Basically if your overall electricity bill is far lower than an equivalent single rate tariff then the supplier loses profit.
You're the numbers person, rather than me, but I'm not getting my head around this I'm afraid to say.
I understand that if I had single tariff (and a car to charge overnight) that would be more profit for supplier. If I don't have EV (and no nightstore heaters) I'm probably going to seriously struggle to make E7 cost effective - my night usage will never be enough to justify paying a bit more for the day rate - so I should be on a singe-rate tariff.
If I buy EV and switch to E7 then the supplier gains a smidgen on my day use, loses out on my night use, but gains significantly from my extra night use for EV.
If I buy an EV and don't change to E7 ... but change later ... then, yes, supplier loses out but I was nuts for the first period of EV charging cost!
If I buy a static battery and reduce my day rate, and charge battery overnight, then yes supplier loses out, but I (combined with others) have smoothed their supply and reduced the need for them to build new generating capacity. They are "paying me" to subsidise that, and I am using up their surplus overnight generation.
Same thing for everyone who installed PV I suppose ... reduced the bills of those homeowners and profits of suppliers (except that I expect that most PV home owners are out to work, exporting plenty during the day, and only getting the 50% "assumed export", so being ripped off by electricity supplier - but that is hunch-only, I have no data to support that)
So I think that E7 consumers have high enough night usage to justify it, would therefore not be on a single-rate tariff anyway, and Supplier has surplus generating capacity overnight (they may sell to me at a loss, but that's better than no sale, and maybe better than "pumping water uphill"), and all the (serious) off peak users are helping smooth supply.
As long as you can afford to take steps to optimize your choices then I have no doubt it is a good thing, most people can't though and that is where this is going to get painful eventually...
That's a general problem, for which I have no answer. Me, as a rich bar$tard, has a 100K Tesla, saves 75% on fuel cost, pays no fuel duty, got 7.5K handout from government to buy the car, no congestion charge, etc etc. Someone on the breadline driving a Diesel car (that government and car companies told them was the right thing a few years back) is going to be penalised from here until the car is scrapped. I got handouts for my PV and a host of other early adopter opportunities too ...
I understand that subsidising early adopters to move a market is necessary, but the poor pay. But I reckon it's a separate conversation.
'm also expecting the smart meters to enable differential taxation for power used to charge EV's as the government is not going to let the income from fuel duty decline...
My money is on road-use-charging, at its simplest could be self-declaration with forced adjustment-payment at MOT and any car resale. More sophisticated road charging (which road, what time) would encourage freight etc. to move at off-peak and so on, which would reduce congestion and improve GDP ...Me? I'm off to feed the pigs and encourage them to fly
Trying to establish what electricity is used for car charging will be a minefield of complexity ...
I suspect the government back-pedalled on the compulsion bit when the new data protection laws came in
My recollection is that the energy companies had installed far fewer smart meters than predicted and thus government extended the timescale. GDPR gets blamed for a lot, I don't find it draconian in the way that companies seem to react : "Fill in this lengthy "opt-out choices" form before you can just read a simple article on our website" ... crazy.
A lot of people may not have either have the knowledge or the time to mess around with changing their power use profile to make the best of the variable rates
I think it might encourage people to be more careful in their usage, I guess some people might choose to cook evening meal outside the Evening Peak period ... but i doubt it will be many. But folk who can't afford to change to LED bulbs / add insulation / fit a timer / etc. then "be more careful" looks like the only option.
my usual 4 hour nightly charge just about fits in with the Octopus and Green Energy low rate variable tariffs, but I might charge longer, which makes the variable tariff less attractive.
I have a corollary to that: On the days you would need to charge longer [than 4 hours] how often would you actually need that extra charge, the following day? I have my charge stop at end of E7 regardless. If I come home "empty" then I won't get a full charge overnight, but tomorrow night will take care of that. If I have to back-to-back long journey days I need to take special action - but in those instances I will be wanting 100% charge before I leave anyway, so I'm already having to "take action" of some sort to achieve that ... but I might get caught out at some point. Maybe that approach would enable you to switch to 4-hour off-peak supplier?
We've made a number of lifestyle-change choices in order to be more Eco, and Yeah, we get caught out sometimes ... Others on this forum too I expect, but amongst my non-EV friends pretty much zero change. Yes they get green with envy/anger! when I lecture them on what I am saving, and what they could be doing ... but not to the point of actually putting their hand in their wallet.