everyones holiday weekend a little happier!
Does anyone know the VIN number (even approximate) that was delivered on/near Jan 1, 2013? I.E.: where did we start this year?Has anyone else been watching the vins from the delivery thread? VIN #14,524 was delivered 7/01 at what looks like the factory, so should be fresh off the line(Model S Delivery Update - Page 536) and VIN #21,591 just got a delivery date of 9/28, in Arizona (Model S Delivery Update - Page 558) That is a 7,067 VIN difference!! while all these cars certainly won't be delivered, in transit to Europe,Marketing, ETC. it looks as though they are set to crush delivery #'s as long as there are no production hiccups. Hope this makes everyones holiday weekend a little happier!
Does anyone know the VIN number (even approximate) that was delivered on/near Jan 1, 2013? I.E.: where did we start this year?
I hope your wrong for a number of reasons. First, I want a G3, second, it would be a marketing nightmare if Tesla fails to deliver their "mass market" affordable car and instead build another high end vehicle, and third it would give the competition even more time to fill the void in the $35K range. As for battery capacity issues they do have three years to address that and Elon said that a build rate of more than a couple hundred thousand cars a year would stress battery capacity, which sounds as if they could do a few years of 100K+ G3's plus 40+ S and X's and still be OK.I think this is spot on. The traffic lately about battery constraint has pointed out that Gen III just may not be possible due to supply. But, put another way, Gen III isn't really the smart play for Tesla due to the constraint. I was out for my evening run and in my delerium I realized how smart/easy it would be to announce a 2 door sport coupe on a smaller frame with AWD and a tiny backseat. Basically a lighter, smaller less practical model S with serious spring in it's step. Would it sell 500k a year? No, but thats the point. You can sell it for 90k at high margins RIGHT NOW at lowish volumes. And the investment cost would be miniscule, lacking any of the model X challenges. And by that logic, you can do a new roadster too. Basically stop and make money on the Model S/X/C, while battery partners spin up their factories.