humbaba
sleeping until $7000
Let's see. 27K S&X (balancing out low quarters in Q1/Q2), 10 effective weeks of production (holidays jam things up), that's 7300 Model 3 per week. It's certainly possible, even likely, though I wouldn't bet on it.
I wouldn't bet on that either. I think more likely to have 5.5k M3/week which would give 55,000 for the quarter -- or about the same as the rest of the year altogether. Which is likely somewhat optimistic but should be do-able.
Put another way, if insideev's numbers (alright, those are sales not production, but it was what I had handy and for this level of estimation should be sufficient) for August are correct and sustainable (no growth, no loss) that is ~23,000 S3X per month or ~70,000 in a quarter. To hit 100,000 in a quarter would require about 50% growth which just doesn't seem likely this year.
In short, 100,000 for the year is almost inevitable (M3 alone might well exceed that) but 100,000 for Q4 alone seems more than a bit optimistic.
At the same time... no other electric manufacturer has anything like this production volume. When the model Y is out the low end market is liable to the same end as the luxury car -- dominance by Tesla.