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Here's an interesting conflict. This analyst Ronnie Moas says TSLA's recent 60 point rise was just shorts covering. If that is true, then shouldn't there be shares available to short now that there's been net covering?
It's the same one you posted earlier - from some little financial firm. The bigger firms are the ones that can really move TSLA down.
Is it? Sorry if it is, a little tired. Just went by how recent it was posted
sundaymorning
Active Member
The Macros sometimes get in the way. With Tesla being down AH I wouldn't be surprise if we get a brief pullback similar to today. A few downgrade appeared right when TSLA showed some weakness, good timing for the shorts.
Tedkidd
Member
options bought last month hit their stop today. Why did people sell on the 325k news?? $200 worth paid for my 2 reservations! #fanboi
Few things at play it seems (correct me if I'm wrong anyone):
#fanboi
1. Investors were predicting higher reservations based on initial surge
2. Macro was down ~1%
3. Questions of production and how Tesla will be able to deliver
4. Several smaller analysts have downgraded TSLA
Yep they always try to manipulate the stock, just like Citron who announced the short right when TSLA showed weakness against $200 resistance about a month ago. It dropped some $10 then bounced right through $200.
Assume it drops to 100 per hour. That would still be >1M before the first one is produced.Hmm! Let's see the reservation rates so far:
First 24 hours: 180,000 : 7500 per hour
Next 48 hours: 96,000 : 2000 per hour
Next 96 hours: 49,000 : 510 per hour
Nope, no one can notice any trend here
stef
Member
We don't have that many points yet to be accurate, and we'll probably don't get many more in the future according to Elon. However, a typical log extrapolation of what we know would suggest that we may hit the 500k mark in roughly 10 weeks. Interestingly, you'd hit a similar date with the assumption of 100 res/hour.
Even more interestingly, that would mean that we could hit the 500k mark sometimw in the first half of June.
That would male for a nice tweet to add to the Q2 official delivery numbers.
I think there are going to be a lot of cancellations in 2019. As a european, I probably won't get my Model 3 untill early 2019. By the time I have to confirm, there will probably more info about the new roadster, which was rumoured for 2019. If that's the case, I 'll buy a maximum plaid roadster instead.
I'm somewhat hoping that the next gen roadster will replace the Mazda MX5 as the roadster for the masses instead of being an uber-expsensive car. I don't see why this wouldn't be possible, and it would fit with Tesla's mission to accellerate the adoption of sustainable transport.
If I don't cancel, I'll end up with an S, a 3 and a roadster in 2020/2021.
Just to be clear, I'm claiming that a lot of the cancellations will still result in an order for Tesla, but for a different car thant the Model 3.
The reservations can't be hidden, and Elon knows that. We're going to get an update at least once per quarter with the earnings release. 100/hour would result in $1B on the q1 2017 balance sheet, no way to hide that.
About that customer deposit number... I was expecting the Q1 ER for a while now as, with all the X sigs delivered, it would have given us a clear picture of Prod S/X backlog. However, as it is kind of uncertain how much of the M3 preorder can be accounted for Q1, the picture will still be a bit murky.
No worries. I'm trying to point out that it was the same firm from the first downgrade link you posted but written differently. So what I'm trying to say is, there is not a distinct downgrade from different analysts, i.e., firm 1 and firm 2. It is firm 1 and again firm 1. Just more trash pumping to try and influence TSLA according to some twisted agenda.
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