It would seem to me that Tesla will have to offer some form of battery replacement/upgrade at some point once batteries start seeing less than about 60% of their original range. If not this would pretty much be a death knell for EV's in general. Who would want to buy a car that could not have it's powerplant replaced/refreshed?
But of course this does not help you in this current dilemma.
Battery degredation is slow. There’s a report of an X with 300,000 miles over 2 years that’s lost 13% of the original battery capacity. Most of it was within the first 9 months then very little after that. So if that is accurate and if it is characteristic of all our cars over a longer time period, then the 60% level may be at some time after the first million miles. The average driver puts between 13,000 and 15,000 miles per year on a car. At 15,000 miles per year it’ll take over 66 years to accumulate a million miles.
Here’s the article that has the information about that 300,000 mile X.
Tesla Battery Life Longer Than Anyone (Except Elon & JB) Expected | CleanTechnica
I believe you can buy a new battery pack for a Tesla, it’s expensive, though. I saw a number, $44,000, I don’t know if that is accurate and I don’t know which pack it was. Still, it may be the battery degredation issue is moot for a majority of owners.