I don’t think Elon has ever suggested Neuralink will have ultimate success soon. IIRC, he has never given a timeline for anything at neuralink. So don’t judge it based on progress so far.
Indeed, anyone who knows enough about the field KNOWS that progress will be slow … this is like biotech company speed, ten years to first product kind of thing. If they have a first product in 8 years, it’ll be a win.
Also, state of the art continues to be the Utah array, which is like the dark ages compared to the current Neuralink implant. If Neuralink didn’t exist, the field wouldn’t automatically progress. Neuralink is an important player in this area, and I’m glad he has spent $$$ on it.
He one of the generation’s best business strategists. His drive and leadership haven’t been seen in business since Edison. As a pure technologist, he’s not the best in class, so, ok, he’s only world class in 2 things and not all things. But he’s a pretty damn good technologist nonetheless. The complete package is very, very rare. You just don’t see risk taking, maniacal drive, business strategy, solid technical abilities, war-general leadership all in one person.
Yes, he has his faults (as told ad-nauseum in Issacson’s book), but who doesn’t.
I agree 100%. Neuralink is on track to provide spinal cord injury cures, restore eyesight and hearing, Etc. His original goal of sped up human I/O rates is very very speculative at best. 99% chance of it not working IMHO.
I disagree. I suspect political biases are going to color what anyone thinks of his twitter adventure, so I’ll just leave it at that.
Indeed. Over automating Model 3 production almost bankrupted the company. It was their giant leap into mass manufacturing and they didn’t have the luxury of a $20B cash hoard like Rivian did (and note Rivian also botched their foray into mass manufacturing). But he cleaned up his own mess there.
The jury is still out, but I strongly suspect he is wrong about lithium supply. All signs point to a mining crunch in 2-3 years. We shall see.
I think Tesla is at the spot where it isn’t clear he’s doing more good than harm at this point. Having said that, it is also clear that Tesla wouldn’t have done single piece casting without Elon, and also wouldn’t have designed the Cybertruck like it is without him, both of which I think were brilliant strategic decisions. So, maybe he has a lot of usefulness in him at that company yet.