Hi there. I took a ride at the LA test event and fell in love with this car. Fantastically designed vehicle. I wanted to buy it on the spot.
I keep coming back to a nagging problem though, and one that I think is going to haunt this industry for a while: the *unpredictability* of out-of-range charging.
A vehicle like the Tesla S is perfect for all drives that start and end with home. You have a guaranteed charging hub, and you can predict precisely how long your charging will take, and you have guaranteed access. Any trips within (maximum battery range - accessory usage / 2) are perfect for this vehicle.
However, when I try to rationalize trips with ranges beyond this -- pretty much any trip that requires charging either in the middle of the trip (san diego to san fran) or at the destination (san diego to santa barbara and back in 85kwh, or day trip from san diego to LA in a 60kwh car), I start to imagine all sorts of scenarios that make such trips roulette events, and thus not of acceptable risk for what's supposed to be a hassle-free trip.
The primary issue is that unless I control the environment at the other end (I own a parking spot with a charger, for example), I can have no 100% guarantee that I will be able to charge at the other end.
A website may show that 3 chargers are available in a destination parking garage (or even a hotel), but the list of things that could go wrong are large, and these risks actually grow with more EVs on the road (leafs,volts,teslas,etc):
- The chargers may all be in use. Maybe for the entire day (or night in the case of hotel).
- They may be broken, inactive.
- They may not interface properly with my car.
- Couldn't someone come along with 1% juice, and in their own panic disconnect my car, and charge theirs? Or do charging ports lock? Can a-hole kids disconnect my car just for fun? Or does key-in-range lock charge port in?
- Non-electric-cars may be parking in the spaces by the chargers
- The parking garage may close before my required charge is made
- Construction work, maintenance being done, other obstacles getting to the chargers.
- Etc
In short, if I am driving from San Diego to Santa Barbara for a weekend (215 miles), and I *NEED* to charge at the other end to be able to get home, then I have zero guarantee that I can charge with certainty in a time-predictable manner. It's like driving an ICE into a desert where you've heard there is a gas station or two that may possibly be open, but it all depends on how lucky you are. Chargers listed on a website are completely theoretical because they do not guarantee ME a charging time and spot. Maybe those chargers have "always been available" for Roadster users, but we're getting a lot more EVs on the roads now - more competition for charging spots.
Even as charging options expand and more EVs get on the roads (say, lots of parking garages in the area have chargers), can you imagine the hassle of trying to find one that DOES have a spot free, and then trying to work out how to get from parking-garage-with-an-available-spot to the location you actually wanted to get to?
Even hypothetical future super-charging stations have their issues. How long might a wait be at one of these? If it takes half an hour to super-charge a car to 50%, then we should assume that most cars will be there at least half an hour. Can you imagine the lines at a gas station where every car takes 30 minutes to fill up? Are there going to be 50 charging ports and 50 parking spots available at super-charging stations? Is there enough expensive real estate to PARK 50 cars in urban areas to super-charge them? And what precisely do all of these people do for 30 minutes while they charge? Can they theoretically get super-charging down to a 5-minute event? And if that ONE station is closed for maintenance or whatever, what then? In the early years at least, odds of there being 2 super-charge stations next door to each other will be low.
So, I'd love to hear people's thoughts on this issue. I often hear things like "super charging stations" will save us, or "more parking garages will have ports", but it all sounds like a logistical nightmare to me as a driver out-of-range who needs to charge and more importantly needs to be able to GUARANTEE that he/she can charge in a certain amount of time.
Don't get me wrong, I still want this car and intend on buying it, even if it means all trips are maxrange/2 in range. I do, however, have trouble differentiating driving out of range in a place where I do not have a guaranteed charge-location (with backup locations) from a gamble that may result in either (a) a lot of wasted time or (b) a visit from a tow-truck.
Thanks for your thoughts