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  1. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    You get the prize so far!
  2. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    10X $180 exp 3/22 $1.91 premium, wanted $2, but oh well
  3. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    And me as well. Super painful to get assigned on puts on the march down to $100, but I f*ing did it, and ended up acquiring about ~30% more shares at an average of $160'ish, which is what was super painful as I was exasperated and emotionally drained thinking I might be crazy to think valuation...
  4. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    interesting PA today between the two mountains. Would expect it to touch $160 today and I'd get out of my CCs. If it doesn't, happy to roll out.
  5. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Wrote $160 calls for tomorrow based on this volume. Wondering how well this will age?
  6. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    For context, those are $86 currently. It is hard to even fathom that TSLA could go that low again however. And I'm with you! I'll be buying a bunch of calls at that price.
  7. Discoducky

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Just reported 10 more...for instance this scam account currently has 3 live streams
  8. Discoducky

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    12.x is a step change which drastically reduces the amount of critical disengagements. But, to dispel the hype... My tipping point: Build goes to wide release and someone live streams 4+ hours of urban average rideshare length nav points during daylight hours (aka has traffic, VRUs and can...
  9. Discoducky

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    PSA, these pop up all the time and I've reported >100 over the past ~3 years.
  10. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Looking for a pop tomorrow on PPI, then sell some CCs for next week. I know I'm boring.
  11. Discoducky

    FSD V12 (end to end AI)

    my only gripe in that video is the red light running. However, in that scenario, there is an indication that FSD had already entered the intersection (including coming to a smooth stop) based on the position of the solid white line relative to the white car parked on the right. And another...
  12. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    happy to continue the conversation in the V12 thread here and I've added my thoughts from the video: FSD V12 (end to end AI)
  13. Discoducky

    FSD V12 (end to end AI)

    Take time and watch this entire video: Several examples of 12.2.1 doing things very human-like in a challenging, complex and busy situations where it is making decisions confidently. Obviously open for interpretations based on your comfort levels, but this looks and feels like an example...
  14. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Same, that's all I shoot for anyways, anymore than that and risk/stress outweighs all else. also, holding the line above @dl003 target!
  15. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I'm actively watching the V12.3 drives and am looking for signs it could be closer, but just not seeing it currently. For instance: If FSD can navigate 50 busy (shooting the gaps) roundabouts in a row successfully (no critical disengagements or honking), I'm going to buy calls (and I NEVER buy...
  16. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    was just thinking that we were close, 172.41, but no cigar.
  17. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Cheers to chatGPT for the confirmation text below as I'm looking for the volume. Next week I'd think will be bumpy with so much on the weekly market calendar. Confirmation: While a bullish divergence may indicate a potential reversal, it's essential to wait for confirmation from other technical...
  18. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Agreed and not only that, all the posts about stuff other than options for TSLA is just noise, quite a bit of noise, so I don't read it. I read @BornToFly and others that I know, but just for TSLA options stuff.
  19. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Would you like us to help you keep your word? For me, I have a hard time NOT buying calls, but really stay away from spreads due the binds folks have been in. I remember the binds that folks were in for the ~$100 Jan 2023 drop and that is forever burned into my brain
  20. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Sorry for those in a bind on NVDA, rolling is your friend. For TSLA, I'd think the lower production for earnings will be bearish. I'll be continuing to open more weekly CCs at MP to offset/hedge the downside. I have no plays open for next week so far. Quad/triple witching week. For me...
  21. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Now damage is in the 300M range due to prolonged outage EDIT: actually, I misread, 100M+ range, sheesh
  22. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    180.10 seems. Been super fun watching PA this morning
  23. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Is there a post on this thread somewhere that would explain how to read these 'tea leaves'? I get the gamma and vanna definitions, but if someone could provide a short sentence relative read on these I'd appreciate it (teach me to fish) Taking a shot at this week (knowing wrongness is high...
  24. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Off by a penny in AH.
  25. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    be sure to read through the thread...Roland is good as well...
  26. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Also, this thread is a good back and forth on James's position:
  27. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Funny, as I participated in that, even though I'm not a subscriber as it was mistakenly(?) open to anyone to listen/request to speak. I found it to be interesting and he's been very accurate in predicting EPS.
  28. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I don't want to BTC my 30x 3/8 $210's even though at 85% profit as I want to see the stock get back there by Friday. The 10x 3/8 $207.5's are first to go. quite a few with Powell testifying to Congress Thursday 940am Eastern U.S. Economic Calendar - MarketWatch
  29. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Same, I've been burnt by limit on TSLA.
  30. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Solid reasoning as usual @Knightshade and time will tell... My 2 cents on this overall discussion: The business model of internet subscriber monetization production prediction is to predict low first, then continue to regularly adjust up the closer you get to actual numbers. I like to call it...
  31. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Thx! I went with 20X $210s for 3/8 in the meantime. I feel like we'll see a spike Monday or Tuesday and I'll sell more.
  32. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Looking at the huge (77k) triple witching 3/15 wall at $220, I'll be looking to open more CCs next week on more spikes to get behind that wall.
  33. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    closed out my $202.50 at 90% profit prior to this run up, but I'm holding fast on the $205 and $210s. Quite the ride today Sold some $210s like others on the spike for 3/8
  34. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Pre-market thoughts, looking to open more CCs for 3/8 as it spikes up today hopefully somewhere above $207, but I'm doubting it will close above $201. at some point will close out or roll my 40x $202.5, $205 and $210 CCs
  35. Discoducky

