voip-ninja
Give me some sugar baby
I think Autolist is always overly optimistic with their estimates. If you go back and look at their old Model S projections, they were very optimistic based on today's actual market. I don't think they are accurately accounting for how much Tesla changes their cars over a 2 year span.
For example, in 2 years we will most likely have Autopilot 3 hardware going out on all new cars creating a potential step function in the depreciation curve.
I definitely don't think FSD will be possible with today's hardware. If in 18 months Tesla starts shipping their cars with even newer hardware that gets them closer to FSD it will definitely impact resale value of today's versions.
Even regular autopilot could see major improvements that could tempt some to get the newer version vs. saving money on an older one.