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Delivery date question

Discussion in 'Model 3: Ordering, Production, Delivery' started by waynes, Oct 19, 2019.

  1. waynes

    waynes Member

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    I just ordered my Model 3 Long Range AWD red with sport wheels on 10/16/2019. When I placed the order it says the delivery date would be 2 - 6 weeks. My account information says Estimated Delivery: within 2 weeks from order placed date

    Are people seeing their delivery date being Nov or Dec on the account information and I should ignore that it says two weeks on mine?

    Thanks
     
  2. Joe85sti

    Joe85sti Member

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    Ignore it. My Oct 2nd order used to say “...within 2 weeks”, that just recently disappeared with the recent changes. I’d expect late November, early December.
     
  3. markli

    markli Member

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    Same question my order was placed on Oct 15, it shows “Estimated Delivery: within 2 weeks from order placed date” , i talked to my SA they told me I should expect the car by Mid to Late November. Right now the upload your own insurance box disappeared and no VIN
     
  4. jonquiljo

    jonquiljo Supporting Member

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    I just noticed that “upload your own insurance” disappeared too. Strange! Why did they bother removing it?

    My car still says 2 weeks - but I know better, though all these different SA’s giving very different delivery estimates kind of shows that Tesla employees don’t really know what’s going on.
     
  5. Balaji

    Balaji Member

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    I ordered on 9/16 model 3 LR paid $2500
    Still gives option for uploading insurance is present
    I am sure reading the forum I have to wait till mid nov/ December
     
  6. waynes

    waynes Member

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    I still have the upload insurance but I cant do that until I have the VIN.
     
  7. OCR1

    OCR1 Active Member

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    Tesla just recently updated their website to reflect the more realistic 6-8 week lead time. However, orders that were placed prior to the update will still show two weeks. The two weeks is not accurate as of current information. Cars being built currently are filling international orders only.
     
  8. Balaji

    Balaji Member

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    I ordered on 10/16 not 9/16
     
  9. George75

    George75 Member

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    I just ordered my M3, uploaded all the documents. Obviously I don't have insurance yet for a car that isn't made. Which brings me to the next question and maybe I'm jumping ahead here but where does the VIN show up? I just ordered and I'm at the "drafting documents" stage. I was told 8-10 weeks for delivery.
     
  10. shiftkenny

    shiftkenny Member

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    Vin will show when your car is made.
     
    • Like x 1
  11. waynes

    waynes Member

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    Update: I was emailed by the Operations Advisor that my Model 3 would be here on Oct 29. I have the VIN which shows its a model year 2020. This is awesome!
     
  12. shiftkenny

    shiftkenny Member

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    Sick.. so it's TRUE they showing model year 2020 now
     
  13. NormVA

    NormVA Member

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    I ordered my Model 3 L/R 19in wheels full self driving on 2 October. Dealer said six weeks to delivery. Order said two weeks. I have not received a VIN or any info about expected delivery date. Anyone know when they are going to produce cars for US. I live in Virginia.
     
  14. jonquiljo

    jonquiljo Supporting Member

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    This is the question which all answers really rely upon. If people are being issued VIN numbers now after a wait, then possibly Fremont has started producing for N. America again. Possibly. Either way, people need to post order date, order number (last 5 digits) and last part of VIN.

    We still may be seeing stuff finally reaching destination from earlier this month. 2020 VIN numbers really don't mean much. Lots of companies have been selling 2020 cars for a very long time.
     
  15. m3-ricardo

    m3-ricardo Member

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    congrats --

    can you share what you had ordered .. wondering what batch got made.
     
  16. NormVA

    NormVA Member

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    This spreadsheet shows very few VINs in October (probably none manufactured in Oct)
    Teslike Model 3 Survey #2
     
  17. iaaaaan

    iaaaaan Member

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  18. NormVA

    NormVA Member

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    I hope that you are correct, but very few are showing up on the spreadsheet and they are not the ones for the early orders.
     
  19. rtshefe

    rtshefe Member

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    there is a 543,000 vin on the tesla site now
    says its a 2019
    a couple weeks ago I saw a 540 something vin on there as well
     
  20. jonquiljo

    jonquiljo Supporting Member

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    I get your point. I think we need a bit more data before we can conclude anything. Bloomberg said that VINS are not perfectly sequential and we can only see a couple recent issues. If this goes on for the rest of the week, it should get faster and faster.

    My order number for my 10/1 order was 630140 (I couldn't pick it up and lost it). I reordered on 10/11 and the order number was 652515 - or 22,000 orders later (in 11 days!). 11 days later (now), we are about 20,000 order numbers higher than my 10/11 order. That means to day, Tesla has taken 40,000 orders in October alone!

    Lets assume that (20%) are S's and X's. That means 32,000 orders. We can safely assume about 20,000 orders unfulfilled in the US from September. That's 52,000 Model 3's to date, albeit some are foreign orders.

    If ... Fremont is finally switching over to N. American cars now - they can make enough cars to cover what's been ordered to date - plus another 25,000 cars that will be ordered by the end of October (10 days at about 2500 a day). Total of September and October unfulfilled are about 80,000 cars. Adjust that to 65,000 USA cars.

    So IF production changed over today - it is likely that anything from Nov. 1 on will not be fulfilled (or be a toss-up depending on cancellations - and my numbers are crude at best). Then again, that's what people have been suspecting. It kind of fits with "6-10 weeks for delivery after order."

    So yes, I want to believe that production is finally switching over. If not, a lot of N. American customers will be SOL. But, again we are really speculating now. Then again, speculation is better than listening to the BS of a Tesla sales advisor.
     

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