    Tesla Litigation Department

    It was March 2019 when they announced they were splitting the company into a "for profit", by creating OpenAI LP, and keeping the not-for-profit part called OpenAI Foundation. Soon after the Microsoft contract was announced. I'll be interested to see what will come out in discovery...
  36. Discoducky

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    How does a Tesla owner sign up for monthly supercharging? (I can't find it in the app)
  37. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    It has been a super exciting week for my open CCs at $202.50 and $205 3/1. Opened them at the wrong time, that's for sure. But the $210 was spot on. The 3/8's at $215 and $220 are doing well currently. Looking to open more and will roll if we run up to $207
  38. Discoducky

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yep and I'll try to say why I think so as well. In 2014, I lost an engineer from the AP team to project Titan, who left with the understanding they'd be building the supposed "Tesla killer". Huge bummer, but I was happy for them and that we'd have more EVs. Fast forward 1/2 a year and two more...
  39. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Interesting as Fidelity just took ~3 minutes to fill a STO 10x CC, usually happens near instantaneous
  40. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Gotcha, also, there is this page: Options Max Pain - Calculations for SPY wish it had future data on the chart, but just shows history...
  41. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    C'mon, it is fun to watch it melt up! Yeah, I'll have to roll like 30x CCs, but my overall portfolio is very happy. FYI, I'm retired as well :)
  42. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Thx for this list! Did you generate it manually or is there some magical page that has this in a nice view for copy/paste?
  43. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    <on soap box> Agreed and I can only justify this with the reasoning that many folks don't know that all of the other options objectively pale in comparison to a given Tesla option when considering TCO, performance and safety. If I had to demonstrate this in one picture, this would be it. What...
  44. Discoducky

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yep, they all test about the same stuff and they all communicate with each other when they make changes. C-NCAP is also very closely tied with Euro NCAP as the name suggests.
  45. Discoducky

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yep, C-NCAP is the main governing test agency and BYD does get top marks on their vehicles: https://carnewschina.com/2023/01/16/byd-seal-scores-5-stars-in-c-ncap-crash-test-in-china A price war Tesla can most definitely win, its the innovation speed that is my main focus. BYD is expanding its...
  46. Discoducky

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    While I'm not worried, per se, about BYD, I think it is best to better understand what they could or are doing better than Tesla. For instance they seem to be faster at learning and iteration (thought I'd never say that) in China as their EV lineup has filled out very quickly and is very...
  47. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Agree on the P&D numbers being relevant, but not the deep discussion/speculation. If/when there is relevant material info I'd expect @Knightshade to have it handy and be spot on.
  48. Discoducky

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    10x more $3.91 @$207.50 3/8