I rolled a 447.5 put I sold from this week into next. Got about a $3 premium. I sold the 10/23 put for $27 last week so it was about break even at the close today.
I read a better strategy than allowing assignment is to hold the strike on the put and roll. This way you get the full upside if the stock recovers and still get a small premium.
More I think about it I could have just allowed assignment and sold a covered call on any stock recovery next week per the wheel strategy.
I want to have upside position going into Monday morning as TSLA seems to have high probably of upside on Mondays.
Thoughts on which way is better to handle an in the money sold put?
My opinion only - not a pro, and heck - still learning.
I don't look at individual strategies as better and worse - they are better and worse in particular environments and circumstances. A good choice today will be a bad or indifferent choice in a similar situation another day.
That being said, you've covered several of the potential outcomes that are available, and that (at its core) is what I like best about the idea of the wheel.
In your particular situation and belief, taking assignment (more shares!), is probably a better outcome based on your belief that the shares are going to take off this week. But it might not turn out to be (depends on your share ownership timeframe).
It's also important to realize that option sales is a lower return strategy than straight share ownership with rising a rising share price. For me, the risk of doing nothing and not earning income, is higher than the risk of the shares taking off (I choose VERY high call strikes to ease the pain of assignment should that happen).
Option sales though, are a great strategy for a sideways stock. Think we've got that?
In practice, the only assignment I've accepted over 100 trades this year, was the one I actively courted and finally got. I wanted a more controlled experience with the entire cycle, and I got it
. Not just the theory, but also the mechanics and most importantly - the emotions in the moment and how that effects decision making. Turns out that turning shares into cash was an emotional problem for me - I was really worried about the share price taking off when I was out of position. I am very comfortable turning cash into shares, and waiting for a good opportunity to get back to cash.
This is my view on the wheel - it's at least how I approach things.
1) The biggest picture view of things, and what backstops every other choice, is that I have a really long term view of the business outcome I believe highly likely for the company. Long term as in 2030 right now (10+ years), which is an update from my original investment in 2012 that had a 10+ year view. Actually, I consider it likely that I'll own shares in TSLA for the rest of my life (which I expect to be much more than 10 years
).
Thus - worst case on covered puts is I end up owning more shares than I really want (oh noes!). And the worst case on covered calls is I sell at a significantly higher price than today, and turn around and buy back in or sell puts. Even on the cc, for my situation, it's a good (though not necessarily best) outcome.
2) My first preference on every option sale is that they expire worthless. Actually, under this heading is an early close for 2/3rds to 9/10th profit, and is the most common outcome. But when I don't have another position I would like to be in, milking that last 1/3rd to 1/10th is something I'll do as well.
3) Since I mostly don't want assignment, then my next preference is a roll if the alternative is assignment. I've rolled out. I've rolled down (more of a take profit / open new in this case). And mostly, I've rolled out and up (talking calls) or out and down (puts); use some of the new time value I'm selling to provide a credit AND pay for a better strike. This sometimes means going out further - say 2 weeks instead of the weeklies you're currently selling, or 2 months when you're normally working the near month.
I mostly think of a straight roll as being the most aggressive - if the shares take off on you, then you didn't gain any additional breathing room and you're in the same situation at the new expiration but now farther ITM. And of course, if the shares reverse around your original strike, then you maximize your end result. Risks and rewards, costs and benefits. Every trade has risks and rewards, and understanding the range of risks - especially when selling puts or calls (theoretically unlimited losses) is sort of important.
4) And of course, I can take assignment and run the wheel, selling the other side of whatever I was assigned on.
The point here is that we have a LOT of available outcomes and with one exception they're under our control. I like that.
And the key on this, at least for me, is #1. I don't know another company well enough to believe #1 about the company, and because of that, none of the others matter. That doesn't mean that there aren't other companies out there with a similarly bright future, only that I don't currently know which those are, nor am I ready to invest the very large amount of time (or close) that I do with Tesla to follow and understand the company.