Artful Dodger
"Neko no me"
[Tesla's Strategic Masterpiece on X]
Tesla's Strategic Masterpiece. on Youtube | Farzad (8 min) explains how FSD software leverages low-margin hdw.
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[Tesla's Strategic Masterpiece on X]
There was no change. This is an annual reporting that is required of anyone with 5% or more ownership.Maybe I missed it but I thought there would have been more discussion on Elon buying stock and now owning 20% of the company. To me this signals to TSLA investors that he’s staying at the company and he believes the stock is going to run up imminently. My guess FSD12 beta will be wide release soon and will blow people away.
This is the ideal, I wish Tesla will speed up this process.What staggers me is that Tesla sell 4 different cars (CT not ramped), and mostly they just sell2 (3/Y). I know that other brands tend to have more variants, but just imagine Tesla selling a small 2 seater van, a large transit-size van, a small 2 door compact, and also a ramped cybertruck, semi and roadster.
What is the best source for tracking ... Change in ownership by largest share holders?
How does a system that works in 95% of situations require “no supervision”. What happens in the 5% of situations where it fails to work?
If it fails to work while in the middle of driving, and it is not under supervision….that sounds like it leads to a somewhat suboptimal outcome. Perhaps I’m misunderstanding the definition?
Great question! This is worth knowing. ChatGPT4 is choking on it right now. Network error.With a potential shareholder vote looming to approve the move from Delaware to Texas, don't holders of shorted shares have to return them to their rightful owner? Is that what we're seeing today, shorts covering?
NoWith a potential shareholder vote looming to approve the move from Delaware to Texas, don't holders of shorted shares have to return them to their rightful owner? Is that what we're seeing today, shorts covering?
ChatGPT4 has confused me again, since when you short a stock, you never own the shares. The investor with whom you deal with purchases and sells the stock for you. That investor thus has the shareholder's rights if there is a vote.So, that does not compute. ChatGPT should just consult with @mongo for the answer.
Last chance to buy below 200 folks
#psychology
Your brief quote from AndrewZ didn't say the human would take over "at short notice" -- and the quoted words even hint at managing the transition over time: "when it is approaching conditions under which it can't operate." The example AndrewZ gave - the Mercedes driving through a traffic jam on Level 3 - would be able to give plenty of notice to a human as traffic began to clear and the system had to shift back into Level 2. This could easily be 30 seconds or a minute....plenty of time for a smooth hand-off. I don't think anybody would call it "Level 3" if the car is going to be driving at highway speed, see something it doesn't like, and beep twice to alert the human to take over while immediately shutting the software off.“…then pass the driving task back when it is approaching conditions under which it can't operate”
Right, so it does require the driver to take over at short notice, which to me doesn’t sound like a very attractive form of “unsupervised”.
It all sounds rather suboptimal still. Would much rather have waymo level autonomy in a car - as slow and geofenced as it is currently - which requires no driver whatsoever, and when it fails doesn’t lead to any danger, and slowly expand that to higher speeds and wider areas as system improves.
Or work for amazon or ups in the warehouse and deliveries or bmw (although i heard their powerpoint robot is running circles).When Optimus is available to handle most household cleaning...
SHUT UP AND TAKE MY MONEY!
Nice list. I would personally add -- do a "sleep on the factory floor" effort to landI think people are way too pessimistic about the potential for a stock price climb. There is no much good news. The SP being low has just depressed all us regular posters! Potential catalysts:
- FSD v12 wide release
- FSD release in China
- FSD release in Europe
- Breakthrough with 4680s (maybe the asymmetric lamination?) results in a range boost or cost reduction for all 4680 vehicles.
- Semi mass production starts
- Optimus update
- Interest rates fall and Tesla holds prices the same...margins leap up
- Rivian/Lucid/Nikola collapse
- Collapse in sales of the F150 Lightning
- Model 2 reveal
- Cybertruck ramp accelerates
- Model Y juniper update
- Much improved Q1 financials due to highland production cost fall
- Lithium price fall translates to lower costs & higher margins
- Climate-Change major event forces step-change on policy for EVs.
No idea how many of these, if any happen in the next six months, or even month. Predicting Tesla is very hard. None of us saw the hertz deal coming. None of us saw the GM NACS deal coming.
My best guess is interest rates falling, and combo of lithium drop/highland optimisations lead to decent margins in Q1. FSD timeline feels random. I don't expect model 2 reveal in the next 6 months. I do expect one of rivian, lucid or nikola to be wound up soonish. Personally am excited about optimus and semi.
There it is!