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Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House
- Thread starter adiggs
- Start date
thenewguy1979
"The" Dog
AAPL has been a good scalping play lately. Seem to bottom out at 168 then do this dance to 172plus then repeat it self for weeks now.
Wicked stock provided some good strategy.
The plays are cheap since IV are low but volatility in PA lately amplified the returns.
Wicked stock provided some good strategy.
The plays are cheap since IV are low but volatility in PA lately amplified the returns.
Earlier in the day, TSLA:
STC 100x 4/26 -c165 net +$11.35
BTC 100x 4/26 -p165 net -$7.9
STO 100x 4/26 -c150 @$11.6
Now, 100x 4/26 -p140, to sell or not to sell, that is the question... had an order open most of the day at $3.1 and it missed buy 5c (as often seems to be the case...)
Lower the limit now, or wait and see tomorrow...?
STC 100x 4/26 -c165 net +$11.35
BTC 100x 4/26 -p165 net -$7.9
STO 100x 4/26 -c150 @$11.6
Now, 100x 4/26 -p140, to sell or not to sell, that is the question... had an order open most of the day at $3.1 and it missed buy 5c (as often seems to be the case...)
Lower the limit now, or wait and see tomorrow...?
Feels like Elon’s more engaged in Tesla the last couple weeks than in the past few months (or more). Whether for good or for bad, it’s good to see him back.
Let's hope he's not doom & gloom on Earnings call............ but there again selfishly I won't mind a >10% dip as I am sitting in 80% cash
Are they prioritizing margin instead of volume now? How will the market will react about no growth but higher margins?
This is true, and we were complaining that Elon was distracted by his other companies.
The problem is that this feels like he just now realized the issues and is scrambling to fix everything at once.
I reopened +p150-155 for the next few weeks and -c155-160 for this week. Also trimmed a small percentage of shares.
I still expect to see 145 gap fill at some point this month. Around there I’ll look to start buying back the shares or maybe 12/26 +100c.
SpeedyEddy
Active Member
Some nice MSTR trades brought me, amongst money, another 100 PLTR. I had to keep the buttocks tight for long on the last trade, that went green just before the close.
times are CET
PS still holding 1140 Put for Friday.
PS 2 BTC halving will possibly already occur on Friday depending on when block 840.000 will be mined ready
times are CET
PS still holding 1140 Put for Friday.
PS 2 BTC halving will possibly already occur on Friday depending on when block 840.000 will be mined ready
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thenewguy1979
"The" Dog
He have too much on the line and he know it. More on the side of what else can he do to pump the stock before and during ER...
thenewguy1979
"The" Dog
Got to be careful on the tight buttock comment. This aint no jailhouse you know
Haha...sure...here's what I got. BUT I'm not good yet with interpreting the data like you can. I'm happy to post screenshots intraday but would appreciate if you could chime in what we're looking at ;- )
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@Yoona as a test for myself, let me know if my read on the data from left to right on the below is correct:
TSLA is likely boxed $155-160 rest of the week, Vanna saying cap/resistance $160 up, delta is saying lots of downward pressure from puts. Heatmap showing more puts than calls=bearish. Next row below: Next week still bearish, maybe $150 magnet/floor. May 3rd opens possibility of even lower, but some green up top can help hold it up. May 10 $150-$160 again. Net Premium flow shows some call buying but weak.
SpeedyEddy
Active Member
In either case everything below 146 is IMO always a good entry point (to go in long, so no short-term trades, no margin). This bottoming coincides with a spring-flaw that occurs in every election-year. I will switch some PLTR and hopefully MSTR P1140 money to buy in (and sell -P dec '26) especially when it would be getting more violent in the middle-East the coming days. (Which I surely do not hope for, human lives matter more to me than earning a bit but signs tell me hoping that will not be of any help)
And what if they sell less cars as a result and the P&D drops further...?
It would be nice to see him in cheerleader mode again after these last few terrible calls. I could definitely see a scenario where we bounce hard coming out of it because “the bad news is out of the way” or “sell the rumor, buy the news” after everyone loads up on long puts and short calls for the ER.
Whilst I agree with your thought there are certain things he is unable to control. Prolonged elevated interest rates & overall macro fears. Possible banking meltdown & wars. He of course knows all these things & has not been shy to warn us about them in the past. Speaks the truth & many on WS don't necessarily like to hear it. (The negatives)
A++++
gamma (market participants) expecting 150-160, judging from tall gammas
cluster of gammas likely to be magnet, especially the tallest
it doesn't necessarily mean tall gammas are supp/res since sp might slide through them, but they are magnets so it's approx below or above the wall
as we approach 0dte, tallest gammas may be the same as tallest OI walls, so that's double confirmation
greeks are just another TA tool, you still need other TA (lines, fibs, MA, EW, etc) to confirm your analysis
dealers (vanna) prefer 150-170, if they can push it
all that on a normal day... if there is a black swan then greeks mean nothing until sp stabilizes back and IV dies down
greeks 'per $1 move' is more accurate than 'per 1% move' as the screen refreshes faster
lowest/highest premium probably magnets, but not necessarily
maxpain is useless, but nice to know
contract stats (premium) is very important to indicate bullish/bearishness for the day, especially if lopsided
aggressive moves (buyer or seller can't wait):
puts bought above ask = bearish
calls bought above ask = bullish
puts sold below bid = bullish
calls sold below bid = bearish
thank you!
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