I feel pretty confident that the 8-12 weeks is something preprogrammed on the website for this time of the month/quarter. Due to the economy, I would be surprised if 8-12 weeks is actually a real wait time. I would expect much earlier.
Well.. remember the factory had to re start, as it was shut down, and all teslas for the US are made in one place in fremont california (including model Ys etc).
Tesla also has (for the past 1.5 years at least) been shipping almost all model 3s produced at the beginning of a fiscal quarter internationally, and not starting domestic production until later in the quarter, to maximize deliveries in a specific quarter. The way they have operated in the past was, the closer you are to the fremot factory, the later in the quarter they actually produced your model 3 because it would take less time for it to reach you, logistically.
So, for the past 1.5 years, unless you took delivery of a car before the end of the quarter, or were lucky enough to snag one that was still "in transit" near the beginning of the next quarter, all US deliveries of model 3s took place in the 2nd and 3rd month of the quarter (because all cars made the first month of the quarter were shipped internationally as I said.
That would mean that "end of july" is a very difficult time to actually receive a tesla model 3, since the quarter ends june 30th, and any left over cars would be gone by then, but new production would not be shipping to the US yet.
Tesla changes how they operate frequently, so its not out of the realm of possibility for them to have changed how they are going to deliver cars this quarter into next quarter due to Covid-19. They dont "hold" cars longer than a few days though, and if someone wants to delay receiving a car, they just put you on a "do not deliver" list until they take you off of it.
As I mentioned, this is "what they have done before" since they started delivering model 3s internationally, to Europe, Australia, etc.
Since
@BK31 is in New York, under teslas "normal" shipping, their car would be made near the beginning of when production for US deliveries starts, and then shipped from Fremont CA to new York by whatever combination of logistics tesla does that. Thats where I got my "mid august, to late august" timeframe.
Hopefully, tesla does it different this year, and we dont end up with another in a long line of people posting something to the effect of "Tesla told me XXX but now YYYY is what is happening! I am mad!!!" (and there are plenty of those).
Maybe I sound anti tesla and I am certainly not. I have a model 3, tesla solar on my roof, and tesla powerwalls in my garage. I just know that, for as wonderful as their products are, their communication, especially "front line" communication on all sides (both cars and energy products) is not great.